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December 06, 2019, 01:46:47 pm
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  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginia)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 122648 times)
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YaBB God
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« on: January 19, 2018, 12:24:26 pm »


He's easy on the eyes. Tongue
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2018, 10:14:00 pm »


This feels like another Doug Jones type candidate in the making (in terms of message and campaign effectiveness). Approve.
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« Reply #2 on: January 24, 2018, 07:04:05 pm »

Saw a bunch of Conor Lamb signs today. No sign of Saccone. This guy is running a very quiet campaign.

Sounds like D+1 to me.
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« Reply #3 on: January 24, 2018, 09:46:19 pm »

Saw a bunch of Conor Lamb signs today. No sign of Saccone. This guy is running a very quiet campaign.

Sounds like D+1 to me.

Please don't jinx it or get overconfident, you are a better poster than that.

lol, what does overconfidence have to do with the quality of my posts? Anyways, I'm fully aware there's always the chance to lose. I don't expect anything, even out of polls, until the results come in. Unlike many, I learned from 2016.
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« Reply #4 on: January 24, 2018, 10:38:19 pm »

Saw a bunch of Conor Lamb signs today. No sign of Saccone. This guy is running a very quiet campaign.

Sounds like D+1 to me.
Congressman Ossof agrees.

Actually, I never thought Ossoff had a lock on the win.
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« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2018, 06:07:01 pm »

Just heard a Saccone ad on the radio. My god, it was awful. They are really trying to peddle this pathetic "Nancy and her lamb" smear. It then went onto some hardcore heavy-metal background music and bragged about how Saccone tortured terrorists and that's why he should be a congressman. He deserves to lose this race in a landslide.

L0L
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« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2018, 11:10:37 pm »


50-47 (D) hold
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2018, 08:08:27 pm »

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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2018, 08:26:38 pm »

When is this election? The longer the delay, the more time has for Lamb to build coalitions. This Saccone guy seems like a complete tool/flop.
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« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2018, 08:36:21 pm »

When is this election? The longer the delay, the more time has for Lamb to build coalitions. This Saccone guy seems like a complete tool/flop.

March 13.

Excellent
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« Reply #10 on: February 25, 2018, 11:05:22 pm »


Remember this is Limo. Half of the time, he's editorializing everything to make it negative.
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« Reply #11 on: March 04, 2018, 09:44:56 pm »

I would rail Conor all night, like seriously look



Please don't be that profane here.

"Profane" refers to the violation of that which is sacred; saying the Lord's name in vain, for example. You mean "obscene". Interestingly enough, C.S. Lewis in The Screwtape Letters, I believe, noted that Protestants were more likely to use profanity, and Catholics obscenity.

Grammar nazis everywhere...

*Grammar nationalist.

Lmao
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« Reply #12 on: March 05, 2018, 09:57:24 am »

Did nobody see the Emerson poll with Lamb +3?

o.O?
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« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2018, 09:58:23 am »

Emerson: PA-18 (474 LV)

Lamb (D): 48
Saccone (R): 45

D+3

Link: https://gallery.mailchimp.com/5d83bc45f4839ff4fb96bb8b8/files/4c844b0f-5529-417e-b125-3e880511a1e3/ECP_PA18_3.5.18_PR.pdf


Other tidbits:
-7% of LV undecided
-"Its voter excitement that might put Lamb over the top. When asked about level of excitement among
voters about the election, 63% of Lamb voters reported being very excited compared to 53% of Saccone voters. Lamb voters also are paying more attention to the race, with 47% reported paying a lot of attention, compared to 42% of Saccone voters."
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« Reply #14 on: March 05, 2018, 10:11:30 am »

As I said a while ago, the longer this goes, the better for Lamb.
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« Reply #15 on: March 07, 2018, 09:38:59 am »


The closer to the election day, the more advantage Lamb gains. This has been consistent for a while now, and there's still a bit to go.
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« Reply #16 on: March 09, 2018, 10:09:24 am »

Yeah, this poll is questionable:

Quote
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That being said the % with a college degree in PA-18 is higher than the national average, which it contrary to what folks would imagine with this district, and I imagine folks with a college degree are more like to turnout to vote in a special election.

That's what I'm thinking. Highly educated voters are already more likely to turn out by default.
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« Reply #17 on: March 09, 2018, 05:03:42 pm »


Conor Lamb is amazing. I really really really hope he wins this race. I know he will challenge Rothfus, win or loses but winning this race will make the race in the 17th easier for him. I want him to be our Senator one day.

Getting Doug Jones vibes all over again.
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« Reply #18 on: March 10, 2018, 08:31:52 pm »

Handsome... -barfs-
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« Reply #19 on: March 12, 2018, 08:11:43 am »

Because we have a lot of stickied threads, I'm thinking that on Tuesday I unsticky this one and conversation will migrate to the Congressional Results thread, where eventually it will peter out. What do people think?

You mean after Tuesday, right?
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« Reply #20 on: March 12, 2018, 11:46:46 am »

I hate that the media has done such a poor job of setting expectations. It's a Trump +20 district, ffs.

Exactly. I can just imagine the CNN roundtable discussions in November.
"So Chris, you say the midterms were disappointing for the Democrats?"
"Welll yes Wolf, some polling suggested a 50 seat advantage in the house and a 52-48 split in the senate, so it's frankly embarrassing that they ended up with a 10 seat majority and a 51 seat majority. If this holds up, Trump is a lock for re-election."

I imagine that the Democrats would be quite happy with that outcome regardless of how CNN might spin it.

Absolutely, and the sweet irony of Trump being put in a similar position Obama was would be the icing on the cake.
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« Reply #21 on: March 12, 2018, 01:51:25 pm »

Congrats Congressmen Ojeda and Lamb!


SHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH SHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHUSH

Lmao
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« Reply #22 on: March 12, 2018, 04:44:21 pm »

Don't know if this has been posted yet, but the forecast for tomorrow in the district is 25-34F and light snow.

Snow is just another form of rain, checkmate libs.

Advanced rain
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« Reply #23 on: March 12, 2018, 06:53:32 pm »

Is it too early to start making Lamb for Senate '22 signs?

Yes
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« Reply #24 on: March 13, 2018, 08:38:13 am »

Not a great news story for Saccone to wake up to.

Yeah, I can't see how a chaotic day at the WH will help turnout for him at all.
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