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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 125095 times)
Devout Centrist
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Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« on: January 07, 2018, 05:46:17 pm »

Oh yeah, an 18-point swing is horrible. We're all doomed.
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Devout Centrist
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Posts: 7,485
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Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #1 on: January 07, 2018, 06:20:16 pm »

But Iím saying that cause trumps approval rating could make or break manchin. If trump goes into PA-OH-WV and attacks those 3 non stop they could lose.

I would have thought that after Alabama, you'd realize that Trump's influence is actually a lot more limited than previously thought. Especially in states where he is unpopular (such as PA, and probably OH). I also doubt Trump blabbing all night on a stage in West Virginia would topple Manchin.
I really disagree with this.
Just look at how well it worked for Luther Strange. Are you high?
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Devout Centrist
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Posts: 7,485
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Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2018, 11:42:57 am »

It's interesting. He's going on the offensive against Pelosi in that ad. If Democrats win a narrow majority, then I suppose Pelosi will *have* to go, no? Too many Democrats will have made this pledge.
Seems like fairly boilerplate talking points for a historically Republican district.
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Devout Centrist
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Posts: 7,485
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Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #3 on: February 14, 2018, 05:20:58 pm »

I expect to see Saccone up 7. Everyone will immediately panic for absolutely no reason.
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Devout Centrist
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Posts: 7,485
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #4 on: February 15, 2018, 02:31:46 pm »

Well...I can actually see Lamb winning by 3 or 4 points. I think Monmouth has been a little off in their recent polling.
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 7,485
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2018, 01:55:15 pm »

Part of me is worried that the D wave narrative will become the consensus if Lamb wins. It's true, but I'd prefer Republicans and the pundits to be surprised when the wave hits. Though otoh Lamb may spur some more GOP retirements so that'd be good.
The D wave narrative should have become the consensus after Alabama. It didnít. And I guarantee you many right leaning pundits will quickly write off Sacconeís loss should he lose.
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,485
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2018, 06:04:53 pm »

Well, if Lamb goes on to represent the 17th, I will guarantee you that he'll vote for Pelosi.
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