2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[DrScholl]

F

That's probably what Barbara Comstock is saying about this poll.

[Doimper]

There's a 45-point gender gap in this poll. Wow.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wexton found ahead by a range of 9-11 points in all scenarios in VA 10th GE vs Comstock this fall by Monmouth

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011640324836478976

[Young Conservative]

There's a 45-point gender gap in this poll. Wow.

The margin is believable, but that is not.

[Gass3268]

Her losing will be so satisfying.

[Devout Centrist]

Rekt

[Maxwell]

Sounds like a red wave to me!

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Monmouth says they are releasing a poll tommorow about NJ 11th. I think the dem leads by 4 points.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011593630186917889

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Monmouth says they are releasing a poll tommorow about NJ 11th. I think the dem leads by 4 points.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011593630186917889

Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

[ajc0918]

Bad news Barb will go down in flames. Meh battle-tested incumbent. Her race will he triaged by September.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/monmouthpoll/status/1011640324836478976?s=21
Dominating.

muh tossup

Cook has it as lean D since the primary.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Monmouth says they are releasing a poll tommorow about NJ 11th. I think the dem leads by 4 points.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011593630186917889

Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

Yeah, I think the GOP narrowly keeps the house.

[Yank2133]

I have said it before, but Comstock is getting Blanched.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Monmouth says they are releasing a poll tommorow about NJ 11th. I think the dem leads by 4 points.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011593630186917889

Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

You’re more annoying then Limo and that is no easy feat

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Don't worry guys, Comstock should receive assistance from Stewart coat tails in PWC, she should eek it out lol. /s. (though Stewart will do well in PWC, coat tails will be limited, and not enough to save Comstock).

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Monmouth says they are releasing a poll tommorow about NJ 11th. I think the dem leads by 4 points.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011593630186917889

Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

Yeah, I think the GOP narrowly keeps the house.

Yep, Conor Lamb and Doug Jones are looking to be the exception than the rule. Especially with boring centrist women being nominated over qualified progressive men.

[Yellowhammer]

Adios Blanche Comstock.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Monmouth says they are releasing a poll tommorow about NJ 11th. I think the dem leads by 4 points.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011593630186917889

Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

Yeah, I think the GOP narrowly keeps the house.

Yep, Conor Lamb and Doug Jones are looking to be the exception than the rule. Especially with boring centrist women being nominated over qualified progressive men.

Wexton and Sherrill probably still win though.

[Webnicz]

GOP wave.

[Brittain33]

Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

NJ-11 is R+3, so it suggests a D+7 generic, if true.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

NJ-11 is R+3, so it suggests a D+7 generic, if true.

Yeah, the D+4 is Bagel's speculation, not an actual result at this point.  But even if it's true, it's worth remembering that the national swing will NOT be uniform across all districts (I know this has been said a million times here, but people seem to ignore it when convenient) so the shift in a single district is not particularly representative of the national shift.  When you average a bunch of districts together it gives a better picture, but please don't extrapolate the whole country from a single district.

[new_patomic]

There's a 45-point gender gap in this poll. Wow.

Strongly approve: Men 31% Women 17%
Somewhat approve: Men 21% Women 15%
Somewhat disapprove: Men: 6% Women 7%
Strongly disapprove: Men 37% Women 58%

Overall approval: Men 52% Women 32%
Overall disapproval: Men 43% Women: 65%

Wew.

[ON Progressive]

Monmouth says they are releasing a poll tommorow about NJ 11th. I think the dem leads by 4 points.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011593630186917889

Only 5 points better than Hillary if true, which suggests a D+5 Generic...not enough for a majority.

Yeah, I think the GOP narrowly keeps the house.

Yep, Conor Lamb and Doug Jones are looking to be the exception than the rule. Especially with boring centrist women being nominated over qualified progressive men.

Lamb and Jones are extremely centrist, so I don't have any clue what you're going on about.

[Brittain33]

Has Sean Trende moved VA-10 from Likely R to Lean R yet?

[Skye]

Lean D.