2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 204946 times)
ON Progressive
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« Reply #2375 on: June 26, 2018, 01:56:32 PM »

D+7 GCB in Arizona? That's amazing.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2376 on: June 26, 2018, 01:58:36 PM »


Arizona is trending blue faster than any of us thought...
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #2377 on: June 26, 2018, 02:01:58 PM »

Dems up in all three Senate Races, per Marist/NBC poll.

Sinema +11

Nelson +4

Brown +13

and the GCB was also released for the states

Arizona: Dems +7

Florida: Dems +6

Ohio: Dems +4



Dems up in all three Senate Races, per Marist/NBC poll.

Sinema +11

Nelson +4

Brown +13

and the GCB was also released for the states

Arizona: Dems +7

Florida: Dems +6

Ohio: Dems +4



Spaceman Nelson will not lose
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2378 on: June 26, 2018, 02:02:53 PM »

Could Tipirneni win under a D+7 generic ballot in Arizona?
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #2379 on: June 26, 2018, 02:03:43 PM »


Yeah, anyone who thought Rick Scott even had a chance was delusional.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #2380 on: June 26, 2018, 02:05:21 PM »

Reminder: Governor Rick Scott has now spent $20 million on ads and the race is still a toss up.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #2381 on: June 26, 2018, 02:08:18 PM »

Dems up in all three Senate Races, per Marist/NBC poll.

Sinema +11

Nelson +4

Brown +13

and the GCB was also released for the states

Arizona: Dems +7

Florida: Dems +6

Ohio: Dems +4


A lot of interesting information in this
1. The GCB in Florida is positive for the Democrats, which hasn't been the case for more than 10 years
2. Arizona appears to be going the way of Virginia or Colorado, expect it to be a tossup or tilt D state in 2020
3.Nelson is keeping the race close, even with the money Rick Scott is throwing at him
4. Renacci will be trianged, Brown is now just as unbeatable as Dean Heller
5. Ohio has the lowest GCB in comparison, perhaps the state is keeping its tilt R heritage?
6. I think Doug Ducey is in much more trouble than we thought, considering another poll came out recently pinning his approval at an incredible low 31% to 39% disapproval
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2382 on: June 26, 2018, 02:15:40 PM »


Arizona is trending blue faster than any of us thought...

I'm going to blame 4 things. The teachers strike earlier hurt the republican image. The border issues right now energize the dems and hurts the republicans particularly hard here. The perception that the republican party has been taken over by crazies like Arpaio doesn't help in the Phoenix suburbs.

Finally, there is the fact that Sinema is now the face of the Arizona democratic party. And she is a great candidate with a moderate record that has a strong base in the key Phoenix suburbs.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2383 on: June 26, 2018, 02:16:58 PM »

Remember that AZ Senate still has a divided primary and that will depress R totals for any individual candidate before there's a winner.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2384 on: June 26, 2018, 02:23:39 PM »

Remember that AZ Senate still has a divided primary and that will depress R totals for any individual candidate before there's a winner.

Yes but not the gcb...
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2385 on: June 26, 2018, 02:28:32 PM »

But all the pundits told me VA-10 was a toss up, and Andrew told me it was lean R!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2386 on: June 26, 2018, 02:28:57 PM »

Remember that AZ Senate still has a divided primary and that will depress R totals for any individual candidate before there's a winner.

Yes but not the gcb...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2387 on: June 26, 2018, 02:34:19 PM »

It appears NBC pulled the polls off the net... which means somebody leaked them as they were due at 5:00.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #2388 on: June 26, 2018, 02:50:53 PM »

It appears NBC pulled the polls off the net... which means somebody leaked them as they were due at 5:00.

Unfortunatly, it appears the poll was leaked, and now its been taken down. Gonna have to wait till 5 to get the writeups again.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2389 on: June 26, 2018, 02:52:33 PM »

It appears NBC pulled the polls off the net... which means somebody leaked them as they were due at 5:00.

Unfortunatly, it appears the poll was leaked, and now its been taken down. Gonna have to wait till 5 to get the writeups again.

I'm more looking forward to the crosstabs.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2390 on: June 26, 2018, 03:31:27 PM »

It appears NBC pulled the polls off the net... which means somebody leaked them as they were due at 5:00.

Unfortunatly, it appears the poll was leaked, and now its been taken down. Gonna have to wait till 5 to get the writeups again.

I'm more looking forward to the crosstabs.

I doubt the results are going to look any different at 5 than they did at the time they were leaked.
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Politician
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« Reply #2391 on: June 26, 2018, 03:45:16 PM »


Arizona is trending blue faster than any of us thought...
Or the GOP is just imploding really quickly here.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2392 on: June 27, 2018, 07:51:01 AM »

Morning Consult/Politico, June 22-24, 1989 registered voters

D: 44 (+2)
R: 37 (nc)
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2393 on: June 27, 2018, 10:43:42 AM »

Morning Consult/Politico, June 22-24, 1989 registered voters

D: 44 (+2)
R: 37 (nc)

Apparently, Senior's issues are more important than healthcare?
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Yank2133
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« Reply #2394 on: June 27, 2018, 10:52:06 AM »

Lol, Comstocked is gonna probably be a new verb here after the midterms.

Ask, I thought the experts told me VA-10 was a tossup, so this can’t be right!

Yup.

Does this mean we can retire the phrase "Blanched" or does that have a new separate meaning?

These are important questions to ask.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2395 on: June 27, 2018, 10:59:46 AM »

Lol, Comstocked is gonna probably be a new verb here after the midterms.

Ask, I thought the experts told me VA-10 was a tossup, so this can’t be right!

Yup.

Does this mean we can retire the phrase "Blanched" or does that have a new separate meaning?

These are important questions to ask.

I guess it can remain for senate contests.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #2396 on: June 27, 2018, 11:00:31 AM »

Lol, Comstocked is gonna probably be a new verb here after the midterms.

Ask, I thought the experts told me VA-10 was a tossup, so this can’t be right!

Yup.

Does this mean we can retire the phrase "Blanched" or does that have a new separate meaning?

These are important questions to ask.

The reason "Blanched" works so well is because its an actual verb. "Comstocked" is and sounds like a made up word.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2397 on: June 27, 2018, 11:04:14 AM »

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Brittain33
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« Reply #2398 on: June 27, 2018, 11:04:31 AM »

Locking and opening vol. 2.
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