Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 25, 2019, 01:04:57 am
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MI-Glengariff: Stabenow +20/21
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: MI-Glengariff: Stabenow +20/21  (Read 1319 times)
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,453


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 23, 2018, 07:54:23 pm »

https://www.scribd.com/document/369748990/January-Statewide-Survey

42-30 favorables with 91% job identification

Matchups:

Stabenow (D): 50
Pensler (R): 30

Stabenow (D): 51
James (R): 30

Whole lot of other goodies in that poll too.
Logged
Young Conservative
youngconservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,490
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 23, 2018, 09:06:20 pm »

No doubt she’s up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.
Logged
Gass3268
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,259
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 23, 2018, 09:08:39 pm »

No doubt she’s up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.

Michigan has always been a really hard state to poll, at almost every level.
Logged
Bagel23
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,605
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2018, 09:29:36 pm »

What about the wyoming red wall?
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,668
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 23, 2018, 09:41:38 pm »

Remember those "polls" showing Kid Rock beating Stabenow
Logged
UWS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,668


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 23, 2018, 10:00:29 pm »

No doubt she’s up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.

Indeed, according to a new Morning Consult poll that shows the approval ratings of all the 100 senators, Stabenow only has a 44 % approval rating.

https://morningconsult.com/2018/01/23/senator-rankings-jan-2018/
Logged
TheRocketRaccoon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 726
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 23, 2018, 10:26:03 pm »

No doubt she’s up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.

Indeed, according to a new Morning Consult poll that shows the approval ratings of all the 100 senators, Stabenow only has a 44 % approval rating.

https://morningconsult.com/2018/01/23/senator-rankings-jan-2018/

That actually matches her 42-30 approvals in this poll.
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,689
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 24, 2018, 12:52:45 am »

For such a spineless senator she does well. I guess it says more about the Republicans than anything else.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 24, 2018, 05:21:38 pm »

Remember when Atlas thought Kid Rock was inevitable? lol
Logged
Polarized MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,406
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 29, 2018, 01:58:24 pm »

Stabenow won’t lose, but the margin will still tell us a lot. If Republicans are losing here by 21 points, it’s unlikely that they can even hold the Senate. I think this poll is too D-friendly, though.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 29, 2018, 02:07:33 pm »

Stabenow won’t lose, but the margin will still tell us a lot. If Republicans are losing here by 21 points, it’s unlikely that they can even hold the Senate. I think this poll is too D-friendly, though.

Not necessarily. Michigan wasn't exactly the best bellwether in 2014, lol.
Logged
Polarized MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,406
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 29, 2018, 02:51:34 pm »

Stabenow won’t lose, but the margin will still tell us a lot. If Republicans are losing here by 21 points, it’s unlikely that they can even hold the Senate. I think this poll is too D-friendly, though.

Not necessarily. Michigan wasn't exactly the best bellwether in 2014, lol.

Neither was PA Tongue The Republican candidates this year seem to be stronger than Terri Lynn Land. If Democrats are winning a state like MI by 21 points, it means that lots of Trump voters are abandoning the GOP, and that doesn’t bode well for Republicans in WV, MO, IN either.
Logged
McGovernForPrez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 30, 2018, 04:50:25 pm »

No doubt she’s up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.

Indeed, according to a new Morning Consult poll that shows the approval ratings of all the 100 senators, Stabenow only has a 44 % approval rating.

https://morningconsult.com/2018/01/23/senator-rankings-jan-2018/
That's misleading. That morning consult poll has Stabenow +19 in approvals. She's just not super strongly recognize. This poll is actually highly in line with the morning consult results.
Logged
RoboWop
AMB1996
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 31, 2018, 12:33:36 am »

Stabenow won’t lose, but the margin will still tell us a lot. If Republicans are losing here by 21 points, it’s unlikely that they can even hold the Senate. I think this poll is too D-friendly, though.

Not necessarily. Michigan wasn't exactly the best bellwether in 2014, lol.

Neither was PA Tongue The Republican candidates this year seem to be stronger than Terri Lynn Land. If Democrats are winning a state like MI by 21 points, it means that lots of Trump voters are abandoning the GOP, and that doesn’t bode well for Republicans in WV, MO, IN either.

I think we already know this to be true from what we've seen so far since 2016. Trump voters are the lowest-turnout Republican voters, by nature of being "Trump voters" rather than "Republican voters."
Logged
Wolverine22
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,333
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: February 07, 2018, 02:38:18 pm »

Former MI Supreme Court Justice Bob Young has dropped out of the race citing financial concerns. This means the Republicans will nominate yet another unknown Republican candidate who Stabenow will likely run up 60% on. As I've said before, it amazes me that the Republicans who control everything else in this state haven't been able to find a credible candidate since 1994. They have quite the bench for governor, but they can't get a real candidate for Senate.

Abraham went down in 2000 pretty much because it was a good year for Senate Democrats. Since then, they've nominated two unknown right-wing bozos who both got crushed.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,737
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: February 12, 2018, 02:45:38 pm »

Former MI Supreme Court Justice Bob Young has dropped out of the race citing financial concerns. This means the Republicans will nominate yet another unknown Republican candidate who Stabenow will likely run up 60% on. As I've said before, it amazes me that the Republicans who control everything else in this state haven't been able to find a credible candidate since 1994. They have quite the bench for governor, but they can't get a real candidate for Senate.

Abraham went down in 2000 pretty much because it was a good year for Senate Democrats. Since then, they've nominated two unknown right-wing bozos who both got crushed.

They probably read the tea leaves and know governor is the better bet. In the alternate universe where Hillary wins Michigan by <1% and the presidency, my guess is a strong challenger would've jumped in.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC