Hillary Wins

[JG]

August 24th, 2022: President Clinton Hits Campaign Trail in Arkansas, New York


Hillary Clinton is back on the campaign trail, this time to try and help Democrats in the closest midterms elections in years. The former President held a rally with Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas, playing up her southern roots and talking for a long time about her late husband, and 42nd President, Bill Clinton. Then, Clinton traveled to another one of her home states, New York, to try and boost Lt. Governor Kathy Hochul's struggling bid for Governor. Hochul was expected to coast to the Governor's Mansion this year, until former Governor George Pataki entered the race, throwing the contest into the tossup category. Now, the race seems to tilt towards Pataki, with polls showing him up by anywhere between 4 and 10 points. Clinton is very popular right now, with 70% of Americans with a positive view on her and data shows that her place as America's first female President helps those high numbers. Clinton and the DNC hope that her star power on the campaign trail, coupled with former President Barack Obama's, can help Democrats who are struggling in bluer states. Clinton and Obama are expected to rally with Governor Gavin Newsom in California, where Newsom is down in the polls against the former Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice.


Hillary is unpopular in Arkansas and look at this https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/03/politics/clarke-tucker-arkansas-house-race/index.html Unless in a few parts of Little Rock

It's pretty believable Hillary's approvals would bounce back greatly had she won and after she was out of office, as they typically do for presidents out of office.

Anyway, really glad it's back!

[vanteran]

Is Russ Feingold running for re-election?

[MycroftCZ]

Is Russ Feingold running for re-election?

Yeah he is, but it's kinda a sleeper race because no one can beat The Russ

[MycroftCZ]

September 13th, 2022: Abrams Closes Gap as Georgia Senate Race Becomes a Tossup


The Georgia Senate race was moved into the Tossup category today, as new polling suggests that former State Senator Stacey Abrams is closing the gap between her and her Republican opponent, Congresswoman Karen Handel. Abrams ran for Governor of the state in 2018, losing badly to then- Lt. Governor Casey Cagle. Now, Abrams is back and is running on a more moderate platform, while still focusing on Democratic turnout and boosting the left's enthusiasm in the midterm elections in less than 2 months. Handel has run a lackluster campaign and has yet to buy any TV spots for October, compared to the Abrams campaigns $11 million ad buys in October alone, coming from her huge campaign war chest. Abrams seems to be surging, with three polls putting the race within the margin of error, even one showed Abrams with a 3 point lead. Georgia has a runoff system, and many Democrats still see this race as a long-shot because of the 50% rule. Democratic operatives see it as close to impossible for Abrams to get a majority of the vote, in this red-ish state. Still, this race is now one to watch out for.

RCP Polling Average- Georgia Senate Race:
Handel: 45.6%
Abrams: 43.9%

September 20th, 2022: Democrats Look to Oust Ryan if Democrats Lose House


Buzz is surrounding the Hill that House Minority Leader Tim Tyan may lose his position as Democratic Leader if the party doesn't win back the House this year. The DNC has committed a lot of money to retake the lower chamber and 538 gives them a 49% chance of taking the House. Still, many Democrats see Ryan as an ineffective leader and not ready for the position, a criticism that has followed him since he took over in 2017. Speculated Democrats who could take over are Rep. Joe Crowley, the House Minority Whip, who narrowly won a contested primary back in 2018 over liberal candidate Alexandria Ocasio Cortez. Crowley is the obvious next choice but could face resistance from more liberal Democrats, such as Rep. Ted Lieu of California or Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii. Gabbard ran for Leader against Ryan in 2017. Democrats have shifted the focus of there midterm strategy in recent months, from a House takeover to a Senate takeover. 

October 1st, 2022: Kasich Stumps for Boozman and Thune


Two years ago, nobody would have thought that President Kasich would have to campaign in Arkansas and South Dakota, trying desperately to stop moderate Democrats from winning those key Senate races. But it happened today, as President Kasich took to the campaign trail to stump for Sen. John Thune in South Dakota and Sen. John Boozman in Arkansas. Thune is in serious danger of losing his seat to former Senator Tom Daschle, whom Thune narrowly defeated back in 2004. Polls have shown the race tight, with a slight advantage to Daschle. President Kasich's popularity should help Thune, who is one of the most powerful Republican Senators in Washington. The story is basically the same in Arkansas, where former Senator Blanche Lincoln is trying to gain her spot in the Senate back, running in a state that has drifted away from the Democrats in the last 22 years. Lincoln got a boost last month when former President Hillary Clinton visited, and now Boozman has another President on his side. Kasich and Boozman rallied in Little Rock, in a race that has shown Lincoln with a wide lead. Kasich was not originally supposed to campaign here, but with new polling showing Lincoln pulling ahead, sometimes by double-digits, Kasich was called in for a rescue mission. Boozman has been criticized for running a small, unorganized campaign that has attempted to ride on the redness of the state, not recognizing the threat that Lincoln poised earlier on.

Kasich Approval Rating:
Approve: 60%
Disapprove: 35%

RCP Polling Average- Arkansas Senate Race:
Lincoln: 50.1%
Boozman: 46.6%

RCP Polling Average- South Dakota Senate Race:
Daschle: 45.5%
Thune: 44.9%

[Sir Mohamed]

Glad to see this TL continue. I predict the GOP winning the midterms.

[BigVic]

GOP will win the midterms. McMullin wins a Senate seat in the 2018 midterms but caucuses with the GOP

[vanteran]

I predict Dems take the Senate, and GOP very narrowly holds on to the House

Also, another question haha: This is a bit of a blast from the past, but did Chelsea Clinton manage to win her house race against Peter King in 2018?

[MycroftCZ]

I predict Dems take the Senate, and GOP very narrowly holds on to the House

Also, another question haha: This is a bit of a blast from the past, but did Chelsea Clinton manage to win her house race against Peter King in 2018?

Sadly, no... lost in a very narrow race

[MycroftCZ]

October 11th, 2022: Crowley Hints at Democratic Leader Run


New York Congressman and the 2nd most powerful House Democrat, Joe Crowley, strongly hinted at a run for the top job of the Democratic caucus, hoping to oust Minority Leader Tim Ryan. Pundits are split on whether or not the Democrats will be able to retake the House and many think that the Democratic party will come up short, making Ryan's position as Leader even more precarious. Ryan has been attacked for being "ineffective" and "weak" on defending the Democratic platform, too willing to give ground on important issues. Crowley today said that he is "worried" about the Democratic position in the House of Representatives and hopes to "do whatever I can" to keep the Democrats from becoming the minority party forever. Crowley also said that he is "concerned" with the leadership, saying that he hopes to "shake up the system soon". Crowly is seen as a more blue-collar appealing Leader than even Ryan is, both have tough, down-to-earth personalities but Ryan is also more appealing to the more liberal wing of the party than Crowley, who has been attacked for his ties to Wall Street and big corporations in the past.

October 16th, 2022: Boozman Announces Only Raising $2.9 Million in Third Quarter


Arkansas Senator John Boozman may not be holding his job much longer, after announcing that his campaign only raised $2.9 million in the final quarter of his Senate campaign, far lower than his Democratic competitor, former Senator Blanche Lincoln, who raised $9.9 million in the last quarter and has $18 million going into the home stretch. Boozman has $9 million. Many GOP leaders are thinking about abandoning Boozman and transferring the money they would have spent in Arkansas to South Dakota, North Carolina and Kentucky, other red states with strong Democratic challengers where the polls show closer races. The Boozman campaign hit back, saying that they "are confident that at the end of the day, Arkansas likes strong, conservative values over dangerous, radical, and liberal ideas", a line that they have used over and over again against Lincoln, one of the most conservative Democrats running for Senate this year. Polls show Lincoln with a 6, 7, sometimes 8 point lead, always over 50%. Senator Boozman also had a very sparse campaign schedule over the next couple of weeks, only holding an average of 10 events a week. This is one race where the GOP is likely going to lose on Election Night.

Kasich Approval Rating:
Approve: 58%
Disapprove: 37%

2022 Midterms Election Night Coming Up Next!

[JG]

Can't wait for the midterms!

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Omg Crowley

[MycroftCZ]

Election Night 2022

6:00: BREAKING: Poll Closings: Kentucky, Indiana
Indiana Senate: YOUNG REELECTED

Young: 58.8%
Goodin: 39.5%
3% Precincts Reporting


Kentucky Senate: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Beshear: 47.5%
Paul: 47%
11% Precincts Reporting
7:00: BREAKING: Poll Closings: Virginia, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Vermont
Vermont Senate: WELCH ELECTED

Welch: 72.4%
Brock: 26.2%
1% Precincts Reporting

South Carolina Senate: SCOTT REELECTED

Scott: 65.5%
Cunningham: 33.3%
5% Precincts Reporting

Georgia Senate Race: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Handel: 47.7%
Abrams: 47.4%
3% Precincts Reporting

Florida Senate Race: TOO EARLY TO CALL
Rubio: 55.4%
Soto: 42.9%
1% Precincts Reporting

Vermont Governor: SCOTT REELECTED

Scott: 88.9%
Starr: 19.1%
9% Precincts Reporting

South Carolina Governor: MCMASTER REELECTED

McMaster: 63.2%
Setzler: 37.5%
5% Precincts Reporting

Georgia Governor: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Cagle: 54.4%
Henson: 45.8%
3% Precincts Reporting


Florida Governor: TOO EARLY TO CALL
Murphy: 55.5%
Putnam: 43.9%
1% Precincts Reporting

[vanteran]

Excited to see how the races turn up!

In Florida, isn't the Democratic nominee Patrick Murphy who is running on a bipartisan ticket with David Jolly?

[MycroftCZ]

Election Night 2022

7:30: BREAKING: Ohio, West Virginia, North CarolinaOhio Senate: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Portman: 48.7%
Brunner: 46.6%
8% Precincts Reporting

North Carolina Senate: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Miller: 49.9%
Davis: 48.9%
1% Precincts Reporting
Ohio Governor: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Strickland: 55.5%
Husted: 43.3%
2% Precincts Reporting
8:00: BREAKING: ME, NH, MA, CT, RI, NJ, PA, DE, MD, TN, AL, MS, MI, IL, MO, KS, OK, TX, SDConnecticut Senate: BLUMENTHAL REELECTED

Blumenthal: 59.9%
Fasano: 39.2%
5% Precincts Reporting

Maryland Senate: VAN HOLLEN REELECTED

Van Hollen: 65.1%
Kipke: 33.3%
1% Precincts Reporting

Illinois Senate: DUCKWORTH REELECTED

Duckworth: 66.6%
Ives: 31.5%
8% Precincts Reporting

Alabama Senate: IVEY ELECTED

Ivey: 69.1%
Kennedy: 37.7%
2% Precincts Reporting

Oklahoma Senate: LANKFORD REELECTED

Lankford: 68%
Horn: 30.9%
3% Precincts Reporting

Kansas Senate: MORAN REELECTED

Moran: 64.4%
Thompson: 34.9%
1% Precincts Reporting

Pennsylvania Senate: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
McGinty: 48.8%
Reed: 48.3%
1% Precincts Reporting

South Dakota Senate: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Daschle: 54.4%
Thune: 45.2%
4% Precincts Reporting

New Hampshire Senate: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Hassan: 53.7%
Bradey: 45.5%
2% Precincts Reporting
Maine Governor: MILLS REELECTED

Mills: 58.9%
Brakey: 40.2%
1% Precincts Reporting

Connecticut Governor: LAMONT REELECTED

Lamont: 57.4%
Linares: 41.1%
3% Precincts Reporting

Rhode Island Governor: GORBEA ELECTED

Gorbea: 56.4%
Morgan: 43.5%
2% Precincts Reporting

Michigan Governor: WHITMER REELECTED

Whitmer: 58.8%
Johnson: 40.1%
3% Precincts Reporting

Illinois Governor: PRITZER REELECTED

Pritzer: 61.1%
Durkin: 36.8%
8% Precincts Reporting

Alabama Governor: BROOKS ELECTED

Brooks: 66.6%
Beasley: 32.1%
2% Precincts Reporting

Tennessee Governor: BLACK REELECTED

Black: 58.6%
Fitzhugh: 40.9%
1% Precincts Reporting

Kansas Governor: COLYER REELECTED

Colyer: 58.9%
Davids: 40%
1% Precincts Reporting

Oklahoma Governor: LAMB REELECTED

Lamb: 70.2%
Pittman: 28.8%
3% Precincts Reporting

South Dakota Governor: NOEM REELECTED

Noem: 62.2%
Nesiba: 36.9%
2% Precincts Reporting

Texas Governor: PATRICK ELECTED

Patrick: 61.5%
Vela: 37.9%
5% Precincts Reporting

New Hampshire Governor: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Pappas: 48.7%
MacDonald: 47.5%
2% Precincts Reporting

Pennsylvania Governor: TOO EARLY TO CALL
Lamb: 55.4%
Stack: 43.3%
0% Precincts Reporting

Massachusetts Governor: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Polito: 47.6%
Pressley: 47.6%
1% Precincts Reporting

Maryland Governor: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Madaleno: 49.8%
Rutherford: 48.1%
1% Precincts Reporting
8:32 PM
Florida Senate: RUBIO REELECTED

Rubio: 52.2%
Soto: 46.3%
33% Precincts Reporting

Georgia Governor: CAGLE REELECTED

Cagle: 55.6%
Henson: 43.1%
34% Precincts Reporting
Georgia Senate Race: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Abrams: 48.1%
Handel: 47.9%
40% Precincts Reporting

Kentucky Senate: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Paul: 51.5%
Beshear: 47.6%
29% Precincts Reporting

Florida Governor: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Murphy: 52.2%
Putnam: 47.1%
49% Precincts Reporting

[vanteran]

Bump

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Bump

[DeSantis4Prez]

Bump

[morgankingsley]

It would have been interesting if trump in 20 won two or three southern states and forced a house election

[BigVic]

It would have been interesting if trump in 20 won two or three southern states and forced a house election

The contingent election and aftermath would've been interesting. I thought Trump would win AL, MS, AR and LA causing a deadlock.

[morgankingsley]

It would have been interesting if trump in 20 won two or three southern states and forced a house election

The contingent election and aftermath would've been interesting. I thought Trump would win AL, MS, AR and LA causing a deadlock.

#PLSMakeATimelineOfThis

[Andrew Yang 2024]

R.I.P VP Hagan

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Isn't Hagan in really bad health?

She was, but her Powassan virus cleared up by late 2019...

Oof.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

BUMP

So if Hillary won Covid would never happen?

(Also bring this back this was one of my favourite TLS