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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Silurian)
  2019 - 2020 Candidate news/polls/fundraising/ballot initiatives megathread
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Author Topic: 2019 - 2020 Candidate news/polls/fundraising/ballot initiatives megathread  (Read 19792 times)
Silurian
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« Reply #125 on: December 12, 2018, 04:45:03 pm »

Not sure where else to put this, but:

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UncleSam
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« Reply #126 on: December 12, 2018, 06:05:09 pm »

Not sure where else to put this, but:


Fair maps have almost nothing to do with it in Michigan or Pennsylvania. Democrats are self packed so ridiculously into Detroit and Philadelphia that any fair map will be tilted to the GOP pretty significantly as a comparison to raw votes. Thatís what happens when you appeal to more and more heavily concentrated voters, and why parties literally werenít supposed to do that.

Wisconsin Dems would have a tough time in but definitely couldíve won with fair maps this past year - Dems have a lot of ancestral strength across much of Western Wisconsin and Milwaukee isnít nearly as packed as Detroit or Philadelphia are (and the Milwaukee suburbs are much worse GOP packs than exist for the GOP in either other state).
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Silurian
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« Reply #127 on: December 12, 2018, 07:38:54 pm »
« Edited: December 12, 2018, 07:43:43 pm by VirginiŠ »

The idea behind fair maps isn't so much the expectation that Democrats would hold the legislature every cycle, but that they'd at least win majorities from time to time, especially when they get D+5 - D+8 in the legislative popular vote, like Michigan Democrats have twice under this decade's maps. But, because the maps are what they are, that makes even landslide wins ineffective. If you're saying they wouldn't have in 2012, or had a reasonable shot even this cycle, that's bs.

Speaks a lot about the system when the legislative chamber that is supposed to be most receptive to changes in public mood is this ineffective at responding to it.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #128 on: January 02, 2019, 09:52:07 am »

Republican deplorable Dick Black is retiring from his Loudoun-based Virginia State Senate seat. District went for Clinton by 6 and Northam by 11.
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Lfromnj stands with Sanchez.
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« Reply #129 on: January 07, 2019, 02:06:57 pm »

Republican deplorable Dick Black is retiring from his Loudoun-based Virginia State Senate seat. District went for Clinton by 6 and Northam by 11.

Likely D

Anyway VA GOP Might be able to hold the house coz thats an R gerrymander but the state senate is a d gerrymander.
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#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #130 on: March 08, 2019, 08:27:53 pm »

Honestly, the Ohio requirement that a specific number of signatures be required to qualify a ballot initiative from at least half the Counties, regardless of said Counties population or anything like that ought to be considered a violation of one person one vote. Its basically just the same issues in play as with the Georgia County Unit System for Gubernatorial primaries that was struck down decades ago, just with a different purpose.
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#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #131 on: March 08, 2019, 08:58:31 pm »

The Ohio Requirement gives this maximum possible disparity
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#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #132 on: March 08, 2019, 09:11:08 pm »

This is a partisan comparison of how many Counties each Party would theoretically need based on PVI to have a majority of the State Population
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VAModerate
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« Reply #133 on: April 02, 2019, 07:10:46 pm »

Cherie Berry, NC Commissioner of Labor, since 2001, announced that she not run for re-election in 2020.

Known to many as the "elevator lady/queen" she survived the 2008 D wave in NC and has won on the same ticket as many popular Democratic governors.

Democrats will attempt to take this state seat for sure in 2020. She will have been in office for 20 years when she retires
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Mondale
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« Reply #134 on: July 15, 2019, 09:04:54 pm »



"Tis better to burn out than fade away"

-VA GOP
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InheritTheWind
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« Reply #135 on: July 18, 2019, 02:12:50 pm »



"Tis better to burn out than fade away"

-VA GOP

It's like they looked at the FL Dems and went, "you know what, we can do them one better."
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