2021 - 2024 Candidate news/polls/fundraising/ballot initiatives megathread

[ON Progressive]

Why do they still rate MN as a tossup? Pawlenty will get annihilated as long as Murphy isn't the nominee, and he still likely loses against her.

[ON Progressive]

Some new polling on MI's ballot initiatives:

Michigan Ballot Proposals Poll:
 
Prop 1 (Marijuana) Yes 55%, No 41%
Prop 2 (Redistricting) Yes 48%, No 32%
Prop 3 (Voting Rights) Yes 70%, No 25%

All three of those are really encouraging to see.

[ON Progressive]

The RGA keeps on triaging Jeff Johnson. They just cancelled TV ads that were scheduled for Oct. 10 thru Oct. 23

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1046880618821423104

[ON Progressive]

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2018/10/04/poll-support-november-ballot-proposals-strong/1526518002/?utm_campaign=speakable&utm_medium=amp&utm_source=google

Prop 1 (Marijuana legalization) up 62-35, Prop 2 (redistricting commission) up 55-23, Prop 3 (voting rights) leads 72-19 (!)

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/1048190625697423362

South Dakota 👀

[ON Progressive]

The "experts" strike again!

https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/1052303833769172993

Never mind that Kate Brown has led in every poll recently and especially ignore Oregon's fundamentals, this is absolutely a tossup because reasons.

[ON Progressive]

Redistricting initiative support surges in Michigan (now 59-29). Others are comfortably ahead.

https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2018/10/26/poll-michigan-ballot-proposals/1764291002/

Also lol @ this pollster's last name: Bernie Porn

I would have hated to be that guy in 2016. In fact, I would still hate to be him.

[ON Progressive]

Florida Amendment 4 (restore felon voting rights) (NYT/Siena):

Yes 60%
No 31%
Undecided 9%

I am worried that the "undecideds" will just vote no, but 60 would be enough.

[ON Progressive]

PPP did a big North Carolina poll

State Supreme Court:
Anita Earls (D) 37
Barbara Jackson (R) 23
Chris Anglin (R) 14

They also have Democrats leading in two NC Court of Appeals races, one of them featuring similar vote splitting to the Supreme Court race.

The judicial vacancies powergrab amendment is failing 29-43, and the Elections Board powergrab amendment is also failing 40-32. Unfortunately, voter ID is passing 57-34 and the tax cap is passing 50-32.