2021 - 2024 Candidate news/polls/fundraising/ballot initiatives megathread

[Badger]

GOP nominates a legal pimp in a Strong GOP district.  He defeated an incumbent, who is a hospital administrator.

Not that he’ll lose but yeesh

The fact that a pimp accused of sexual harassment won't lose because of the partisan lean of an area makes me want to screech.

[Badger]

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/three-republican-governors-face-increasingly-tough-election-contests/

Sad that Sabato still has the best gubernatorial ratings (aside from Fox News) when he still has MN, AK, and CO as tossups and NM at Leans D.

I think Alaska is well placed as a toss-up, but there's a lot to hate here. Minnesota and Colorado is toss-ups as you noted is just silly. New Mexico is only lean D seems odd, but I have to say that having Iowa as a toss-up at this point seems bearish on Republican chances.

[Badger]

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2018/10/04/poll-support-november-ballot-proposals-strong/1526518002/?utm_campaign=speakable&utm_medium=amp&utm_source=google

Prop 1 (Marijuana legalization) up 62-35, Prop 2 (redistricting commission) up 55-23, Prop 3 (voting rights) leads 72-19 (!)

Interesting that only 3% of voters are undecided on Prop 1. Guess people's stances are just really baked in now.

Oh, I see what you did there.

[Badger]

PPP did a big North Carolina poll

State Supreme Court:
Anita Earls (D) 37
Barbara Jackson (R) 23
Chris Anglin (R) 14

They also have Democrats leading in two NC Court of Appeals races, one of them featuring similar vote splitting to the Supreme Court race.

The judicial vacancies powergrab amendment is failing 29-43, and the Elections Board powergrab amendment is also failing 40-32. Unfortunately, voter ID is passing 57-34 and the tax cap is passing 50-32.

Despite the last two failing, this is still a massive win. It means Democrats will have control of the election boards at least so long as Cooper or another Democrat is governor, and they will have a 5 - 2 Supreme Court majority. It's basically the end of shenanigans from the GOP and possibly a path to flipping the legislature before the next redistricting.

If the Democrats can kill the super majority this year, they should sue for new maps on day one.