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| | |-+  Cyprus presidential runoff between Anastasiades and Malas
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Author Topic: Cyprus presidential runoff between Anastasiades and Malas  (Read 678 times)
President Weatherboy1102
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« on: January 29, 2018, 11:44:54 am »

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/01/cyprus-election-presidential-race-heads-runoff-180128143143752.html

who will win and by how much?
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Lord Halifax
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« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2018, 02:24:26 pm »


Anastasiades will win by a very clear margin. It was a bad first round for the left. Maybe 58-42 or so if I had to guess. Its not a competitive election.

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petr sokol
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« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2018, 03:58:56 pm »

Why do you mean so? Do DIKO voters prefer in 100 % DISY before AKEL?
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2018, 04:05:08 pm »

Why do you mean so? Do DIKO voters prefer in 100 % DISY before AKEL?

No, they don't. Idk what he's talking about, the runoff will be very competitive. In 2013 Anastasiades led 45-27 in round 1, and then won the runoff 57-43. Now he leads 35-30. The runoff will be very close.
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petr sokol
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« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2018, 04:05:42 pm »

Anastasiades is in first round 10 down compare to the 2013 elections when he won with 57 % in the second round....
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« Reply #5 on: January 29, 2018, 04:25:38 pm »

52-48 for Anastasiadis.
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Lord Halifax
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« Reply #6 on: January 29, 2018, 05:59:12 pm »

Why do you mean so? Do DIKO voters prefer in 100 % DISY before AKEL?

Most people aren't voting for parties, but for persons. Papadopoulos is on the right wing of DIKO and has a very neo-liberal profile. His voters are very unlikely to go left.

In 2013 Malas and Giorgos Lillikas got 26.9 and 24.9% respectively, so the left/centre-left got a majority, which Malas then failed to consolidate behind him in the run-off.

This time Lillikas wasn't taken seriously and only got 2.18% (well below the 5.65% to far right ELAM) and the combined left/centre-left ended up with less than a third of the vote. Its a much more favorable situation for Anastasiades.
« Last Edit: January 29, 2018, 06:24:23 pm by Lord Halifax »Logged
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« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2018, 05:11:03 pm »

I mapped the first round.



Here's a breakdown:

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« Reply #8 on: February 04, 2018, 11:18:17 am »

2nd round exit polls:

CYMAR Exit poll

54.5-59.5% Anastasiades
40.5-45.5% Malas

MARC Exit poll

53-57% Anastasiades
43-47% Malas
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Mike88
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« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2018, 11:45:21 am »

53.6% counted:

56.9% Anastasiades

43.1% Malas

73.7% Turnout
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Mike88
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« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2018, 12:25:14 pm »

100% counted:

56.0% Anastasiades

44.0% Malas

74.0% Turnout

Anastasiades wins all 5 districts, plus the votes from abroad.
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Lord Halifax
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« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2018, 12:27:36 pm »

100% counted:

56.0% Anastasiades

44.0% Malas

74.0% Turnout

Anastasiades wins all 5 districts, plus the votes from abroad.

Fairly close to my 58-42 prognosis.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2018, 01:16:05 pm »

No surprise here. Anastasiadis cleaned up the mess left by Christofias quickly and efficiently.
If only we were lucky enough to have someone like him at the helm instead of a bunch of opportunistic clowns.
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« Reply #13 on: February 04, 2018, 02:11:16 pm »

No surprise here. Anastasiadis cleaned up the mess left by Christofias quickly and efficiently.
If only we were lucky enough to have someone like him at the helm instead of a bunch of opportunistic clowns.
According to polls, he will be kicked out next year.
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