Cyprus presidential runoff between Anastasiades and Malas
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 07:19:49 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  Cyprus presidential runoff between Anastasiades and Malas		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Cyprus presidential runoff between Anastasiades and Malas  (Read 1005 times)
GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,778
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 29, 2018, 11:44:54 AM »
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/01/cyprus-election-presidential-race-heads-runoff-180128143143752.html

who will win and by how much?
Logged
Lord Halifax
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,314
Papua New Guinea


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2018, 02:24:26 PM »

Anastasiades will win by a very clear margin. It was a bad first round for the left. Maybe 58-42 or so if I had to guess. Its not a competitive election.

Logged
petr sokol
Rookie
**
Posts: 16
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2018, 03:58:56 PM »
Why do you mean so? Do DIKO voters prefer in 100 % DISY before AKEL?
Logged
BundouYMB
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 910


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2018, 04:05:08 PM »
Quote from: petr sokol on January 29, 2018, 03:58:56 PM
Why do you mean so? Do DIKO voters prefer in 100 % DISY before AKEL?

No, they don't. Idk what he's talking about, the runoff will be very competitive. In 2013 Anastasiades led 45-27 in round 1, and then won the runoff 57-43. Now he leads 35-30. The runoff will be very close.
Logged
petr sokol
Rookie
**
Posts: 16
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2018, 04:05:42 PM »
Anastasiades is in first round 10 down compare to the 2013 elections when he won with 57 % in the second round....
Logged
thumb21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,679
Cyprus


Political Matrix
E: -4.42, S: 1.82

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 29, 2018, 04:25:38 PM »
52-48 for Anastasiadis.
Logged
Lord Halifax
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,314
Papua New Guinea


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 29, 2018, 05:59:12 PM »
« Edited: January 29, 2018, 06:24:23 PM by Lord Halifax »
Quote from: petr sokol on January 29, 2018, 03:58:56 PM
Why do you mean so? Do DIKO voters prefer in 100 % DISY before AKEL?

Most people aren't voting for parties, but for persons. Papadopoulos is on the right wing of DIKO and has a very neo-liberal profile. His voters are very unlikely to go left.

In 2013 Malas and Giorgos Lillikas got 26.9 and 24.9% respectively, so the left/centre-left got a majority, which Malas then failed to consolidate behind him in the run-off.

This time Lillikas wasn't taken seriously and only got 2.18% (well below the 5.65% to far right ELAM) and the combined left/centre-left ended up with less than a third of the vote. Its a much more favorable situation for Anastasiades.
Logged
thumb21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,679
Cyprus


Political Matrix
E: -4.42, S: 1.82

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2018, 05:11:03 PM »
I mapped the first round.



Here's a breakdown:
Logged
Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,289
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 04, 2018, 11:18:17 AM »
2nd round exit polls:

CYMAR Exit poll

54.5-59.5% Anastasiades
40.5-45.5% Malas

MARC Exit poll

53-57% Anastasiades
43-47% Malas
Logged
Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,289
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2018, 11:45:21 AM »
53.6% counted:

56.9% Anastasiades
43.1% Malas

73.7% Turnout
Logged
Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,289
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2018, 12:25:14 PM »
100% counted:

56.0% Anastasiades
44.0% Malas

74.0% Turnout

Anastasiades wins all 5 districts, plus the votes from abroad.
Logged
Lord Halifax
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,314
Papua New Guinea


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2018, 12:27:36 PM »
Quote from: Mike88 on February 04, 2018, 12:25:14 PM
100% counted:

56.0% Anastasiades
44.0% Malas

74.0% Turnout

Anastasiades wins all 5 districts, plus the votes from abroad.

Fairly close to my 58-42 prognosis.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,799
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2018, 01:16:05 PM »
No surprise here. Anastasiadis cleaned up the mess left by Christofias quickly and efficiently.
If only we were lucky enough to have someone like him at the helm instead of a bunch of opportunistic clowns.
Logged
Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,289
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: February 04, 2018, 02:11:16 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 04, 2018, 01:16:05 PM
No surprise here. Anastasiadis cleaned up the mess left by Christofias quickly and efficiently.
If only we were lucky enough to have someone like him at the helm instead of a bunch of opportunistic clowns.
According to polls, he will be kicked out next year.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 11 queries.