Cyprus presidential runoff between Anastasiades and Malas (user search)
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  Cyprus presidential runoff between Anastasiades and Malas (search mode)
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Author Topic: Cyprus presidential runoff between Anastasiades and Malas  (Read 992 times)
Lord Halifax
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,304
Papua New Guinea


« on: January 29, 2018, 02:24:26 PM »


Anastasiades will win by a very clear margin. It was a bad first round for the left. Maybe 58-42 or so if I had to guess. Its not a competitive election.

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Lord Halifax
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,304
Papua New Guinea


« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2018, 05:59:12 PM »
« Edited: January 29, 2018, 06:24:23 PM by Lord Halifax »

Why do you mean so? Do DIKO voters prefer in 100 % DISY before AKEL?

Most people aren't voting for parties, but for persons. Papadopoulos is on the right wing of DIKO and has a very neo-liberal profile. His voters are very unlikely to go left.

In 2013 Malas and Giorgos Lillikas got 26.9 and 24.9% respectively, so the left/centre-left got a majority, which Malas then failed to consolidate behind him in the run-off.

This time Lillikas wasn't taken seriously and only got 2.18% (well below the 5.65% to far right ELAM) and the combined left/centre-left ended up with less than a third of the vote. Its a much more favorable situation for Anastasiades.
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Lord Halifax
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,304
Papua New Guinea


« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2018, 12:27:36 PM »

100% counted:

56.0% Anastasiades

44.0% Malas

74.0% Turnout

Anastasiades wins all 5 districts, plus the votes from abroad.

Fairly close to my 58-42 prognosis.
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