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August 25, 2019, 03:55:53 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  Change: The 2016 election game. (Sign Up & Rules thread) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Change: The 2016 election game. (Sign Up & Rules thread)  (Read 11937 times)
History505
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« on: January 30, 2018, 04:04:14 pm »

Rick Santorum Campaign Announcement
 April 3rd, 2015

“Today, I am announcing my candidacy for President of the United States! The last 8 years has seen a decline in moral values, and that has got to be put to a stop. As someone who fought against the big government for 12 years and for those core values, I know what it takes to restore them. We have to remember those forgotten men and women, those blue collar workers that work day and night in jobs such as manufacturing. The term ISIS must be called out by its name, radical Islamic terrorism. The enemy cannot be defeated until we call it out my its name with true intention and meaning. I have a plan to defeat ISIS, by adding the necessary resources to the region to make them retreat from their hidden locations. I plan to campaign door by door and county by county to get my message across and I need your help to help restore the values of this great nation. Thank you all and God bless!”
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History505
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« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2018, 11:04:22 am »


45% chance for Bredesen Nomination
25% chance for Dayton Nomination
25% chance for Sanders Nomination

I think that Phil Bredesen can carry the south if he can attract enough conservatives and Attack Sanders enough. He may also be able to carry several other conservative states simply because he is a Conservative DEM.

Dayton and Sanders, However, will have a slugfest. They will both be seen as Progressives with Bernie only saying that he's a democratic Socialist. If Dayton can hit him enough times on that, he may be able to focus on Bredesen then. Sanders will just have to appeal to the masses and attempt to get the youth vote. All in all, unless one of the two becomes a strong number two, Bredesen could ride to the Nomination.


37% chance of Cruz Nomination
35% chance of Portman Nomination
20% chance of Paul Nomination

For the Republicans, it might be extremely tight, but Cruz may be able to take enough conservatives and Paul may be able to take enough Libertarians and youth to defeat Portman. Portman, at the same time, will have to attempt to attract all 3 groups and keep the establishment happy with him, which won't be an easy feat. All in all, Portman may be doomed to lose if he doesn't find a way to attract those 3 specific groups and shake off the establishment.



Cruz: 272/46.4%
Bredesen: 266/47.3%

And that's my election Prediction. Honestly, a lot can change from then to now, but at this point, it looks like it'll be Cruz v Bredesen.

Thoughts?
Rand Paul winning in the South? I don't know about that, those states seem like a better fit for Santorum or Cruz.
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History505
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« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2018, 11:02:26 pm »

It will be interesting how superdelegates come into play in the Democratic Primary.
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History505
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« Reply #3 on: February 11, 2018, 10:09:39 pm »

With Jindal in the race, Santorum is going to drop out and endorse either Jindal or Cruz very soon. Who will be? Stay tuned...
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History505
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« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2018, 02:52:45 pm »

Rick Santorum dropped out too, don't forget that.
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