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Author Topic: Australian by elections  (Read 1210 times)
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CrabCake
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« on: February 02, 2018, 12:28:01 am »

Do we have a thread for these? Anyway, the member for Batman has resigned. Lab Green race is the likeliest result
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« Reply #1 on: February 02, 2018, 01:42:15 am »

An ABC article about the contest. It appears to be getting harder and harder for Reservoir and Preston to outvote the southern parts of the seat. It will be interesting to see what the Liberals do. David Feeney generally received most of the Liberals' preferences on the second ballot over the Greens in past elections.
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« Reply #2 on: February 02, 2018, 08:00:09 am »

Yeah there's going to be an odd movement - perhaps Kearney's background in unionism will be off putting for Lib voters but Feeney was genuinely a terrible fit for this seat so she should attract more floating Green-Lab voters.
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« Reply #3 on: February 02, 2018, 08:11:35 am »

What is Kearney like politically?
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2018, 09:38:02 pm »

Former WA Premier Colin Barnett has resigned his seat of Cottesloe, causing a by-election. Labor isn't running so it's between the Liberals and the Greens, and the Libs will win it.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2018, 03:36:33 am »

Batman's coming in thick and fast, almost 29% first preferences in, and although it's close it looks like Labor will win it by a nose.
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« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2018, 03:55:17 am »

It looks like Labor's going to hold Batman, which isn't good for the Greens.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2018, 04:01:17 am »

34.60% TPP:
51.83-48.17
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« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2018, 04:01:46 am »

Polls close in Cottesloe in an hour.
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« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2018, 04:13:52 am »

Looks like a 1-2% swing to Labor.
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« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2018, 04:21:30 am »

Mr Misadventures forced retirement has definitely helped Labor in Batman, however I can't see a Union woman changing the long-term trend here.
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« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2018, 04:25:23 am »

Ged Kearney has won it for Labor, I can't see Bhathal making a comeback.
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« Reply #12 on: March 17, 2018, 05:00:24 am »

Polls are closed in Cottesloe!!!
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #13 on: March 17, 2018, 05:02:29 am »

There's definitely now a question mark under Di Natale's leadership. Tasmania, Batman and arguably South Australia are not good, and he can't keep pointing to Maiwar.
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« Reply #14 on: March 17, 2018, 05:55:59 am »

As usual for Western Australia they're taking forever to count anything.
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« Reply #15 on: March 17, 2018, 06:00:03 am »

As usual for Western Australia they're taking forever to count anything.
I don't really mind that it's slow to count, it means nothing to the running of anything in WA, it's a very safe Liberal seat that will stay Liberal.
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« Reply #16 on: March 17, 2018, 06:59:20 am »

As usual for Western Australia they're taking forever to count anything.
I don't really mind that it's slow to count, it means nothing to the running of anything in WA, it's a very safe Liberal seat that will stay Liberal.
Obviously, it's not going Green, it's just I like elections.
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« Reply #17 on: March 17, 2018, 08:07:41 am »

The Liberals have won Cottesloe to the tune of 70-30 over the Greens.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #18 on: March 18, 2018, 05:24:51 am »

Only the absentee, provisionals and pre-polls remain to be counted in Batman
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #19 on: March 24, 2018, 12:36:51 am »

WAEC has scheduled the formal declaration of the Cottesloe By-election on Tuesday. Turnout is abysmal, only 66.56%.
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« Reply #20 on: March 24, 2018, 12:41:04 am »

Meanwhile in Batman the AEC will still be legally receiving postal votes until Friday. So we'll probably get the formal declaration in a week and a bits time.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #21 on: March 25, 2018, 04:44:03 pm »

The Cottesloe by-election will be formally declared at 10am Perth time, or 9pm forum time.
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Lincoln Senator Lok
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« Reply #22 on: March 25, 2018, 05:31:44 pm »

Cottesloe will be an absolute blow out for the Liberals against the Greens, it'll probably stay 70-30 like the unofficial results have it as. I wonder what the margin would look like if Labor had run?
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« Reply #23 on: March 25, 2018, 09:46:52 pm »

The Cottesloe by-election will be formally declared at 10am Perth time, or 9pm forum time.
And they've rescheduled the declaration for tomorrow.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #24 on: March 26, 2018, 10:12:14 pm »

Cottesloe has been formally declared
David Honey59.959.960.362.264.270.2
Greg Boland19.619.620.120.624.129.8
Ron Norris9.09.09.410.211.7
Michael Tucak5.45.86.57.0
Cam Tinley3.33.33.6
Michael Thomas2.22.2
Dmitry Malov0.6
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