Costa Rican Presidential and Legislative Elections Feb. 4th

[Neo-JacobitefromNewYork]

First Round, needs 40% to avoid second round
(info from wikipedia and La Nación: Noticias de Costa Rica, the main Tican newspaper)

Fabricio Alvarado           24.91           National Restoration Party  Evangelical anti-LGBT+ hardliner
Carlos Alvarado             21.66             Citizens' Action Party          Progressive President's heir
Antonio Álvarez Desanti 18.62             National Liberation Party     Establishment center-left  
Rodolfo Piza                  16.02             Social Christian Unity Party Establishment Christdems
Juan Diego Castro          9.52              National Integration Party   Populist "Tican Trump"

Legislative Assembly 57 seats proportional representation, candidates run in their one of 7 provinces.
National Liberation Party                  -   -   17   –1
National Restoration Party                  -   -   14   +13
Citizens' Action Party                          -   -   10   –3
Social Christian Unity Party                  -   -   9   +1
National Integration Party                  -   -   4   +4
Social Christian Republican Party              -   -   2   New
Broad Front                                      -   -   1   –8   Over hyped leftists
Accessibility without Exclusion              -   -   0   –1
Authenthic Limonense Party               -   -   0    0
Christian Democratic Alliance             -   -   0   –1
Costa Rican Renewal Party                  -   -   0   –2
Libertarian Movement                          -   -   0   –4  lol

Sorry for messy formatting :/

[Neo-JacobitefromNewYork]

The economic situation has not been good in Costa Rica recently with CAP having the presidency since 2014 but not a majority in Parliament. The Inter-American Court of Human Rights on gay rights was the catalyst for Fabricio Alvarado's meteroric rise, but the population was already really frustrated with government corruption and fights with the legislature.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-04/costa-ricans-vote-for-new-president-amid-gay-marriage-dispute

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[Bojicat]

The economic situation has not been good in Costa Rica recently with CAP having the presidency since 2014 but not a majority in Parliament. The Inter-American Court of Human Rights on gay rights was the catalyst for Fabricio Alvarado's meteroric rise, but the population was already really frustrated with government corruption and fights with the legislature.

I have grave doubt that Fabrizio, a one-issue blank slate, will make it to the end. Though Carlos has an undeniable link to Solis and economic uncertainty in Costa Rica, I sense the establishment (and most of the public) would rather not have a Pentecostal singer take control of government.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

highly recomedn the coverage by Hash here:

https://oldwigwam.com/forums/index.php?topic=59.0

[Shilly]

Here's a map I made of the first round by district.

[Peanut]

The runoff for the Costa Rican Presidential election will be on April 1, this Sunday.
The two candidates are Carlos and Fabricio Alvarado, who finished the first round within 3 points of each other, with Fabricio narrowly ahead.
Carlos, a former Cabinet Minister, is the PAC (Citizens' Action Party) candidate, which has been in power for the last four years. However, Luis Solís's outgoing government is deeply unpopular and scandal-ridden, but he has strong support from young, secular, and educated voters in the most urban Provinces (San José, Heredia, and Cartago.)
Fabricio is the PRN (National Restoration Party) candidate, a Pastor-turned-Congressman who rose to prominence late in January by speaking out against same-sex marriage, though he has been strongly criticized for using religion to earn voters, something the Constitution forbids in Costa Rica. His party is a newcomer in the national scene: picture a Constitution candidate winning a Presidential in the US. His base of support is among the rural, more conservative provinces of Guanacaste, Limon, and Heredia.
This election shattered the two-party system, since the traditional PLN (slightly leftist) and PUSC (more right-wing) have both been locked out of the runoff, albeit the PLN remains the strongest party in the Legislative Assembly.
The election has been very divisive, and polling shows a very tight race-most networks are calling it a virtual tie.
Who do you think will win? Who'd you support?

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

I mean, it's hard to see any good reason for an outsider to want someone like Fabrica Alvarado to win, given his campaign is totally vacuous on everything bar his horrendous social views. Crazy how we were all worried about Castro.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Good news, Carlos had won.

In a landslide actually:
Carlos 60.6%
Fabricio 39.3%

[afleitch]

Good news, Carlos had won.

In a landslide actually:
Carlos 60.6%
Fabricio 39.3%

Yes. Pleasant surprise.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Shilly, how did you make that map?

[Shilly]

Shilly, how did you make that map?

I took the shapefile from here, exported it as a png with MapWindow and used paint.NET to color it in and modify some of the boundaries to reflect recent changes. Thanks for your interest.

I'll post a map of the second round when results are finalized.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

I am so glad that the Costa Ricans rejected the evil Alvarado unequivocally and that the number of decent citizens exceeds the number of deplorables. Congratulations to the good Alvarado!

[Shilly]

And here, as promised, is the second round map.

[Peanut]

And here, as promised, is the second round map.

Cool!  It's really astounding how strong Fabricio was in the Eastern parts of the country.