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| | |-+  Costa Rican Presidential and Legislative Elections Feb. 4th
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Author Topic: Costa Rican Presidential and Legislative Elections Feb. 4th  (Read 1513 times)
Neo-JacobitefromNewYork
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« on: February 05, 2018, 10:36:50 pm »

First Round, needs 40% to avoid second round
(info from wikipedia and La Nacin: Noticias de Costa Rica, the main Tican newspaper)

Fabricio Alvarado           24.91           National Restoration Party  Evangelical anti-LGBT+ hardliner
Carlos Alvarado             21.66             Citizens' Action Party          Progressive President's heir
Antonio lvarez Desanti 18.62             National Liberation Party     Establishment center-left  
Rodolfo Piza                  16.02             Social Christian Unity Party Establishment Christdems
Juan Diego Castro          9.52              National Integration Party   Populist "Tican Trump"

Legislative Assembly 57 seats proportional representation, candidates run in their one of 7 provinces.
National Liberation Party                  -   -   17   1
National Restoration Party                  -   -   14   +13
Citizens' Action Party                          -   -   10   3
Social Christian Unity Party                  -   -   9   +1
National Integration Party                  -   -   4   +4
Social Christian Republican Party              -   -   2   New
Broad Front                                      -   -   1   8   Over hyped leftists
Accessibility without Exclusion              -   -   0   1
Authenthic Limonense Party               -   -   0    0
Christian Democratic Alliance             -   -   0   1
Costa Rican Renewal Party                  -   -   0   2
Libertarian Movement                          -   -   0   4  lol

Sorry for messy formatting :/


« Last Edit: February 05, 2018, 10:38:34 pm by Neo-JacobitefromNewYork »Logged
Neo-JacobitefromNewYork
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« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2018, 11:56:19 pm »

The economic situation has not been good in Costa Rica recently with CAP having the presidency since 2014 but not a majority in Parliament. The Inter-American Court of Human Rights on gay rights was the catalyst for Fabricio Alvarado's meteroric rise, but the population was already really frustrated with government corruption and fights with the legislature.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-04/costa-ricans-vote-for-new-president-amid-gay-marriage-dispute

Quote
Investors are jittery after the fiscal deficit widened to 6.2 percent of gross domestic product last year, the highest since 1983 when the central bank began tracking it. President Luis Guillermo Solis has repeatedly failed to get new taxes through congress.

The Central American nation has suffered a total of five downgrades to its credit rating from Moodys, Fitch and S&P Global Ratings since 2013. Moodys had lifted the nation to investment grade, but all three agencies now rate Costa Ricas bonds as junk.

The central bank said in a report on Thursday that the fiscal deficit will widen further to 7.1 percent of gross domestic product this year and 7.9 percent next year. Debt levels will also rise to a record 53.6 percent of GDP this year and 59 percent next, the bank said.
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Bojicat
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2018, 02:52:20 pm »

The economic situation has not been good in Costa Rica recently with CAP having the presidency since 2014 but not a majority in Parliament. The Inter-American Court of Human Rights on gay rights was the catalyst for Fabricio Alvarado's meteroric rise, but the population was already really frustrated with government corruption and fights with the legislature.

I have grave doubt that Fabrizio, a one-issue blank slate, will make it to the end. Though Carlos has an undeniable link to Solis and economic uncertainty in Costa Rica, I sense the establishment (and most of the public) would rather not have a Pentecostal singer take control of government.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2018, 04:07:03 pm »

highly recomedn the coverage by Hash here:

https://oldwigwam.com/forums/index.php?topic=59.0
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Shilly
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« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2018, 05:00:13 pm »

Here's a map I made of the first round by district.
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Peanut
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« Reply #5 on: March 27, 2018, 05:03:03 pm »

The runoff for the Costa Rican Presidential election will be on April 1, this Sunday.
The two candidates are Carlos and Fabricio Alvarado, who finished the first round within 3 points of each other, with Fabricio narrowly ahead.
Carlos, a former Cabinet Minister, is the PAC (Citizens' Action Party) candidate, which has been in power for the last four years. However, Luis Sols's outgoing government is deeply unpopular and scandal-ridden, but he has strong support from young, secular, and educated voters in the most urban Provinces (San Jos, Heredia, and Cartago.)
Fabricio is the PRN (National Restoration Party) candidate, a Pastor-turned-Congressman who rose to prominence late in January by speaking out against same-sex marriage, though he has been strongly criticized for using religion to earn voters, something the Constitution forbids in Costa Rica. His party is a newcomer in the national scene: picture a Constitution candidate winning a Presidential in the US. His base of support is among the rural, more conservative provinces of Guanacaste, Limon, and Heredia.
This election shattered the two-party system, since the traditional PLN (slightly leftist) and PUSC (more right-wing) have both been locked out of the runoff, albeit the PLN remains the strongest party in the Legislative Assembly.
The election has been very divisive, and polling shows a very tight race-most networks are calling it a virtual tie.
Who do you think will win? Who'd you support?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #6 on: March 27, 2018, 07:40:47 pm »

I mean, it's hard to see any good reason for an outsider to want someone like Fabrica Alvarado to win, given his campaign is totally vacuous on everything bar his horrendous social views. Crazy how we were all worried about Castro.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #7 on: April 02, 2018, 06:57:57 am »

Good news, Carlos had won.

In a landslide actually:
Carlos 60.6%
Fabricio 39.3%
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afleitch
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« Reply #8 on: April 02, 2018, 07:16:53 am »

Good news, Carlos had won.

In a landslide actually:
Carlos 60.6%
Fabricio 39.3%

Yes. Pleasant surprise.
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PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #9 on: April 02, 2018, 02:15:42 pm »

Shilly, how did you make that map?
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Governor Endorsements - 

Tom Wolf (D-PA)
Cynthia Nixon (D-NY)

Senate Endorsements - 

Phil Bredesen (D-TN)
Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
Bob Casey (D-PA)
Dianne Feinstein (D-CA)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) 
Tim Kaine (D-VA)
Beto O'Rourke (D-TX)
Jane Raybould (D-NE)
Jacky Rosen (D-NV)
Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ)
Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)

House - 

Bibiani Boerio (D-PA14)
Madeleine Dean (D-PA04)
Mike Doyle (D-PA18)
Conor Lamb (D-PA17)
Lindy Li (D-PA05)

Beth Fukumoto (D-HI01)
Shilly
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« Reply #10 on: April 02, 2018, 05:11:47 pm »

Shilly, how did you make that map?

I took the shapefile from here, exported it as a png with MapWindow and used paint.NET to color it in and modify some of the boundaries to reflect recent changes. Thanks for your interest.

I'll post a map of the second round when results are finalized.
« Last Edit: April 02, 2018, 05:15:23 pm by Shilly »Logged
Ἅιδης
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« Reply #11 on: April 04, 2018, 08:09:19 am »

I am so glad that the Costa Ricans rejected the evil Alvarado unequivocally and that the number of decent citizens exceeds the number of deplorables. Congratulations to the good Alvarado!
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Shilly
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« Reply #12 on: April 17, 2018, 05:54:09 pm »

And here, as promised, is the second round map.
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Peanut
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« Reply #13 on: April 17, 2018, 08:54:11 pm »

And here, as promised, is the second round map.

Cool!  It's really astounding how strong Fabricio was in the Eastern parts of the country.
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