KY-GOV 2019: Is Matt Bevin in big trouble?

[henster]

ALG should have run for Gov in 2015 and never ran for Senate, I believe she would have won.

[un]

It honestly depends as to who runs against him in 2019. If it's a center-right Blue Dog Democrat, then no. If they really wanted to vote for a Republican, they would vote for Bevin. Why vote for the one with   a D next to it's name? If it's a left wing progressive like Paula Jean (D-WV) is, well then it may be competitive. That Democrat, however, is still in a state Trump won by 25 points or so. So that Democrat has to hammer the message that they don't take PAC or billionaire money, support Medicare for all, open opposition to NAFTA and TPP, and other left wing ideas. Because polls show that a state like Kentucky or West Virginia, which both went to Trump overwhelming, they support left wing ideas, even the Tea Party ones. So yeah, you could flip that seat, but the Democrats have to be smart and run an actual anti establishment liberal.

1) A Blue Dog Democrat is not a Republican with a D next to his/her name.  Otherwise, that person would be a Republican.

2) A Blue Dog Democrat is just as likely to be a socially moderate/conservative "populist" with some left-of-center economic policies (which has historically played well in Kentucky) as he/she is to be a socially liberal, economically moderate/conservative technocrat (which would play horribly).

I don't know about you, but I think a guy like Dan Lipinski or Collin Peterson would fit in nicely in today's Republican party.

[libertpaulian]

With the whole pension drama going on, Bevin may have just signed his political death warrant.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

With the whole pension drama going on, Bevin may have just signed his political death warrant.

He's done. He said all teachers have a "thug mentality", and that was it for him.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

It honestly depends as to who runs against him in 2019. If it's a center-right Blue Dog Democrat, then no. If they really wanted to vote for a Republican, they would vote for Bevin. Why vote for the one with   a D next to it's name? If it's a left wing progressive like Paula Jean (D-WV) is, well then it may be competitive. That Democrat, however, is still in a state Trump won by 25 points or so. So that Democrat has to hammer the message that they don't take PAC or billionaire money, support Medicare for all, open opposition to NAFTA and TPP, and other left wing ideas. Because polls show that a state like Kentucky or West Virginia, which both went to Trump overwhelming, they support left wing ideas, even the Tea Party ones. So yeah, you could flip that seat, but the Democrats have to be smart and run an actual anti establishment liberal.

1) A Blue Dog Democrat is not a Republican with a D next to his/her name.  Otherwise, that person would be a Republican.

2) A Blue Dog Democrat is just as likely to be a socially moderate/conservative "populist" with some left-of-center economic policies (which has historically played well in Kentucky) as he/she is to be a socially liberal, economically moderate/conservative technocrat (which would play horribly).

I don't know about you, but I think a guy like Dan Lipinski or Collin Peterson would fit in nicely in today's Republican party.

No. No they would not. Lipinski is far too liberal on economics and immigration to be a Republican in 2018.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

With the whole pension drama going on, Bevin may have just signed his political death warrant.

He's done. He said all teachers have a "thug mentality", and that was it for him.

Yep, that was a very, very dumb thing to say, especially in a state like Kentucky. Kentuckians may be mostly conservative, but they're also generally very pro-union as well.

[Former Kentuckian]

To say that people here hate Matt Bevin would be an understatement. People are itching for 2019.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

To say that people here hate Matt Bevin would be an understatement. People are itching for 2019.

Just wait until Monday when the Republicans expand the sales tax to cover food. You ain't seen nothin' yet.

[GlobeSoc]

To say that people here hate Matt Bevin would be an understatement. People are itching for 2019.

Just wait until Monday when the Republicans expand the sales tax to cover food. You ain't seen nothin' yet.

y

[libertpaulian]

To say that people here hate Matt Bevin would be an understatement. People are itching for 2019.

Yes, but do ENOUGH of them hate him?  Also, are you in a more conservative part of the state?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, are you in a more conservative part of the state?

I am, and people here hate him too.

[libertpaulian]

Also, are you in a more conservative part of the state?

I am, and people here hate him too.

Are they energetic enough to vote next year?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, are you in a more conservative part of the state?

I am, and people here hate him too.

Are they energetic enough to vote next year?

I certainly am.

[libertpaulian]

Also, are you in a more conservative part of the state?

I am, and people here hate him too.

Are they energetic enough to vote next year?

I certainly am.

Who do you think might run?  Rumor is that Allison Grimes is likely to do it.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, are you in a more conservative part of the state?

I am, and people here hate him too.

Are they energetic enough to vote next year?

I certainly am.

Who do you think might run?  Rumor is that Allison Grimes is likely to do it.

Andy Beshear is a real possibility, and he'd win.

[libertpaulian]

Also, are you in a more conservative part of the state?

I am, and people here hate him too.

Are they energetic enough to vote next year?

I certainly am.

Who do you think might run?  Rumor is that Allison Grimes is likely to do it.

Andy Beshear is a real possibility, and he'd win.

I thought Beshear would challenge Mitch in 2020.

[Badger]

Based on how he performed back when everyone thought he was going to lose (or at least that Conway would keep it close), I wouldn't say he's in big trouble, but he probably isn't cruising to reelection.

[Theodore]

Based on how he performed back when everyone thought he was going to lose (or at least that Conway would keep it close), I wouldn't say he's in big trouble, but he probably isn't cruising to reelection.

[KingSweden]

Based on how he performed back when everyone thought he was going to lose (or at least that Conway would keep it close), I wouldn't say he's in big trouble, but he probably isn't cruising to reelection.

[DINGO Joe]

Yeah, he just upped his chances of losing exponentially by being butthurt about having his budget veto overridden by the legislature that he went on a crazed tirade about teachers that had a walkout/rally to convince the legislature to override the veto that included this:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article208905119.html
(Has video of Gov Bevin becoming unhinged)

The State House passed a bipartisan resolution condemning his behavior.

[henster]

I could see Bevin losing in a blowout and there will be endless articles about what it will mean for 2020.

[libertpaulian]

Yeah, he just upped his chances of losing exponentially by being butthurt about having his budget veto overridden by the legislature that he went on a crazed tirade about teachers that had a walkout/rally to convince the legislature to override the veto that included this:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article208905119.html
(Has video of Gov Bevin becoming unhinged)

The State House passed a bipartisan resolution condemning his behavior.

Next thing he'll rant about how Hillary, Mook, and Podesta ran a child prostitution ring out of said school.

[GlobeSoc]

Yes, and that could trickle down-ballot in the state legislature this year.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

He only won the 2015 Republican primary by 83 votes by the way.

[junior chįmp]

Head clown Matt Bevin is finished in 2019