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| | |-+  Longest loosing steak for a county.
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Author Topic: Longest loosing steak for a county.  (Read 1184 times)
Metalhead123
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« on: February 13, 2018, 08:25:01 pm »

What is the longest a county has gone without voting for the winning candidate in an election?
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« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2018, 09:07:37 pm »

The anti-bellwether?

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Metalhead123
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« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2018, 09:27:00 pm »

The anti-bellwether?


yes
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AMB1996
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« Reply #3 on: February 13, 2018, 09:58:28 pm »

Tough one. I'd imagine it's an county that went D from 1920-28 or R from 1932-48, but flipped to the other party in 1920, 1932, or 1952.  

The problem with this is that counties that vote for losers consistently are usually highly partisan counties during a long streak for the other party.

The current streak (McCain-Romney-Clinton) is held by Gwinnett, Henry, Anne Arundel, and Fort Bend. All of these were Bush '04 counties.

« Last Edit: February 13, 2018, 10:20:48 pm by AMB1996 »Logged

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« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2018, 10:41:01 pm »

Interestingly, there are only two Dole-Gore counties (plus one city in VA), so it seems the longest streak this millennium is four (2000-2012) with the largest county of that type being Beaver, PA.
« Last Edit: February 13, 2018, 10:54:27 pm by AMB1996 »Logged

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« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2018, 10:46:24 pm »


Interestingly, there are only two Dole-Gore counties (plus one city in VA), so it seems the longest streak this millennium is four (2000-2012) with the largest county of that type being Beaver, PA.
What city in VA voted for both Dole and Gore?
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AMB1996
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« Reply #6 on: February 13, 2018, 10:51:53 pm »


Interestingly, there are only two Dole-Gore counties (plus one city in VA), so it seems the longest streak this millennium is four (2000-2012) with the largest county of that type being Beaver, PA.
What city in VA voted for both Dole and Gore?

I pulled this from an older thread here on Atlas. Looks like whoever did that research mixed up Franklin County and Franklin. Or they just looked at the map on Wikipedia, which also has Franklin (city) as a Dole win, even though it went for Clinton by a wide margin.
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AMB1996
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« Reply #7 on: February 13, 2018, 11:01:20 pm »

2004-16: none

2000-2012: Beaver, PA and 43 mostly Appalachian counties

1996-2008: none
 
1992-2004: Clark, MD and Orange, FL

1988-2000: none

Also, depending on how you consider Byrd '60 electors, you could easily find Southern counties that voted Thurmond-Stevenson-Stevenson-Byrd-Goldwater-Wallace. I would guess that's the longest such streak, though I doubt it's what you're looking for.

Doubt many of those counties voted McGovern or Dewey, either, so the streak probably ends there.
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #8 on: February 13, 2018, 11:58:18 pm »

I found a fairly long loosing streak. Tunica County MS (1948-1968)
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Barraco Clintez
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« Reply #9 on: February 14, 2018, 12:01:17 am »

Probably either Ribeye, KY or Filet Mignon, MS
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AMB1996
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« Reply #10 on: February 14, 2018, 12:05:30 am »

I found a fairly long loosing streak. Tunica County MS (1948-1968)

That may be the only Thurmond-Stevenson-Stevenson-Nixon-Goldwater-Wallace county. It's probably one of the only Stevenson-Stevenson-Nixon-Goldwater counties, too. Most of Nixon's counties in the South in 1960 voted for Eisenhower at least once.
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« Reply #11 on: February 14, 2018, 07:19:07 am »

There may be some in Kentucky that went Scott/Fillmore/Bell and then D from 1864 to 1880.
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #12 on: February 14, 2018, 10:28:34 am »

Fannin County GA 1932-1948
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #13 on: February 14, 2018, 10:51:37 am »

This is the longest one I've found so far. Holmes County MS (1948-1972)
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« Reply #14 on: February 14, 2018, 11:11:52 am »

Holmes i think is the longest...surprisingly 3 is the current highest streak:

Orange, Ca
Cobb, GA
Gwinnett, GA
Henry, GA
Anne Arundel, MD
Fort Bend, TX
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« Reply #15 on: February 14, 2018, 11:29:16 am »

I found a fairly long loosing streak. Tunica County MS (1948-1968)

That may be the only Thurmond-Stevenson-Stevenson-Nixon-Goldwater-Wallace county. It's probably one of the only Stevenson-Stevenson-Nixon-Goldwater counties, too. Most of Nixon's counties in the South in 1960 voted for Eisenhower at least once.
Actually, that County voted for Humphrey.

Walpole, Wilmington, and North Reading are Massachusetts Townships that last voted for a winner in 1996 at the latest, and possibly earlier (I lack access to data for New England Township results prior to 2000). Although they are not full fledged Counties.

A total of 40 Counties voted against both George W Bush and Barack Obama twice each. All have since become solidly Republican (you can find the full list in an October 2016 Sabato Crystal Ball article).

Charles County MD, and Orange County FL voted against both Bill Clinton and George W Bush twice each. Both have since become solidly Democratic.

Also, I believe that it is cheating to include Counties as losing streak Counties if they voted 3rd party sometime in between.
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #16 on: February 14, 2018, 01:01:08 pm »

Jefferson County KY: 1856-1880

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« Reply #17 on: February 14, 2018, 06:42:19 pm »

Jefferson County KY: 1856-1880



 So that's the current record holder?
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« Reply #18 on: February 14, 2018, 08:15:15 pm »

Jefferson County KY: 1856-1880



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« Reply #19 on: February 15, 2018, 04:42:37 pm »

Jefferson County KY: 1856-1880



Lol

That is incorrect.

Fremont was not even on the ballot there.
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #20 on: February 15, 2018, 08:29:22 pm »

Jefferson County KY: 1856-1880



Lol

That is incorrect.

Fremont was not even on the ballot there.
Millard Fillmore was
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Solid4096
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« Reply #21 on: February 15, 2018, 09:29:41 pm »

Jefferson County KY: 1856-1880



Lol

That is incorrect.

Fremont was not even on the ballot there.
Millard Fillmore was
3rd party = does not count
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Metalhead123
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« Reply #22 on: February 16, 2018, 07:02:42 am »

Jefferson County KY: 1856-1880



Lol

That is incorrect.

Fremont was not even on the ballot there.
Millard Fillmore was
3rd party = does not count
I mean Millard Fillmore did win the county. Also this is my thread why are you now deciding the rules of my own thread? lmao
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bagelman
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« Reply #23 on: March 02, 2018, 12:17:19 am »

Jefferson County KY: 1856-1880



Lol

That is incorrect.

Fremont was not even on the ballot there.
Millard Fillmore was
3rd party = does not count

Yes it does if he won the county, nutjob.
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