Fair redistricting: Illinois (user search)
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Author Topic: Fair redistricting: Illinois  (Read 11073 times)
Dr. MB
MB
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Libyan Arab Jamahiriya



« on: March 08, 2018, 07:19:54 PM »

Ohio plan and Cleveland highlight



Ohio 1 D+6
Ohio 2 R+18
Ohio 3 D+17
Ohio 4 R+4
Ohio 5 R+23
Ohio 6 R+9
Ohio 7 R+3
Ohio 8 R+19
Ohio 9 D+5
Ohio 10 R+4
Ohio 11 D+25
Ohio 12 R+14
Ohio 13 EVEN
Ohio 14 D+5
Ohio 15 R+14
Ohio 16 D+1

Total:
6 R (R>+6)
7 swing (3 D-leaning, 3 R-leaning, 1 even)
3 D (D>+6)
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Dr. MB
MB
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 15,862
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya



« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2018, 06:13:58 PM »

Ohio plan and Cleveland highlight



Ohio 1 D+6
Ohio 2 R+18
Ohio 3 D+17
Ohio 4 R+4
Ohio 5 R+23
Ohio 6 R+9
Ohio 7 R+3
Ohio 8 R+19
Ohio 9 D+5
Ohio 10 R+4
Ohio 11 D+25
Ohio 12 R+14
Ohio 13 EVEN
Ohio 14 D+5
Ohio 15 R+14
Ohio 16 D+1

Total:
6 R (R>+6)
7 swing (3 D-leaning, 3 R-leaning, 1 even)
3 D (D>+6)

That 15th is quite a few CoIs I have to imagine
I may do a second submission and realign the 6th and 15th.
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Dr. MB
MB
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Posts: 15,862
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya



« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2018, 04:14:29 PM »

This is my base plan. Ohio does not have a statewide system of RCOG's, and many counties are members of multiple organizations. Instead, I'm basing my map on the UCC's.



UCC allocations:

Cleveland 3
Columbus 2+
Cincinnati 2+
Dayton 1+
Akron 1
Toledo 1
Youngstown 1
Canton 1
Remainder 4-

The four-county Cleveland UCC is entitled to 2.751 districts. The area in the extreme NE corner (Geauga and Ashtabula) has to be added to either Cleveland, Akron, or Youngstown regions. The additional population puts the Cleveland region at 3.021. The small surplus complements the small deficit in the Akron region.

The Cleveland region will be divided into: (1) Medina and Lorain, plus western and southern Cuyahoga; (2) Lake, Ashatbula, and Geagua, plus eastern Cuyahoga; (3) Cleveland and other areas in Cuyahoga. Ideally, this can include the near eastern suburbs, so as to provide a maximum minority population.

The Akron UCC is entitled to 0.975 districts. The deficit will be made up from the Cleveland region. Whether this is from Cuyahoga, Medina, or Geauga depends on what provides the best alignment of the Cleveland districts.

Youngstown UCC and Canton UCC are too large to share a district, so the Youngstown region extends southward picking up small industrial towns along the Ohio River, west of the West Virginia northern panhandle.

The Dayton UCC is slightly greater than one district. Miami is dropped, and Fayette is added based on population balance.

The four-county Cincinnati UCC is entitled to 2.193. Two districts needs three counties, plus most of the fourth. Hamilton has population for 1.113 districts. (1) One district will be in Hamilton; (2) Butler, Warren, remainder of Hamilton, and some of Clermont. (3) The remainder of Clermont will be added to an area eastward along the Ohio River (this counts as one of the four outstate regions).

I had originally extended the Canton district southward parallel to the Youngstown district and to meet up with the Cincinnati river district, but that didn't work out very well.

The four-county Columbus UCC has a population equivalent to 2.290 districts. Delaware fits better with Franklin since it is more a pure suburban area, while Licking and Fairfield have distinct population centers of Newark and Lancaster, respectively. Franklin and Delaware, along with Madison and Union have a population equivalent to 1.989 districts. (1) Columbus and southern and eastern areas of Franklin (1) Northern and western Franklin, including parts of Columbus, and Delaware, Union, and Madison.

Fairfield and Licking will form about half of a district stretching eastward. This counts as another of the four outstate districts.

The Canton region was then extended westward.

This means the two remaining outstate regions will be in the western and north central parts of the state. Ideally, the Toledo area would extend eastward along Lake Erie picking up smaller industrial areas, but this made the two rural areas less compact as they had to stretch into the northwest corner of the state. So instead the Toledo area was shifted to include four rural counties in the northwest.

In a better world, we would only need two chops in Cuyahoga, one in Franklin, one in Hamilton, and one in Clermont to achieve reasonable equality.



These are the four Cleveland-Akron seats.



OH-1 (Cleveland) Cleveland and eastern suburbs - Cleveland, Euclid, Cleveland Heights)

-0.02%, D+32.53, B47, A 44, H 5, As 2, O 1.

OH-2 (Cleveland Suburban West - Lorain, Elyria, Lakewood)

-0.04%, R+0.15, A 89, B 4, H 4, As 1, O 2.

OH-3 (Cleveland Suburban South and East - Parma, Mentor, Strongsville)

-0.25%, A 92, B 3, As 2, H2, O 1.

OH-11 (Akron - Akron, Cuyahoga Falls)

+0.00%, A 85, B 11, As 2, H 1, O 1.



There are three Columbus area seats.



FranklinCounty detail



OH-4 (Columbus - Columbus) 97% of the district is in the city of Columbus, Columbus itself is too large for a district, but 91% of the city is in Columbus. The areas of Columbus that are in OH-5 provide contiguity to cities such as Worthington, Upper Arlington, Whitehall, Bexley, and some more populated unincorporated enclaves. Some of the tentacles, such as that between Dublin and Hilliard are trimmed back. Three eviscerated townships: Franklin, Clinton, and Mifflin, parts of two others: Perry, Blendon, and Truro, and two isolated villages: Valleyview and Minerva Park are also included in OH-4.

-0.12%, D+19.77, A 63, B 26, H 5, As 4, O 2.

OH-5 (Columbus Suburbs - Columbus, Grove City. Dublin. Delaware City, Upper Arlington) Roughly 60% of the district is in Franklin, with the remainder in Delaware, Union, and Madison. 94% of the areas in Franlin, that are not in the city of Columbus are in OH-5, where they form about half the district.

-0.13% R+5.19, A 86, B 7, As 4, H 2, O 1.



OH-6 (Eastern - Newark, Lancaster, Zanesville) Roughly half the population are included in the suburban counties of Fairfield and Licking. For population balance, Monroe township of Licking is shifted to OH-5, the western tier of townships of Coshocton is added from OH-14, the southern tier of townships of Belmont is added from OH-13, and the southern tier of Hocking is shifted to OH-9.

+0.20%, R + 14.11, A 94, B 3, O 1, H 1, As 1.
There are several Columbus-area noncontiguous parts.
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Dr. MB
MB
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 15,862
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya



« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2018, 04:30:52 PM »

I am WITHDRAWING my old submission. This is the new submission.




PVI is the same on all except districts 6 and 15.

District 6 is now R+11. 15 is now R+12.
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