Fair redistricting: Illinois

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Muon and Australia swing voter, could you make a 7 seats MN map please? As it seems a likely scenario.

Certainly

[AustralianSwingVoter]

PLEASE NOTE: THIS IS NOT A SUBMISSION
A rough idea of how 7 seats would have gone, in my opinion, in 2010.

District 1 R+04.94 - 51.0 - 46.6
District 7 R+01.70 - 49.7 - 48.5
District 3 R+06.49 - 46.3 - 51.8
District 4 D+11.83 - 61.2 - 36.9
District 5 D+22.20 - 69.9 - 28.2
District 6 R+12.65 - 46.5 - 51.0
District 7 R+04.71 - 52.6 - 44.9

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Minnesota Non-Partisan plan 1 (4 MSP districts).

My first non-partisan redistricting plan for Minnesota. Besides Hennepin, only 2 counties are split, Washington and Wright. There are four MSP districts.

District 1 R+05.14 - 50.2 - 47.5
District 2 D+01.98 - 52.6 - 45.5
District 3 R+03.32 - 48.2 - 50.0
District 4 D+13.78 - 62.6 - 35.5
District 5 D+25.28 - 72.7 - 25.4
District 6 R+11.83 - 45.2 - 52.4
District 7 R+13.12 - 45.8 - 51.9
District 8 R+03.30 - 53.8 - 43.8






Minnesota Non-Partisan plan 2 (5 MSP districts).

My second non-partisan redistricting plan for Minnesota. Besides Hennepin, only 44 counties are split, Wright and Wright. There are five MSP districts.

District 1 R+03.59 - 51.9 - 45.7
District 2 R+00.58 - 50.9 - 47.1
District 3 R+01.54 - 49.6 - 48.6
District 4 D+13.73 - 62.6 - 35.6
District 5 D+24.57 - 72.3 - 25.8
District 6 R+12.42 - 42.9 - 54.9
District 7 R+12.43 - 47.1 - 50.4
District 8 R+03.50 - 53.8 - 43.8

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Minnesota Non-Partisan plan 1 (4 MSP districts).

My first non-partisan redistricting plan for Minnesota. Besides Hennepin, only 2 counties are split, Washington and Wright. There are four MSP districts.

District 1 R+05.14 - 50.2 - 47.5
District 2 D+01.98 - 52.6 - 45.5
District 3 R+03.32 - 48.2 - 50.0
District 4 D+13.78 - 62.6 - 35.5
District 5 D+25.28 - 72.7 - 25.4
District 6 R+11.83 - 45.2 - 52.4
District 7 R+13.12 - 45.8 - 51.9
District 8 R+03.30 - 53.8 - 43.8






Minnesota Non-Partisan plan 2 (5 MSP districts).

My second non-partisan redistricting plan for Minnesota. Besides Hennepin, only 44 counties are split, Wright and Wright. There are five MSP districts.

District 1 R+03.59 - 51.9 - 45.7
District 2 R+00.58 - 50.9 - 47.1
District 3 R+01.54 - 49.6 - 48.6
District 4 D+13.73 - 62.6 - 35.6
District 5 D+24.57 - 72.3 - 25.8
District 6 R+12.42 - 42.9 - 54.9
District 7 R+12.43 - 47.1 - 50.4
District 8 R+03.50 - 53.8 - 43.8

Just noticed, in plan 2 half of all the districts are Obama-Republican PVI

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Iowa Non-Partisan plan.

My nonpartisan redistricting plan for Iowa keeps De Moines within one district and the eastern cities within another.

District 1 D+05.43 - 60.6 - 37.9
District 2 R+04.15 - 55.0 - 43.2
District 3 D+01.33 - 54.0 - 44.1
District 4 R+14.06 - 45.6 - 52.8

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Nebraska Non-Partisan plan.

My nonpartisan redistricting plan for Nebraska splits only one county.

District 1 R+10.71 - 45.1 - 53.3
District 2 R+02.96 - 50.5 - 48.2
District 3 R+28.23 - 29.7 - 68.6

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Kansas Non-Partisan plan.

My nonpartisan redistricting plan for Kansas splits only one county.

District 1 R+25.56 - 30.1 - 68.1
District 2 R+09.19 - 45.8 - 52.2
District 3 R+03.64 - 48.8 - 49.9
District 4 R+14.92 - 39.9 - 58.3

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Oklahoma Non-Partisan plan.

My nonpartisan redistricting plan for Oklahoma splits only two counties.

District 1 R+16.96 - 36.1 - 63.9
District 2 R+23.58 - 34.2 - 65.8
District 3 R+25.32 - 29.3 - 70.7
District 4 R+23.25 - 31.0 - 69.0
District 5 R+09.10 - 41.0 - 59.0

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Kansas Non-Partisan plan.

My nonpartisan redistricting plan for Kansas splits only one county.

District 1 R+25.56 - 30.1 - 68.1
District 2 R+09.19 - 45.8 - 52.2
District 3 R+03.64 - 48.8 - 49.9
District 4 R+14.92 - 39.9 - 58.3

I have been following the Fair redistricting series for some times now and I must admit I m always fond of your maps

Thank you for your most kind comments.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Missouri Non-Partisan plan.

My nonpartisan redistricting plan for Missouri splits only two counties. McCain won the 2nd district by only 289 votes.

District 1 D+27.88 - 79.5 - 19.6 - 49.3 African American
District 2 R+06.97 - 49.5 - 49.5
District 3 R+17.41 - 43.5 - 55.3
District 4 R+17.48 - 41.6 - 56.9
District 5 D+07.20 - 61.4 - 37.4
District 6 R+16.82 - 43.3 - 55.1
District 7 R+23.25 - 35.3 - 63.3
District 8 R+26.28 - 35.6 - 62.8

[AustralianSwingVoter]

When are we moving onto Illinois?

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Illinois Non-Partisan plan.

My non-partisan redistricting plan for Illinois doubles the number Hispanic VRA districts, while maintaining the number of African American VRA districts. Only 4 counties are split, of which only 2 were not required.

District 1 D+28.70 - 81.6 - 17.8 - 51.3 African American
District 2 D+28.03 - 79.7 - 19.6 - 51.0 African American
District 3 D+21.30 - 70.1 - 28.6 - 60.6 Hispanic
District 4 D+29.76 - 78.9 - 19.7 - 50.4 Hispanic
District 5 D+26.90 - 76.3 - 22.5
District 6 D+04.90 - 56.5 - 42.2
District 7 D+36.71 - 88.2 - 11.0 - 50.7 African American
District 8 D+06.20 - 59.1 - 39.7
District 9 D+03.72 - 56.2 - 42.5
District 10 D+06.26 - 59.5 - 39.4
District 11 D+01.36 - 55.7 - 43.1
District 12 R+05.47 - 54.7 - 43.8
District 13 R+11.85 - 48.2 - 50.2
District 14 R+05.23 - 51.4 - 47.2
District 15 R+19.12 - 44.6 - 53.6
District 16 R+04.60 - 53.1 - 45.1
District 17 R+03.52 - 54.0 - 44.5
District 18 R+06.94 - 50.1 - 48.2

[AustralianSwingVoter]

ASV - are your racial/ethnic numbers population or voting age population (VAP)? They look like the former which are not used for VRA purposes. The VRA relies on the citizen VAP, which is close to the VAP for the black population. For Hispanics the non-citizen population is too high to use VAP directly. The courts have established 59.2% HVAP as sufficient to meet the VRA.


I know that the exercise does not require VRA compliance, but we should probably quote the right stats.

I don't use the VAP solely because if I use it it takes even longer to load a state, and given that I use a 2012 MacBook Air you can probably imagine how glacial the loading already is.