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  Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac FL-SEN: Nelson +4  (Read 1099 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: February 27, 2018, 01:16:15 pm »

Nelson 46
Scott 42

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2523
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IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2018, 01:23:54 pm »

Lean D if Scott gets in, Safe D if not.
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Ses
jk2020
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« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2018, 01:24:20 pm »

!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.
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PA is Lean D
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« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2018, 01:24:59 pm »

!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.

OOF
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2018, 01:25:06 pm »

!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.

Pretty sure that's a decline from the numbers we saw pre-Parkland, right?
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PA is Lean D
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2018, 01:25:26 pm »

!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.

Pretty sure that's a decline from the numbers we saw pre-Parkland, right?

His approvals were in the high 50s
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Arch
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« Reply #6 on: February 27, 2018, 01:26:09 pm »

Nosedives commencing
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Mondale
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« Reply #7 on: February 27, 2018, 01:27:34 pm »

!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.

It won't matter. Scott ain't winning
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Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: February 27, 2018, 01:28:23 pm »

Lean D!
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #9 on: February 27, 2018, 01:30:52 pm »

Solid D. Scott's approval will continue to drop and he's at -4 already.
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jk2020
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« Reply #10 on: February 27, 2018, 01:32:09 pm »

According to the poll:

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Then again, I don't think they've polled Florida governor approval much recently.
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jk2020
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« Reply #11 on: February 27, 2018, 01:33:12 pm »

Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.
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hofoid
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« Reply #12 on: February 27, 2018, 01:35:21 pm »

!!

Scott approval positive at 49-40.
Still below 50, though.
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superbudgie1582
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« Reply #13 on: February 27, 2018, 02:25:16 pm »

Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.

Florida is a strange state. Big chunks of Florida are like Alabama  politically and big chunks are like California. It wouldn't surprise me if Trump's numbers have held steady in places while collapsed in others.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: February 27, 2018, 02:28:34 pm »

Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.

Horrendous number for Trump!
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Holmes
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« Reply #15 on: February 27, 2018, 02:29:12 pm »

Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.

Maybe. But Florida strikes me as a high floor, low ceiling state for Trump.
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Mondale
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« Reply #16 on: February 27, 2018, 02:30:14 pm »

Also, Trump approval is...rather high in this poll, 42-54, especially for Q-Pac.

Horrendous number for Trump!

Yeah but look at Rubio's approvals:

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UWS
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« Reply #17 on: February 27, 2018, 03:12:35 pm »
« Edited: February 27, 2018, 04:10:02 pm by UWS »

But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: February 27, 2018, 05:34:39 pm »

But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Haha, they are the gold standard of post-2016 polling.
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DTC
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« Reply #19 on: February 27, 2018, 05:47:04 pm »

But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Considering Nelson wins independents by a 13 pt margin in this poll, it seems like QPAC polled more republicans in the FL senate poll if he's only winning by 4, even though FL has a roughly even amount of dems and republicans.

Usually QPAC does give dems better numbers than other polls, but this poll actually seems somewhat R leaning, lol.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #20 on: February 27, 2018, 05:52:42 pm »

But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.
Enough with this nonsense. Apparently the most accurate pollster is too liberal, how's that for irony.
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2016
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« Reply #21 on: February 27, 2018, 06:09:32 pm »

But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Considering Nelson wins independents by a 13 pt margin in this poll, it seems like QPAC polled more republicans in the FL senate poll if he's only winning by 4, even though FL has a roughly even amount of dems and republicans.

Usually QPAC does give dems better numbers than other polls, but this poll actually seems somewhat R leaning, lol.

Biggest Surprise is Nelson leading Scott among Hispanics 46-37. If Scott is anywhere near 40% in that group he might be able to win this.
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DTC
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« Reply #22 on: February 27, 2018, 06:16:07 pm »

But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Considering Nelson wins independents by a 13 pt margin in this poll, it seems like QPAC polled more republicans in the FL senate poll if he's only winning by 4, even though FL has a roughly even amount of dems and republicans.

Usually QPAC does give dems better numbers than other polls, but this poll actually seems somewhat R leaning, lol.

Biggest Surprise is Nelson leading Scott among Hispanics 46-37. If Scott is anywhere near 40% in that group he might be able to win this.

Not really surprising at all. Florida to the hispanics are quite a bit to the right of the nation, and Rick Scott has a lot of good cred with hispanics after Irma.

Remember: Marco Rubio only lost hispanics by 2 in 2016. (Granted, that's exit poll data... but Marco Rubio ran 10 points ahead of Trump in miami-dave so he clearly did do quite well among hispanics)
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UWS
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« Reply #23 on: February 27, 2018, 07:35:50 pm »

But let's not forget that Quinnipiac is more liberal and is biased to the Democrats.

Considering Nelson wins independents by a 13 pt margin in this poll, it seems like QPAC polled more republicans in the FL senate poll if he's only winning by 4, even though FL has a roughly even amount of dems and republicans.

Usually QPAC does give dems better numbers than other polls, but this poll actually seems somewhat R leaning, lol.

Biggest Surprise is Nelson leading Scott among Hispanics 46-37. If Scott is anywhere near 40% in that group he might be able to win this.
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