South Australian state election - 17th March 2018 (user search)
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  South Australian state election - 17th March 2018 (search mode)
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Author Topic: South Australian state election - 17th March 2018  (Read 12814 times)
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« on: February 28, 2018, 10:13:46 PM »

SA Best don't have a candidate in Stuart, just fyi.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2018, 05:14:05 AM »

Here is SAB's state policies, by the way. Apparently they think that having less parliamentary representation is a good thing. They want to reduce the size of the Assembly from 47 to 34, and the Council from 22 to 17.

https://sabest.org.au/state-policies/
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2018, 05:13:25 PM »

Election morning, and it's still not clear who could win.

My question now is will the computers be able to survive the night, or crash our because of how hugely complex this election could be.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2018, 04:26:48 AM »

Ouch, those numbers in Hartley must be hurting hugely in SAB.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2018, 04:29:22 AM »

Why the  is SAB taking from Labor in a lot of seats, it seems off.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2018, 04:35:38 AM »

This is looking like a 24 seat liberal win.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2018, 04:37:11 AM »

Haha, the ABC's feed of Xenophon's speech is as patchy as their results.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2018, 04:43:58 AM »

Wow, SAB getting blow out in Giles is really surprising me.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2018, 04:47:55 AM »

Heysen back in doubt
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2018, 04:51:48 AM »

Enfield 2PP numbers are not representative according to Antony.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2018, 04:52:52 AM »

Representative numbers have come in for Enfield. Rau will win easily.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2018, 04:54:18 AM »

My current projection is a likely Liberal majority
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #12 on: March 17, 2018, 04:57:39 AM »

Elder is very close.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #13 on: March 17, 2018, 05:07:45 AM »

This parliament looking like it'll be 23-24 in terms of Liberal+other and Labor+other.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #14 on: March 17, 2018, 05:09:16 AM »

Still absolutely nothing in Dunstan. It will NOT happen, but it would be hilarious if Marshall lost and Labor got a path to government.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #15 on: March 17, 2018, 05:11:34 AM »

First figures from Dunstan, Marshall is on 53.4% 2PP
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #16 on: March 17, 2018, 05:12:42 AM »

Liberals win Majority government.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #17 on: March 17, 2018, 05:43:08 AM »

ABC projection
LIBERAL MAJORITY OF 5
LIB: 26
LAB: 18
IND: 3
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #18 on: March 17, 2018, 05:50:23 AM »
« Edited: March 17, 2018, 05:53:35 AM by Fmr. Lincoln Gov. Lok »

ABC projection
LIBERAL MAJORITY OF 5
LIB: 26
LAB: 18
IND: 3

What happened to Team Xenophon?
They haven't done near as well as people expected, they're pulling 18% in the seats they are running in, and 14% statewide. They have come second in quite a few seats, but they have been destroyed on preferences.

Parties like Xenophon's can get to 15% without too much difficulty, but always struggle to get to the point where the floodgates would open, like at 25-30%
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #19 on: March 17, 2018, 06:54:50 AM »

Looking like it could be 4 LIB, 4 LAB, 2 SA-B, 1 GRN in the upper house. Sad that Dignity lost their only seat in the upper house.

Also, eww, Marshall calling Howard a good PM.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #20 on: March 25, 2018, 07:44:24 PM »

Preferences from the Greens, Dignity, AJP, and the like should get labor over the line.

I'm disappointed Kelly Vincent missed out on re-election though Sad
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

« Reply #21 on: March 25, 2018, 11:48:17 PM »

Hartley Count 5

Vincent Tarzia - 43.7
Grace Portolesi - 29.0
Nick Xenophon - 27.3
Ouch
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