European Parliament Election: May 23-26, 2019

[Tender Branson]

With 3 weeks to go, the ÖVP was the last party to start their EU campaign today:





The 10 main ÖVP candidates + Kurz + Weber:

[Tender Branson]

Austria's best pollster, OGM, has released their poll and it has good news for ÖVP, SPÖ and FPÖ:



Turnout: ca. 50% (+5)



https://kurier.at/politik/inland/nur-jeder-zweite-waehlt-eine-partei-aus-ueberzeugung/400484314

[Tender Branson]

I have now decided that I will vote for NEOS and more specifically Claudia Gamon (their frontrunner) this time.

   

The core issues of NEOS regarding Europe are closest to my views (even though I agree on some others more with the SPÖ or the Greens, or even the FPÖ on immigration).

But Claudia Gamon is the only young and female candidate, whereas all the other parties only have old men competing. Besides, I have voted for the SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens in the past already.

Also, Gamon has a good sense of humour:

"Debate with Harald Vilimsky (FPÖ)."



https://www.instagram.com/diegamon

[xelas81]

Is does threshold in France for EU election?
I know that that they changed the system but cannot find any info about it.

[Hash]

Is does threshold in France for EU election?
I know that that they changed the system but cannot find any info about it.

5%, now in a nationwide constituency (as it was until 2004). Closed-list PR.

[Andrea]

Guadeloupe,  Martinique, Guyane, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint-Martin, Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon and Polynésie française will vote on Saturday. Otherwise everybody will be embargoed waiting for Guyane.
Count will be on Saturday at close of polls. Results embargoed....but will leak on the web as always.

Since the regional constituencies have been abolished, they won't matter much (with the oversee constituency electing 3 MEPs, these results had a significant weights on the oversee results given  Reunion was the only biggest territory voting on Sunday).

[Diouf]

The Danish "Who do you agree with the most?" is here: https://www.altinget.dk/kandidater/ep19/

My top5 candidates were from Liberals and Conservatives, ranging from 76-71%. Jens Møller Jensen from the Liberals was no 1, while the PM's son, Bergur Løkke Rasmussen, was 5th. I agreed the least with a Red-Green candidate.

In the Dutch one, I had a tight top3 with CDA first at 53%, VVD second at 50% and FvD at 50%

In the Austrian one, there seemed to be a lot of questions about Europeanizing some things, that might be good ideas, but is not EU competence nor likely to be, and probably shouldn't be. So ended up with FPÖ on top with 93, ÖVP on 26 and all others in minus.

[Tender Branson]

Another 2 election cabins for Austria:

https://wahlhelfer.wienerzeitung.at

https://neuwal.com/barometer/profile.php?b=12&p=0

+ Wahlkabine:

https://wahlkabine.at/eu2019/wahlkabine

[DavidB.]

The Danish "Who do you agree with the most?" is here: https://www.altinget.dk/kandidater/ep19/

Agreed most with 3 DF and 2 People's Movement against the EU candidates with scores from 68% to 62%. Agreed least with an RV candidate (16%).

[Gustaf]

The Danish "Who do you agree with the most?" is here: https://www.altinget.dk/kandidater/ep19/

Agreed most with 3 DF and 2 People's Movement against the EU candidates with scores from 68% to 62%. Agreed least with an RV candidate (16%).

I agreed most with an RV candidate...and least with an RV candidate. 65% and 36% respectively. So that's great.

[Tender Branson]

The UK has confirmed today that they will officially take part in the EU elections on May 23rd, because ratification of a UK withdrawal agreement would not be possible anymore until then.

[Tender Branson]

ÖVP-FPÖs most useful idiot, the German satirist Jens Böhmermann, has created controversy again yesterday by saying in an Austrian ORF interview:

* 8 million Austrians are lunatics and debile (at least it means that 1 million Austrians are not ...)

* that Austria is governed by a 32-year old insurance salesman who annoys everyone around the globe

* that the FPÖ is spewing Nazi topics on a daily basis (which is accurate, but his comments help them a lot before an election like this)

https://www.tt.com/kultur/medien/15617899/boehmermann-spottet-im-orf-oesterreicher-sind-acht-millionen-debile

[Former President tack50]

My results for the 2 tests:

Danish test: Agreed most with 3 people from Radikale Venestre (including the top pick at 79%), one from Alternativet and one from the Socialist People's Party (SF).

Agreed least with someone from the people's movement against the EU, probably because of my pro-EU positions.

Austrian test: Agreed most with NEOS (160) followed by Grüne (138) and SPÖ (128). Only parties in negative are ÖVP (-28) and FPÖ (-102)

[bigic]

My Danish test result: All my top 5 candidates are from ALDE - 4 from Radikale Venstre and 1 from Venstre. I disagree the most with the Red-Green (GUE-NGL) candidate Jakob Nerup.

[pilskonzept]

Danish test:

Kim Pagels (RV) 75%
Jørn Grønkjær (Alternativet) 73%
Amalie Søgaard Nielsen (RV) 71%
Bo Vesterlund (SF) 70%
Annemette Schønberg Johnsen (SF) 69%
...
Thorkil Sohn (Folkebevægelsen mod EU) 33%

Austrian test:

SPÖ +166
Grüne +163
KPÖ +143
NEOS -13
FPÖ -92
ÖVP -168

Weighted, as it allows for a rating between 1 and 9 instead of just single/double weight.

As to my actual ballot...here's the German test

Neue Liberale 73,7 %
Volt 72,4%
CDU/CSU 69,7 %
Free Voters 68,4%
SPD 65,8 %
FDP 65,8 %
GRÜNE 64,5 %
DiEM25 64,5 %
PIRATEN 63,2 %
ÖDP 61,8%
Tierschutzpartei 60,5 %
Die PARTEI 57,9 %
DIE LINKE 50 %
DKP 42,1 %
AfD 38,2 %
NPD 38,2 %
III. Weg 34,2 %

Didn't bother with the rest.

No real surprises. Probably going to vote for PARTEI as they are at least serious about fulfilling their promises

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Right now, the live TV debate between the "top candidates" for the European election, Frans Timmermans (PvdA/SPE) and Manfred Weber (CSU/EVP), is being aired on German state TV.
Although Timmermans is Dutch, his German is better than the English of many German politicians.
I remember how Green politician Ska Keller stammered around in English in a 2014 debate.

[windjammer]

Right now, the live TV debate between the "top candidates" for the European election, Frans Timmermans (PvdA/SPE) and Manfred Weber (CSU/EVP), is being aired on German state TV.
Although Timmermans is Dutch, his German is better than the English of many German politicians.
I remember how Green politician Ska Keller stammered around in English in a 2014 debate.

Who is winning?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Who is winning?

Clearly Timmermans.

[Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy]

In the Danish test I agreed most with Alternative, Social Democratic, [a non-eurosceptic] Red-Green and SPP candidates (67-68%)

Agreed the least with a candidate for PM Against the EU (24%)

[Tender Branson]

As I have already posted, Austria will close polls at 5pm - but the result will only be released by the Interior Ministry at 11pm, when Italy has closed their polls.

Until today it was unclear if there will be some sort of 1st projection by the media after 5pm or not.

But EU election law allows media from the member countries to release exit polls or projections even before the last precinct has closed in Italy.

Therefore, SORA/ORF and ARGE Wahlen for the Austrian Press Agency/ATV will release one each at around 5:15pm.

The only major difference this time is that unlike for a national election, there are no already-counted precincts that the 1st projection can be based on. Based on Paragraph 47 (2) EU election law, the Interior Ministry is restricting any data to be forwarded to the media until 11pm. That applies to all election workers, but not witnesses from parties who observe the election process in each precinct. Therefore SORA and ARGE will "exit poll" those party witnesses to get a first projection. The MoE should be quite a bit higher than in national elections, but should still yield a good result.

https://orf.at/stories/3121466

[Velasco]

CIS poll for the EP elections in Spain

PSOE 29-31% 17-18 seats
PP 18-20% 11-12 seats
Cs 14-16% 8-9 seats
UP 13-15% 8 seats
VOX 7-9% 4-5 seats
ERC+EH Bildu+Others 5-7% 3 seats
JxCAT 1-3% 1 seat
PNV+Others 1-3% 1 seat

Fieldwork was conducted before general elections.

[Tender Branson]

Vienna's online application system for postal ballots has been hacked by unknown perpetrators, but no voter data has been "stolen".

https://wien.orf.at/news/stories/2980688

There was a several hour delay in processing newly requested absentee ballots, but the Vienna city workers simply continued to manually record them instead.

Since Vienna's postal voters overwhelmingly vote Left, it was probably Russian hackers on behalf of the FPÖ ...

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

https://euandi2019.eu/survey/default/EN

A little bit stupid but still decent political compass. And it shows results for the whole EU.

Poland:


The top (this good SDLP or Bulgarian Socialists result disgusts me tbh and this PiS near all those left wing parties is hilarious)


the bottom

[bigic]

The test isn't very good.
BTW can we move all posts about political compasses and test to a separate thread?

[Former President tack50]

My results for that test

Spain

PSOE: 84%
CEUS (PNV+CC): 79%
Cs: 72%
CxE (Comp+NCa+ChA): 72%
Ahora Repúblicas (ERC+Bildu+BNG): 60%
UP: 60%
PP: 48%
Vox: 35%

Surprising to see Cs in third and well above UP. I guess the fact that Catalonia and centralism isn't an EU issue helps?

Europe at large, top 5

Progresivie (Latvia): 91%
cdH (Belgium): 89%
Vihr (Finland): 89%
Ecolo (Belgium): 87%
Initiative 1 Austria: 87%

Europe at large, bottom 5

Golden Dawn (Greece): 29%
Dansk Folkeparti (Denmark): 29%
PCTP-MRPP (Portugal): 29%
SPD (Czech Republic): 28%
Brexit Party (UK): 28%
NHR (Croatia): 20%

On an extremely interesting note, the country that agrees with me the most is Latvia while the one that agrees the least is Lithuania lol