European Parliament Election: May 23-26, 2019

[Mike88]

A journalist on SIC TV just said that PS and PSD, combined, will only sum something just above 50%... Yikes! Waiting for the exit polls.

[Donerail]

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1132709279679602689

BritainElects is a Twitter account. What's the source here?

Apparently it’s based on turnout figures thus far. Nothing based on exit polls or results at all.

i.e just a glorified guess

Ah, worse than that — it's based on both turnout figures and polling, which has been garbage. Junk in, junk out.

[Mike88]

Rumours that Basta! has won a seat. We'll see.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1132709279679602689

BritainElects is a Twitter account. What's the source here?

Apparently it’s based on turnout figures thus far. Nothing based on exit polls or results at all.

i.e just a glorified guess

Ah, worse than that — it's based on both turnout figures and polling, which has been garbage. Junk in, junk out.

Well I'm sorry for posting it then - It popped up in the EuropeElects feed and I thought it was an exit poll.

[DavidB.]

Sweden:

[Diouf]

Epinion exit poll updated with more respondents. Not big movements. DPP up to 12.0%, edging closer to a second seat (at least as a potential seat if UK leaves). In their poll, it would take 12.4% for DPP to take the 14th seat from the Social Democrats.

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

https://twitter.com/BDStanley/status/1132723256606232583

[Mike88]

Portugal - Exit polls:

RTP1

30-34% PS
20-24% PSD
  9-12% BE
    7-9% CDU
    5-7% CDS
    4-6% PAN

SIC

30.9-34.9% PS
21.8-25.8% PSD
  8.5-11.5% BE
    5.3-8.3% CDU
    4.7-7.3% PAN
    4.7-7.3% CDS

[crals]

Portugal - Exit polls:

RTP1

30-34% PS
20-24% PSD
  9-12% BE
    7-9% CDU
    5-7% CDS
    4-6% PAN

SIC

30.9-34.9% PS
21.8-25.8% PSD
  8.5-11.5% BE
    5.3-8.3% CDU
    4.7-7.3% PAN
    4.7-7.3% CDS

Abysmal result for the right. I'm shocked.

[Mike88]

Portugal - Exit polls:

RTP1

30-34% PS
20-24% PSD
  9-12% BE
    7-9% CDU
    5-7% CDS
    4-6% PAN

SIC

30.9-34.9% PS
21.8-25.8% PSD
  8.5-11.5% BE
    5.3-8.3% CDU
    4.7-7.3% PAN
    4.7-7.3% CDS

Abysmal result for the right. I'm shocked.

Yeah... PSD really bad, but CDS... Jesus!

CMTV has also an exit poll:

33.4% PS
27.1% PSD
12.1% BE
  8.8% CDU
  7.6% CDS

Let's see what the real results say.

[Walmart_shopper]

https://twitter.com/BDStanley/status/1132723256606232583

What a failure for the anti-PiS opposition if true.

[Tirnam]

So apparently the French Interior Ministry releases the results, I thought it was forbidden until 11pm.
https://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/europeennes-2019/FE.html

41% counted
RN - 27.05%
LREM - 20.40%
EELV - 11.88%
LR - 8.58%
LFI - 6.17%
PS - 5.65%

[Beezer]

Grand Coalition voters will be gone soon...

[FredLindq]

Sweden Valu: S 5 (+/-0), M 4 (+1), SD 3 (+1), C 2 (+1),  MP 2 (-2), KD 2 (+1), V 1 (+/-0) L 1 (-1), FI 0 (-1)

[urutzizu]

UK: estimated declaration times (uk time)
The following regions will declare at the below times, according to the Press Association.

East Midlands – 11.30pm Sunday (11.20pm in 2014)
Eastern – 11.30pm Sunday (10.30pm in 2014)
London – 2am Monday (3.06am in 2014)
North-east – 10.30am Sunday (10.15am in 2014)
North-west – 12.30am Monday (12.24am in 2014)
Scotland – 11am Monday (12.35pm in 2014). N.B. Seats allocation for Scotland will be known from overnight local counts but the Western Isles count taking place in the day delays the final declaration.
Wales – 12.01am Monday (11.38pm Sunday in 2014)
South-east – 1am Monday (12.46pm in 2014)
South-west – 11.00pm Sunday (11.38pm in 2014)
West Midlands – 12.01am Monday (12.30am in 2014)
Yorkshire & the Humber – 11pm Sunday (11.28pm in 2014)

from the Guardian

[Umengus]

So apparently the French Interior Ministry releases the results, I thought it was forbidden until 11pm.
https://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/europeennes-2019/FE.html

41% counted
RN - 27.05%
LREM - 20.40%
EELV - 11.88%
LR - 8.58%
LFI - 6.17%
PS - 5.65%

Ipsos predicts that RN will finish at 23 %, Lrem 22 % and Greens at 13 %.

[thumb21]

Like Cyprus, results also leaking in Greece as well (Greeks don't follow rules).

Very bad so far for Syriza and Golden Dawn (who are losing support to EL).

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1132728325653368833

[Lord Halifax]

So apparently the French Interior Ministry releases the results, I thought it was forbidden until 11pm.
https://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/europeennes-2019/FE.html

41% counted
RN - 27.05%
LREM - 20.40%
EELV - 11.88%
LR - 8.58%
LFI - 6.17%
PS - 5.65%

Ipsos predicts that RN will finish at 23 %, Lrem 22 % and Greens at 13 %.

Seems closer than expected. Any chance LREM pass RN?

[Tirnam]

So apparently the French Interior Ministry releases the results, I thought it was forbidden until 11pm.
https://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/europeennes-2019/FE.html

41% counted
RN - 27.05%
LREM - 20.40%
EELV - 11.88%
LR - 8.58%
LFI - 6.17%
PS - 5.65%

Ipsos predicts that RN will finish at 23 %, Lrem 22 % and Greens at 13 %.

Seems closer than expected. Any chance LREM pass RN?

Ifop now estimates RN 23.6%, LREM 22.9%

[Umengus]

So apparently the French Interior Ministry releases the results, I thought it was forbidden until 11pm.
https://elections.interieur.gouv.fr/europeennes-2019/FE.html

41% counted
RN - 27.05%
LREM - 20.40%
EELV - 11.88%
LR - 8.58%
LFI - 6.17%
PS - 5.65%

Ipsos predicts that RN will finish at 23 %, Lrem 22 % and Greens at 13 %.

Seems closer than expected. Any chance LREM pass RN?

weak because the projection is very solid, based on 1/3 votes.

[Tender Branson]

The EU parliament estimates turnout at 51%, up from 42.6% in 2014 and the highest in more than 20 years.

It would also be higher than the 50% in the US midterms last year (see the bet here).

http://www.electproject.org/2018g

[Matty]

Which ideologies are doing well so far?

[Antonio the Sixth]

Does anyone have a link to the British edition of BBC news? All those I've found are region-locked.

[Helsinkian]

Does anyone have a link to the British edition of BBC news? All those I've found are region-locked.

Does it have to be BBC? Sky News is available on YouTube.

[SunSt0rm]

Which ideologies are doing well so far?

Eurosceptics, Liberals and Greens. Biggest losers are Conservatives and Social Democrats