Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker, April 5-11, 16160 adults (14150 RV)

Among all adults:

Approve 44(+1)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 24 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (-1)

Among RV:

Approve 45 (nc)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

Strongly approve 26 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-1)

[LimoLiberal]

CA-49, SurveyUSA: http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/politics/sd-me-congress-polls-20180412-story.html

Approve - 46
Disapprove - 49

Clinton won this district by 9 points in 2016.

[Matty]

CA-49, SurveyUSA: http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/politics/sd-me-congress-polls-20180412-story.html

Approve - 46
Disapprove - 49

Clinton won this district by 9 points in 2016.

Wonder if state-level sanctuary city issues being front and center in southern California at the moment is causing wealthy, educated whites in the region, who supported trump by a much smaller margin than republicans in the past, to "rally" around him because of this issue.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Rasmussen 4/12

Approve - 50 (+1)
Disapprove - 49 (-1)

This is great news for Donald Trump, and proves that the the Democrats strategy off screaming “Russia, Russia, Russia”, and lately their strategy of screaming “Stormy, Stormy, Stormy”, is clearly backfiring. This is just more evidence for why Democrats must follow the road of Bernie Sanders or face perpetual insignificance.

It proves nothing. Rasmussen has been fully discredited garbage for almost a decade. It hasn't been a good/honest pollster since 2008.

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP, April 9-10, 618 RV

Approve 40 (+1)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

[Comrade Funk]

The American people are ignorant to blatant stupidity

[BoAtlantis]

CA-49, SurveyUSA: http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/politics/sd-me-congress-polls-20180412-story.html

Approve - 46
Disapprove - 49

Clinton won this district by 9 points in 2016.

Wonder if state-level sanctuary city issues being front and center in southern California at the moment is causing wealthy, educated whites in the region, who supported trump by a much smaller margin than republicans in the past, to "rally" around him because of this issue.

A part of it may be due to revert to the mean and/or that they're starting to see the effect of tax cut. And wealthy, educated people, if anything, are more libertarian than the average American. They're more likely to be sympathetic to sanctuary city and supportive of immigration reform.

[RFayette]

CA-49, SurveyUSA: http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/politics/sd-me-congress-polls-20180412-story.html

Approve - 46
Disapprove - 49

Clinton won this district by 9 points in 2016.

Wonder if state-level sanctuary city issues being front and center in southern California at the moment is causing wealthy, educated whites in the region, who supported trump by a much smaller margin than republicans in the past, to "rally" around him because of this issue.

A part of it may be due to revert to the mean and/or that they're starting to see the effect of tax cut. And wealthy, educated people, if anything, are more libertarian than the average American. They're more likely to be sympathetic to sanctuary city and supportive of immigration reform.

Perhaps, but in the case of a district-level poll the simplest explanation is that it isn't a representative sample.  I would be very surprised if Trump's approval in that area is above the national average.

[KingSweden]

CA-49, SurveyUSA: http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/politics/sd-me-congress-polls-20180412-story.html

Approve - 46
Disapprove - 49

Clinton won this district by 9 points in 2016.

Wonder if state-level sanctuary city issues being front and center in southern California at the moment is causing wealthy, educated whites in the region, who supported trump by a much smaller margin than republicans in the past, to "rally" around him because of this issue.

A part of it may be due to revert to the mean and/or that they're starting to see the effect of tax cut. And wealthy, educated people, if anything, are more libertarian than the average American. They're more likely to be sympathetic to sanctuary city and supportive of immigration reform.

Perhaps, but in the case of a district-level poll the simplest explanation is that it isn't a representative sample.  I would be very surprised if Trump's approval in that area is above the national average.

^^^^^

[Matty]

It's because of rasmussen, but trump's rcp average is at 42.8.

Highest since april of 2017

[King Lear]

It's because of rasmussen, but trump's rcp average is at 42.8.

Highest since april of 2017

This should send shivers down the spine of Democrats, if Trumps approval is this high in November (he's 50% in Rassmusen), then Republicans will definitely hold the House and lose several Senate seats. Meanwhile, Democrats will be screaming about the "Russia conspiracy", the "Stormy Daniels scandal", #metoo, and transgenderism.

[junior chįmp]

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[Hindsight was 2020]

It's because of rasmussen, but trump's rcp average is at 42.8.

Highest since april of 2017

This should send shivers down the spine of Democrats, if Trumps approval is this high in November (he's 50% in Rassmusen), then Republicans will definitely hold the House and lose several Senate seats. Meanwhile, Democrats will be screaming about the "Russia conspiracy", the "Stormy Daniels scandal", #metoo, and transgenderism.

And when the opposite happens you'll just move onto "he is going to win reelection like Clinton and Obana" until Virginia finally has enough and kicks you out

[KingSweden]

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I thought they only released polls on Mondays now?

[BudgieForce]

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I thought they only released polls on Mondays now?

I guess the movement the last couple of days warranted numbers being released before Monday.

Edit: Or it could be a separate poll from their tracker, but then why would they have two separate polls going?

[LimoLiberal]

PA Poll: http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-nws-morning-call-muhlenberg-pennsylvania-poll-governor-senate-20180411-story.html


Trump Approval:
Approve - 39
Disapprove - 55

Trump won PA 48-47 in 2016

Also, approval of Tax Bill:
Approve - 39
Disapprove - 46

[Progressive Pessimist]

The American people are ignorant to blatant stupidity

[GeorgiaModerate]

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I thought they only released polls on Mondays now?

I guess the movement the last couple of days warranted numbers being released before Monday.

Edit: Or it could be a separate poll from their tracker, but then why would they have two separate polls going?

This is a separate poll from their weekly job approval tracker.  This is a less frequent poll on favorability, which may differ from job approval.  Source: http://news.gallup.com/poll/232433/trump-favorable-rating-dips.aspx

[pbrower2a]

PA Poll: http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-nws-morning-call-muhlenberg-pennsylvania-poll-governor-senate-20180411-story.html




Trump Approval:
Approve - 39
Disapprove - 55

Trump won PA 48-47 in 2016

Also, approval of Tax Bill:
Approve - 39
Disapprove - 46

Interpreting this poll at its most charitable for President Trump (that the Trump vote will be 100-disapproval, figuring that he would pick up all undecided voters) suggests that President Trump will lose Pennsylvania 55-45. Republican nominees have won without  Pennsylvania, but the last time that they lost Pennsylvania so badly was 2008. We all know how that went.

Note that approval of the tax bill (a very right-wing agenda, and something generally not currently  in the public eye) is about as popular as the President himself.



Approval:

55% or higher dark blue
50-54% medium blue
less than 50% but above disapproval pale blue
even white
46% to 50% but below disapproval pale red
42% to 45% medium red
under 42% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 39
DC 17
DE 39
HI 33
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 45
NE-02 38
NE-03 55
NH 36
RI 30
VT 32

Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.

100-Disapproval

55% or higher dark blue
50% to 54% or higher but not tied medium blue
50% or higher but negative pale blue
ties white
45% or higher and negative pale red
40% to 44% medium red
under 40% deep red

States and districts hard to see:

CT 41
DC 20
DE 43
HI 36
NH 39
NJ 37
RI 30
NE-01 55
NE-02 46
NE-03 66
RI 30
VT 36


Nebraska districts are shown as 1, 2, and 3 from left to right on the map, even if they are geographically 3, 1, and 2 from west to east.


Nothing from before November 2017. Polls from Alabama, New Jersey, and Virginia are exit polls from 2017 elections.  

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The attack on Syria will hurt him even more. People are sick of years and years of endless wars.

[Crumpets]

The attack on Syria will hurt him even more. People are sick of years and years of endless wars.

I'm not so sure. Didn't his strike on Shayrat bring his approval ratings to a near-high?

[BudgieForce]

The attack on Syria will hurt him even more. People are sick of years and years of endless wars.

I'm not so sure. Didn't his strike on Shayrat bring his approval ratings to a near-high?

Did it?

[Crumpets]

The attack on Syria will hurt him even more. People are sick of years and years of endless wars.

I'm not so sure. Didn't his strike on Shayrat bring his approval ratings to a near-high?

Did it?

Looking back on it, it was about 2.5 percentage points below his high of 46%, but it was still a pretty sizeable bump. The strike happened on April 7th, 2017: https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The attack on Syria will hurt him even more. People are sick of years and years of endless wars.

I'm not so sure. Didn't his strike on Shayrat bring his approval ratings to a near-high?

Did it?

No.

[pbrower2a]

The attack on Syria will hurt him even more. People are sick of years and years of endless wars.

He may get a short-lived bump as Americans rally behind the President whenever there is some international crisis. But let it start going bad (body bags in a murky situation) or have at best superficial effect, then the bump will fade.

As with other deeds of this terribly-flawed President I expect bad results even in diplomacy. I expect Vladimir Putin to call him on the carpet for this and that he will  whine like a puppy who just got a spanking for defecating on the kitchen floor.