twenty42
Jr. Member
Posts: 861
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« on: March 02, 2018, 02:33:19 AM » |
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In particular, the two annoying suppositions that Sanders would've beaten Trump and that Kasich would've done much better against Hillary than Trump did.
It is very unlikely that a loser in the primary would've done better in the GE than the eventual nominee, and there is one big reason why this is true. The fact is that it is much, MUCH harder to win a primary than it is to win a GE. You have to battle members of your own party, which requires much more nuance than battling the sworn enemy. Also, a primary is rarely a binary contest, which means you have to siphon votes from multiple challengers. Finally, primaries are much more complicated than GE's, and require a lot more strategy in terms of timing and delegate math.
Winning a presidential primary in and of itself puts you on a much higher plane than any of your challengers, and it is foolish to think that an also-ran in such a contest would have the gumption to defeat the nominee on the other side.
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