CA Gov: David Binder Research, Newsom 26%, Cox 16%, Chiang 13%
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  CA Gov: David Binder Research, Newsom 26%, Cox 16%, Chiang 13%
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Author Topic: CA Gov: David Binder Research, Newsom 26%, Cox 16%, Chiang 13%  (Read 825 times)
Coastal Elitist
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« on: March 16, 2018, 12:49:03 AM »

New poll from David Binder Research has Newsom leading with Cox in second and 12% undecided.
https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/In-governor-s-race-polls-Cox-makes-a-case-for-12757085.php

Newsom 26%
Cox 16%
Chiang 13%
Villaraigosa 12%
Allen 10%
Eastin 7%
Renteria 4%

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Pollster
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« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2018, 08:28:49 AM »

Also isn't this supposed to be Newsom's pollster?  And they show him slipping outside of the margin of error?  Good news for my pick Chiang.

Looks like the intention was to make Villaraigosa look weak.
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2018, 11:35:10 AM »

Looks like Republicans have moved from "undecided" to their candidates now.  Still at 26% between Cox & Allen this is likely closer to their ceiling.  A competitive Democratic primary with more enthusiasm just drowns them out too much.
I think most undecideds are probably Republicans since the Democrats already have 62% in this poll. In a governor's race the ceiling is more like 40% for Republicans. In the past independent voters have been more willing to vote for a Republican governor then send a Republican senator to congress. Don't compare this race to 2016's senate race they are different.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2018, 02:27:11 PM »

Yeah, at this point neither D v. R nor D v. D is a surprising outcome for the jungle.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2018, 03:13:39 PM »

Yeah, at this point neither D v. R nor D v. D is a surprising outcome for the jungle.

What will be interesting is how the minor nobody candidates do. It's kinda hard to get good poll numbers for them. How they do will have a big impact on whether it's D-D or D-R.
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