Who does Phil Bryant appoint to replace Cochran?

[Greedo punched first]

Who replaces Cochran?

[PAK Man]

Seems like Hosemann would be the one he appoints, though Hyde-Smith would be Mississippi's first female senator. Not sure if that would factor in Bryant's decision or not, but it's worth noting.

[Greedo punched first]

Who has a better chance of beating McDaniel?

[Dr. MB]

Who has a better chance of beating McDaniel?

Neither.

[Rhenna]

I am sure he'll try to pick somebody that can beat McDaniel in a primary.

[Greedo punched first]

I am sure he'll try to pick somebody that can beat McDaniel in a primary.

The appointed Senator doesn't need to beat McDaniel in the primary, that candidate needs to beat McDaniel in the November 27 runoff.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Mississippi is not ready for a woman.

[7,052,770]

I am sure he'll try to pick somebody that can beat McDaniel in a primary.

The appointed Senator doesn't need to beat McDaniel in the primary, that candidate needs to beat McDaniel in the November 27 runoff.

As long as the list of major candidates per party isn't higher than 2, it's pretty unlikely that it will be anything other than a DvsR runoff.

Delbert should be the much stronger candidate on November 6 than Hyde-Smith.

[The Arizonan]

Seems like Hosemann would be the one he appoints, though Hyde-Smith would be Mississippi's first female senator. Not sure if that would factor in Bryant's decision or not, but it's worth noting.

Mississippi is the only state in the Union that has never elected a woman to either chamber of Congress or to the governor's mansion. That could change even if Cindy Hyde-Smith doesn't get appointed because of the open House race in MS-03.

[NewYorkExpress]

I still think Steven Palazzo, Phillip Gunn are possible.

If Bryant really wants to be canny, he can appoint Hood, because even in a Dem midterm it's unlikely a Democratic incumbent will win in Mississippi, and Hood being the incumbent other Republican will encourage other Republicans to join McDaniel in the race (and maybe beat him).

Even if Hood does win in the special, he'll lose in 2020 anyways, as he probably won't outrun Republican turnout atop the ballot.

[Greedo punched first]

It will be Hyde-Smith or Hosemann.

[7,052,770]

I still think Steven Palazzo, Phillip Gunn are possible.

If Bryant really wants to be canny, he can appoint Hood, because even in a Dem midterm it's unlikely a Democratic incumbent will win in Mississippi, and Hood being the incumbent other Republican will encourage other Republicans to join McDaniel in the race (and maybe beat him).

Even if Hood does win in the special, he'll lose in 2020 anyways, as he probably won't outrun Republican turnout atop the ballot.

It won't be Palazzo, because that would surrender his House seat to the Democratic challenger - it's past the filing deadline for another Republican to run for that seat.

[Jeppe]

I think it'll be Hyde-Smith, what's the point in replacing an old-timer with another old-timer in Hosemann.

[The Arizonan]

I think it'll be Hyde-Smith, what's the point in replacing an old-timer with another old-timer in Hosemann.

Candidate strength?

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

I still think Steven Palazzo, Phillip Gunn are possible.

If Bryant really wants to be canny, he can appoint Hood, because even in a Dem midterm it's unlikely a Democratic incumbent will win in Mississippi, and Hood being the incumbent other Republican will encourage other Republicans to join McDaniel in the race (and maybe beat him).

Even if Hood does win in the special, he'll lose in 2020 anyways, as he probably won't outrun Republican turnout atop the ballot.

As a democrat, I wouldn't object to this, but this would be god-awful for Republicans in every way. It would make the senate 50-50, it would move the seat from a Tossup to Lean D, and it would eliminate any chance republicans had of an R v. R race.

[Dr. MB]

I still think Steven Palazzo, Phillip Gunn are possible.

If Bryant really wants to be canny, he can appoint Hood, because even in a Dem midterm it's unlikely a Democratic incumbent will win in Mississippi, and Hood being the incumbent other Republican will encourage other Republicans to join McDaniel in the race (and maybe beat him).

Even if Hood does win in the special, he'll lose in 2020 anyways, as he probably won't outrun Republican turnout atop the ballot.

It won't be Palazzo, because that would surrender his House seat to the Democratic challenger - it's past the filing deadline for another Republican to run for that seat.

There’s another Republican, E. Brian Rose, running.

[Jeppe]

https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/665443?unlock=E1522ZS6XHETSKT1

[NewYorkExpress]

I still think Steven Palazzo, Phillip Gunn are possible.

If Bryant really wants to be canny, he can appoint Hood, because even in a Dem midterm it's unlikely a Democratic incumbent will win in Mississippi, and Hood being the incumbent other Republican will encourage other Republicans to join McDaniel in the race (and maybe beat him).

Even if Hood does win in the special, he'll lose in 2020 anyways, as he probably won't outrun Republican turnout atop the ballot.

As a democrat, I wouldn't object to this, but this would be god-awful for Republicans in every way. It would make the senate 50-50, it would move the seat from a Tossup to Lean D, and it would eliminate any chance republicans had of an R v. R race.

It would also eliminate any chance of McDaniel actually being elected Senator and becoming a National embarrassment ala Roy Moore, which might be more important.

[NewYorkExpress]

https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/665443?unlock=E1522ZS6XHETSKT1

Given this is Mississippi we're talking about, I think we get either a Hyde-Smith/Espy, Hyde-Smith/Baria or McDaniel/Hyde-Smith runoff.

In the first two, Hyde-Smith wins a close race. In the third one, McDaniel rides a Trump endorsement, and conservative anger to an upset victory.

[Greedo punched first]

Democrats would vote for Hyde-Smith in a race against McDaniel.

[NewYorkExpress]

Democrats would vote for Hyde-Smith in a race against McDaniel.

There are more Democrats who vote Republican in Mississippi, than there are straight ticket Democrats.

[Greedo punched first]

Democrats would vote for Hyde-Smith in a race against McDaniel.

There are more Democrats who vote Republican in Mississippi, than there are straight ticket Democrats.

Hyde-Smith is a Republican. I can't see Democrats voting for McDaniel. African-American voters would also likely vote for Hyde-Smith.

[NewYorkExpress]

Democrats would vote for Hyde-Smith in a race against McDaniel.

There are more Democrats who vote Republican in Mississippi, than there are straight ticket Democrats.

Hyde-Smith is a Republican. I can't see Democrats voting for McDaniel. African-American voters would also likely vote for Hyde-Smith.

Straight ticket Democrats would stay home, everyone else probably votes for McDaniel.

[Greedo punched first]

Democrats would vote for Hyde-Smith in a race against McDaniel.

There are more Democrats who vote Republican in Mississippi, than there are straight ticket Democrats.

Hyde-Smith is a Republican. I can't see Democrats voting for McDaniel. African-American voters would also likely vote for Hyde-Smith.

Straight ticket Democrats would stay home, everyone else probably votes for McDaniel.

That didn't happen in 2014. Democrats voted for Cochran in the GOP primary.

[NewYorkExpress]

Democrats would vote for Hyde-Smith in a race against McDaniel.

There are more Democrats who vote Republican in Mississippi, than there are straight ticket Democrats.

Hyde-Smith is a Republican. I can't see Democrats voting for McDaniel. African-American voters would also likely vote for Hyde-Smith.

Straight ticket Democrats would stay home, everyone else probably votes for McDaniel.

That didn't happen in 2014. Democrats voted for Cochran in the GOP primary.

Cochran ran a more competent campaign than I think Hyde-Smith will.