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  MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly
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Author Topic: MO-Gravis: McCaskill leads narrowly  (Read 1193 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: March 12, 2018, 08:06:04 am »

https://www.scribd.com/document/373614957/2018-Poll-Missouri-March-10-2018

McCaskill (D, i) - 42
Hawley (R) - 40

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Greitens way underwater at 34-50, as well.
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PA is Lean D
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2018, 08:22:24 am »

WOO!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2018, 08:27:05 am »

Those are kind of mediocre numbers for both candidates, honestly.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #3 on: March 12, 2018, 08:29:24 am »

Those are kind of mediocre numbers for both candidates, honestly.

Yes, 42 is pretty horrible for an incumbent. But 40 is also stunningly bad for a candidate who has been campaigning for several months and is reasonably well known.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: March 12, 2018, 08:39:22 am »

Those are kind of mediocre numbers for both candidates, honestly.

Yes, 42 is pretty horrible for an incumbent. But 40 is also stunningly bad for a candidate who has been campaigning for several months and is reasonably well known.

Precisely my thoughts.
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Pollster
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« Reply #5 on: March 12, 2018, 11:56:28 am »

Gravis' sampling method and voter screening is questionable - very strange that they are putting out polls of multiple states with candidates in the low-40's/high-30's despite virtually all other polls of the same races showing much less volatility.

Edit: Just saw that they sample registered voters only. This explains the larger amount of volatility, but their numbers are still overall strangely low.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2018, 12:23:57 pm »

While the GOP has been doing all it can to try to ruin this should-be-a-gimme pickup, just 42% of the state is willing to back McCaskill. Just goes to show how republican Missouri has become as a result of Obama.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: March 12, 2018, 03:18:49 pm »

What an awful state.

While the GOP has been doing all it can to try to ruin this should-be-a-gimme pickup, just 42% of the state is willing to back McCaskill. Just goes to show how republican Missouri has become as a result of Obama.

Why are you so obsessed with this? You say this in every MO thread, but the state isnít even more Republican than IN or MT and still willing to elect Democrats down-ballot. Anyway, no matter how you want to spin this, this is a terrible poll for Republicans. I agree with the people who think Indiana is more likely to flip, honestly. McCaskill can fire up the Democratic base without running the risk of alienating a lot of Republicans/suburbanites/swing voters/etc. and Hawley has been way too overhyped.
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Bernie Bro
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« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2018, 09:37:42 am »

What an awful state.

While the GOP has been doing all it can to try to ruin this should-be-a-gimme pickup, just 42% of the state is willing to back McCaskill. Just goes to show how republican Missouri has become as a result of Obama.

Why are you so obsessed with this? You say this in every MO thread, but the state isnít even more Republican than IN or MT and still willing to elect Democrats down-ballot. Anyway, no matter how you want to spin this, this is a terrible poll for Republicans. I agree with the people who think Indiana is more likely to flip, honestly. McCaskill can fire up the Democratic base without running the risk of alienating a lot of Republicans/suburbanites/swing voters/etc. and Hawley has been way too overhyped.
You are asking why somebody is so obsessed with a state going a certain way? Tongue
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Free Bird
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2018, 02:58:04 am »

Those are kind of mediocre numbers for both candidates, honestly.

Yes, 42 is pretty horrible for an incumbent. But 40 is also stunningly bad for a candidate who has been campaigning for several months and is reasonably well known.

In all fairness he only seriously kicked things off a few days ago, but he is showing that heís not the boy wonder that Turtleman thought he was. Thisíll be close.
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