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  PA-SEN PPP: Casey +18
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Author Topic: PA-SEN PPP: Casey +18  (Read 1535 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: March 21, 2018, 09:38:19 am »
« edited: March 21, 2018, 10:21:12 am by TheRocketRaccoon »

https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/PPP-Battleground-Health-Care-Memo.pdf

Casey 54
Barletta 36

Generic D 53
Generic R 41

Trump approval 42/53
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2018, 09:45:54 am »

It speaks volumes that this is the only race that isn't competitive in the latest batch of polls. Barletta is a terrible candidate especially for 2018.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2018, 09:48:59 am »
« Edited: March 21, 2018, 09:52:27 am by PittsburghSteel »

Barletta is a sh**tty candidate. Bob is going to win by a larger margin than 2012.

Safe D
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Polarized MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2018, 09:51:22 am »

Likely D, but inching closer and closer to Safe D. Probably the least likely Trump state seat to flip.
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Polarized MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2018, 09:56:40 am »

Likely D, but inching closer and closer to Safe D. Probably the least likely Trump state to flip.

We were just joking the other day about how the NRSC will probably triage Ohio and Montana in favor of PA, WI, AZ and NV lmao

lol, true. After those polls it's probably even more likely to happen! haha
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2018, 10:00:30 am »

Casey is getting 16% of Trump voters to only 3% of Clinton voters going to Barletta.
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« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2018, 10:55:43 am »

Casey was never going to lose, though Iíd be surprised if he won by this much.
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2018, 11:48:17 am »

Man we don't really talk about this but between this race, the new map, the state GOP trying to impeach the judges, Lamb winning and now running in a even better seat, and Costello possibly retiring (despite filing for reelection), this November could be a flat out bloodbath for the GOP here
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yeah_93
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« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2018, 12:14:41 pm »

I'd be surprised if Casey didn't win by double digits.
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Sestak
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2018, 12:19:26 pm »

I saw "Casey +1..." and almost had a heart attack.
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Polarized MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2018, 12:39:18 pm »

If Casey wins by this much, it will be a very ominous sign for Trumpís chances of holding PA in 2020. Pretty sure it flips before WI, and if he loses PA/MI/one of WI/FL/AZ, heíll be gone.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #11 on: March 21, 2018, 12:49:30 pm »

If Casey wins by this much, it will be a very ominous sign for Trumpís chances of holding PA in 2020. Pretty sure it flips before WI, and if he loses PA/MI/one of WI/FL/AZ, heíll be gone.

Maybe, but midterms donít always tell us much about what will happen in two years. Democrats might have a great year in Pennsylvania this year, but they still shouldnít get cocky and assume the state is safe again in 2020.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #12 on: March 21, 2018, 12:50:49 pm »

Likely D, but inching closer and closer to Safe D. Probably the least likely Trump state seat to flip.
Honestly I believe it is between PA and MI the least likely Trump state seat to flip.
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Pollster
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« Reply #13 on: March 21, 2018, 02:45:52 pm »

If Casey wins by this margin (I think it will be closer, but probably still double-digits), how many districts does he carry under the new map?
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You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
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« Reply #14 on: March 21, 2018, 08:53:25 pm »

If Casey wins by this margin (I think it will be closer, but probably still double-digits), how many districts does he carry under the new map?
only 11 are Not safe R, but assuming he wins all those, I could see him winning PA-14 and PA-12(ancestrally dem, a lot like Holden's old seat.)
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Holmes
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« Reply #15 on: March 21, 2018, 09:32:55 pm »

3% of Clinton voters going to Barletta.

Who are these people? Ultra rich suburbanites in SE PA?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: March 22, 2018, 03:22:42 am »

3% of Clinton voters going to Barletta.

Who are these people? Ultra rich suburbanites in SE PA?

WWC in his district who voted Clinton for president but him for congressman?
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #17 on: March 22, 2018, 07:36:36 am »

When will the PPP polls be added to the database?
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The Chad Ralph Northam
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« Reply #18 on: March 23, 2018, 12:54:12 pm »

Remember when Republicans said Barletta was a great candidate?
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Anthony Davis is Awesome
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« Reply #19 on: March 23, 2018, 01:07:48 pm »

Wolf/Casey/Lamb 2018
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