2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 169360 times)
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1300 on: August 23, 2018, 08:39:45 AM »
GA-06 makes sense.  McBath is the wrong candidate to pick this seat up.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1301 on: August 23, 2018, 09:20:03 AM »
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1302 on: August 23, 2018, 10:41:15 AM »
Very common sense moving from Sabato, and very promising for Ds. Maybe I should give the pundits some credit.
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Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
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« Reply #1303 on: August 23, 2018, 11:18:17 AM »
Quote from: Zaybay on August 23, 2018, 10:41:15 AM
Maybe I should give the pundits some credit.

Let's not get too carried away here
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1304 on: August 23, 2018, 11:50:59 AM »
We need an Atlas Cook subscription.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1305 on: August 23, 2018, 11:55:21 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on August 23, 2018, 11:50:59 AM
We need an Atlas Cook subscription.




For once Limo, you are correct. While I dont like the pundits, it would be great getting an inside view of the house.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1306 on: August 23, 2018, 02:38:55 PM »
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #1307 on: August 23, 2018, 03:18:22 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 23, 2018, 02:38:55 PM


Why would RCP, of all handicappers, have had it at only lean R before? I thought it was basically one of the most (only) really safe R seats in CA?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1308 on: August 23, 2018, 03:19:50 PM »
Quote from: The Impartial Spectator on August 23, 2018, 03:18:22 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 23, 2018, 02:38:55 PM


Why would RCP, of all handicappers, have had it at only lean R before? I thought it was basically one of the most (only) really safe R seats in CA?

IIRC they moved it to Lean when the stories first came out that Hunter was being investigated for this.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1309 on: August 23, 2018, 03:19:59 PM »
It's been fairly evident for some time that Hunter was likely to be indicted before election day.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1310 on: August 24, 2018, 07:02:58 AM »
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1311 on: August 24, 2018, 07:12:43 AM »
Quote from: Ebsy on August 23, 2018, 03:19:59 PM
It's been fairly evident for some time that Hunter was likely to be indicted before election day.

Yeah, but it’s more of a mess than Collins’ arrest:

1) Hunter wouldn’t turn himself in, so a federal judge had to put out an arrest warrant
2) Hunter’s opponent is a solid B-list candidate and seems to be running a fairly energetic campaign
3) Hunter is trying to throw his wife under the bus; I’m sure that will play well Tongue
4) The Pubs can’t replace Hunter on the ballot.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1312 on: August 24, 2018, 12:06:25 PM »
2 more ratings changes in the Dem direction from Cook Political Report
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #1313 on: August 24, 2018, 09:16:55 PM »
Lmao, Cook just moved MN-Special back to Lean D.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1314 on: August 24, 2018, 09:19:52 PM »
Quote from: westroopnerd on August 24, 2018, 09:16:55 PM
Lmao, Cook just moved MN-Special back to Lean D.

#SmithMoreVulnerableThanTesterAgain
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1315 on: August 24, 2018, 11:21:49 PM »
Quote from: westroopnerd on August 24, 2018, 09:16:55 PM
Lmao, Cook just moved MN-Special back to Lean D.
*bangs head into wall*
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #1316 on: August 24, 2018, 11:53:58 PM »
Quote from: westroopnerd on August 24, 2018, 09:16:55 PM
Lmao, Cook just moved MN-Special back to Lean D.

Oh dear.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1317 on: August 25, 2018, 12:23:10 AM »
Cook has different people doing the rankings for each of the categories: House, senate, and governor. Wasserman has clearly been on top of his game this cycle, which makes the others all look stupid by comparison.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1318 on: August 25, 2018, 12:36:58 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on August 25, 2018, 12:23:10 AM
Cook has different people doing the rankings for each of the categories: House, senate, and governor. Wasserman has clearly been on top of his game this cycle, which makes the others all look stupid by comparison.
Do you know exactly who is doing which one?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1319 on: August 25, 2018, 12:43:53 AM »
Quote from: Zaybay on August 25, 2018, 12:36:58 AM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on August 25, 2018, 12:23:10 AM
Cook has different people doing the rankings for each of the categories: House, senate, and governor. Wasserman has clearly been on top of his game this cycle, which makes the others all look stupid by comparison.
Do you know exactly who is doing which one?

https://www.cookpolitical.com/about/staff

Duffy does Senate/Gov, Wasserman House.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1320 on: August 25, 2018, 07:23:33 AM »
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1321 on: August 25, 2018, 09:06:55 AM »
Why are people still taking Cook's ratings seriously?
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #1322 on: August 25, 2018, 09:22:19 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on August 25, 2018, 09:06:55 AM
Why are people still taking Cook's ratings seriously?

Why not?
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wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
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« Reply #1323 on: August 25, 2018, 11:47:12 AM »

Well, as said above, Cook's House ratings are actually quite good this cycle. For instance, they were ahead of the curve in regards to TX-23, which they called a Lean R race all along. Other forecasters rushed to call it a tossup before moving it back to Lean R once they realized Hurd is a very strong incumbent.

Their Gov/Senate ratings really do suck though.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1324 on: August 25, 2018, 12:08:30 PM »
Quote from: westroopnerd on August 25, 2018, 11:47:12 AM

Well, as said above, Cook's House ratings are actually quite good this cycle. For instance, they were ahead of the curve in regards to TX-23, which they called a Lean R race all along. Other forecasters rushed to call it a tossup before moving it back to Lean R once they realized Hurd is a very strong incumbent.

Their Gov/Senate ratings really do suck though.

TX-23 is Likely D lol.
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