2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2

[Zaybay]

Sherrod Brown raises $27.1M in the third quarter.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/sherrod-brown-ohio-fundraising

WHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA?!

I thought Beto was the money machine? If that is Brown's total....I fear to see the other senate Ds.

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1050741175651590145

Ughhhhh

Literally lighting money on fire.

Such incompetence among the people in the DCCC who made this choice needs to result those people losing their jobs.

Going into a tossup race is NOT lighting money on fire.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1050741175651590145

Ughhhhh

Literally lighting money on fire.

Such incompetence among the people in the DCCC who made this choice needs to result those people losing their jobs.

Going into a tossup race is NOT lighting money on fire.

This is Safe R, not "tossup".

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1050741175651590145

Ughhhhh

Literally lighting money on fire.

Such incompetence among the people in the DCCC who made this choice needs to result those people losing their jobs.

Going into a tossup race is NOT lighting money on fire.

This is Safe R, not "tossup".

This is not a Safe R race LOL. At worst, this is Lean R. Then again, you think WI-01 is Lean D and TX-23 is basically a guaranteed Dem pickup despite all the data telling us Republicans will hold onto those seats comfortably. So you should not be taken remotely seriously.

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1050741175651590145

Ughhhhh

Literally lighting money on fire.

Such incompetence among the people in the DCCC who made this choice needs to result those people losing their jobs.

Going into a tossup race is NOT lighting money on fire.

This is Safe R, not "tossup".

surprised to see that you arent optimistic on this race. Ben McAdams has been polling close to Mia Love, and there is no reason to just abandon a winnable seat. SLC has been trending D for a while, and now takes up a majority of the district, this is winnable.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1050741175651590145

Ughhhhh

Literally lighting money on fire.

Such incompetence among the people in the DCCC who made this choice needs to result those people losing their jobs.

Going into a tossup race is NOT lighting money on fire.

This is Safe R, not "tossup".

surprised to see that you arent optimistic on this race. Ben McAdams has been polling close to Mia Love, and there is no reason to just abandon a winnable seat. SLC has been trending D for a while, and now takes up a majority of the district, this is winnable.

Isn't SLC in UT-2?  UT-4 is the southern part of the county.

[Brittain33]

Sherrod Brown raises $27.1M in the third quarter.

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/sherrod-brown-ohio-fundraising

WHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA?!

I thought Beto was the money machine? If that is Brown's total....I fear to see the other senate Ds.

He's got to be gunning for 2020.

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1050741175651590145

Ughhhhh

Literally lighting money on fire.

Such incompetence among the people in the DCCC who made this choice needs to result those people losing their jobs.

Going into a tossup race is NOT lighting money on fire.

This is Safe R, not "tossup".

surprised to see that you arent optimistic on this race. Ben McAdams has been polling close to Mia Love, and there is no reason to just abandon a winnable seat. SLC has been trending D for a while, and now takes up a majority of the district, this is winnable.

Isn't SLC in UT-2?  UT-4 is the southern part of the county.

SLC is in 3 districts, a gerrymander that got rid of a likely D seat. But its primarily in the 4th, which is in the center. You have them switched up, the 2nd is the southern one.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1050741175651590145

Ughhhhh

Literally lighting money on fire.

Such incompetence among the people in the DCCC who made this choice needs to result those people losing their jobs.

Going into a tossup race is NOT lighting money on fire.

This is Safe R, not "tossup".

surprised to see that you arent optimistic on this race. Ben McAdams has been polling close to Mia Love, and there is no reason to just abandon a winnable seat. SLC has been trending D for a while, and now takes up a majority of the district, this is winnable.

Isn't SLC in UT-2?  UT-4 is the southern part of the county.

SLC is in 3 districts, a gerrymander that got rid of a likely D seat. But its primarily in the 4th, which is in the center. You have them switched up, the 2nd is the southern one.

Oh...duh, I thought you meant Salt Lake "City", not county.

[Brittain33]

The previous record holder for Q3 Senate fundraising was... Rick Lazio in 2000. That's an unpleasant precedent.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Beto needs to start either start running attack ads against Hawley and Scott in MO and FL, or else hire 100,000 to knock on the doors of every single Democrat in the entire state of TX for GOTV.

That is just absurd fundraising. And to think, it is all being wasted on yard signs and t-shirts.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Even if he loses, he's building infrastructures etc. So that will be useful long term

The problem is that without continuing resources and investment, the infrastructure built up by a campaign tends to gradually fizzle away after a campaign is over. The Texas Democratic Party (and also the National Democratic Party) should really be giving high priority to making sure that doesn't happen.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1050741175651590145

Ughhhhh

Literally lighting money on fire.

Such incompetence among the people in the DCCC who made this choice needs to result those people losing their jobs.

Going into a tossup race is NOT lighting money on fire.

This is Safe R, not "tossup".

It's neither one.  I'd call it Lean R, perhaps closer to Likely than Tossup.  It could flip in a big enough wave.  This is exactly the type of race that a party should be spending on if they've got the cash (which the Democrats do).  It's a reasonable investment for a possible return, and if nothing else it forces the opposition to spend money to defend it.

[bilaps]

Completely agree. I don't think this is a tossup, but Ds have the money so why not spend it

[Politician]

Why is Solid so convinced UT-4 is unwinnable for the Democrats? Even in 2014, Owens almost won and McAdams is really strong.

[Xing]

UT-04 definitely at least leans Republican, but it's plausible that Democrats could win there in a big enough wave, so it makes sense to invest a little bit there.

[Mike Thick]

Why is Solid so convinced UT-4 is unwinnable for the Democrats? Even in 2014, Owens almost won and McAdams is really strong.

Because he thinks everything revolves around Presidential results instead of, you know, fundamentals, district history, and candidate quality

[wbrocks67]

Every single poll has had McAdams and Love within a few points of each other. Love is the Incumbent and can barely scrape by 45-47% in every poll. McAdams has a new internal with him +1 on her. It's easy to see why DCCC would throw $$$ into this. Their polling must be saying the same thing.

[Virginiá]

'We’ve never seen anything like this': GOP overwhelmed by Democratic cash

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/10/12/gop-democratic-record-fundraising-response-898162

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They are really scrambling for cash. The sad thing here though is that even if they squeeze more millions out of big daddy Adelson, that is Super PAC money. It ends up being spent on ads that cost far more than it does for campaigns, and that is where Democrats have a big advantage. Democrats are practically printing money from small donors on unprecedented levels, and it allows them to maximize their ad buys with the best purchase rates.

Still a shame how much money is being plowed into ads though. I really want to see the total investment figures on the Democratic side regarding voter registration and voter mobilization operations, and compare it to money spent on ads (tv + digital + radio). Knowing the party, it's probably wildly disproportionate. If that is the case, then we are lucky that the base is fired up and flush with volunteers, because they will fill in a lot of the gaps with regards to GOTV.

[henster]

'We’ve never seen anything like this': GOP overwhelmed by Democratic cash

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/10/12/gop-democratic-record-fundraising-response-898162

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

They are really scrambling for cash. The sad thing here though is that even if they squeeze more millions out of big daddy Adelson, that is Super PAC money. It ends up being spent on ads that cost far more than it does for campaigns, and that is where Democrats have a big advantage. Democrats are practically printing money from small donors on unprecedented levels, and it allows them to maximize their ad buys with the best purchase rates.

Still a shame how much money is being plowed into ads though. I really want to see the total investment figures on the Democratic side regarding voter registration and voter mobilization operations, and compare it to money spent on ads (tv + digital + radio). Knowing the party, it's probably wildly disproportionate. If that is the case, then we are lucky that the base is fired up and flush with volunteers, because they will fill in a lot of the gaps with regards to GOTV.

If you are trying to oust an incumbent you have to get your message out there hence the emphasis on TV ads. We saw with Rick Scott what a disparity in ad spending can do, it evened up as soon as Nelson got on the air.

[Gass3268]

I don't know why the Republicans keep pouring money into VA-10, but hey if they want to waste money.

[Hindsight was 2020]

'We’ve never seen anything like this': GOP overwhelmed by Democratic cash

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/10/12/gop-democratic-record-fundraising-response-898162

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

They are really scrambling for cash. The sad thing here though is that even if they squeeze more millions out of big daddy Adelson, that is Super PAC money. It ends up being spent on ads that cost far more than it does for campaigns, and that is where Democrats have a big advantage. Democrats are practically printing money from small donors on unprecedented levels, and it allows them to maximize their ad buys with the best purchase rates.

Still a shame how much money is being plowed into ads though. I really want to see the total investment figures on the Democratic side regarding voter registration and voter mobilization operations, and compare it to money spent on ads (tv + digital + radio). Knowing the party, it's probably wildly disproportionate. If that is the case, then we are lucky that the base is fired up and flush with volunteers, because they will fill in a lot of the gaps with regards to GOTV.

Stories like this are why I get annoyed over “Kavanaugh bump” and what not. These are the stories we always hear right before the incumbent party gets there butt kicked 

[Virginiá]

New thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=304063.0