2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2

[IceSpear]

Cook does the unthinkable and moves VA-10 to Leans D. Better 7 months late than never I guess

[Jeppe]

Did you all know Richard Ojeda voted for Trump? 

http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/392945-dem-house-candidate-in-west-virginia-voted-for-trump

And now he’s running against Trump and most of his policies.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Did you all know Richard Ojeda voted for Drumpf? 

http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/392945-dem-house-candidate-in-west-virginia-voted-for-trump

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Did you all know Richard Ojeda voted for Drumpf? 

http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/392945-dem-house-candidate-in-west-virginia-voted-for-trump

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.

Are you using the drumpfinator chrome extension?

[Doimper]

Did you all know Richard Ojeda voted for Drumpf? 

http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/392945-dem-house-candidate-in-west-virginia-voted-for-trump

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.

Are you using the drumpfinator chrome extension?

As if that joke needed to be beaten to death even more than it already has.

[Oryxslayer]

It would be nice to get some polling...

I'm bumping this because we are getting a Monmouth poll today. Will Atlas's hype be confirmed? Or will it just be a data point that will slowly move the seat from likely R towards the tossup range...

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1009483882922725377

[GeorgiaModerate]

Bandwagon:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1009481977626578945

[GeorgiaModerate]

NYT: Michael Bloomberg to spend $80 Million in effort to flip House

[BlueDogs2020]

Change occurs after new poll that has Ojeda leading in all 3 scenarios over Miller

[Gass3268]

Cook did too

[KingSweden]

Put this in the Ratings megathread please

[Gass3268]

Cook also moved TX-31 to Likely R.

[Thunder98]

WV03 - Likely R to Lean R

TX31 - Solid R to Likely R

https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/1009549543187218433?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoo...

[Progressive Pessimist]

Did you all know Richard Ojeda voted for Drumpf? 

http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/392945-dem-house-candidate-in-west-virginia-voted-for-trump

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.

Are you using the drumpfinator chrome extension?

Yes actually, it still provides me a small laugh every now and then. I sure could use it at times. I didn't know that other people could see it though. Maybe I'll take it off then.

[wesmoorenerd]

OJEDAAAAA

TX31 I haven't heard anything about. Hegar looks like a good candidate at a cursory glance though. Might be a longshot sleeper race.

[Politician]

OJEDA BABY!!!

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1009583257413799936

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Did you all know Richard Ojeda voted for Drumpf? 

http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/392945-dem-house-candidate-in-west-virginia-voted-for-trump

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.

Are you using the drumpfinator chrome extension?

Yes actually, it still provides me a small laugh every now and then. I sure could use it at times. I didn't know that other people could see it though. Maybe I'll take it off then.

It literally changed the content of Arkansas Yankees quote in your post.

[Gass3268]

Crystal Ball moves:

- Pennsylvania Senate: Likely Dem -> Safe Dem
- Wisconsin Senate: Lean Dem -> Likely Dem

Plus the aforementioned WV-03: Likely Rep -> Lean Rep

Source

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Crystal Ball moves:

- Pennsylvania Senate: Likely Dem -> Safe Dem
- Wisconsin Senate: Lean Dem -> Likely Dem

Plus the aforementioned WV-03: Likely Rep -> Lean Rep

Source

Bold.

[Oryxslayer]

Sabato's new senate map. We seem to be keying in on the nine races identified by McConnell and the Dem Senate Majority Pac as deciding the chamber. Everything else is now likely or safe. I disagree on a few of these ratings, but the 9 seats would still all be in the lean/tossup zone that decides the chamber.

[wesmoorenerd]

Sabato's new senate map. We seem to be keying in on the nine races identified by McConnell and the Dem Senate Majority Pac as deciding the chamber. Everything else is now likely or safe. I disagree on a few of these ratings, but the 9 seats would still all be in the lean/tossup zone that decides the chamber.

I'm wondering which of the major forecasters is going to be the first to take the bold step of moving NV (UTDH notwithstanding) and AZ to Lean D, where they clearly should be. WV should be moved back to Lean D, Morrisey is a dud of a candidate. TN is solidly a tossup. NJ is Safe D. Those are about my only problems with these rankings at this point, however.

[IceSpear]

Only FOX News has been brave enough to put NV at lean D, LOL.

[OneJ]

Sabato's new senate map. We seem to be keying in on the nine races identified by McConnell and the Dem Senate Majority Pac as deciding the chamber. Everything else is now likely or safe. I disagree on a few of these ratings, but the 9 seats would still all be in the lean/tossup zone that decides the chamber.

I'm wondering which of the major forecasters is going to be the first to take the bold step of moving NV (UTDH notwithstanding) and AZ to Lean D, where they clearly should be. WV should be moved back to Lean D, Morrisey is a dud of a candidate. TN is solidly a tossup. NJ is Safe D. Those are about my only problems with these rankings at this point, however.

This 100%.

However, I’ve been pondering for a while about whether or not it’s too early to say that MI, OH, WI, and MN-S could all arguably be safe D although it seems hacking on my part. Not only does Brown have large leads, for example, but he’s already passing that magic 50 mark recently. Baldwin also doesn’t seem to be in nearly as much trouble as the GOP wanted her to be a few months ago. Stabenow was never in real trouble (lol Kid Rock). In Smith’s case, I highly doubt Republicans have as much as a chance that a few of them think & besides Klobuchar being on the ballot will likely help Smith anyway.