FL-SEN: Scott Pursuit

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2018/03/26/scott-plans-major-announcement-april-9-shakes-up-staff-328189?lo=ap_d1

[LimoLiberal]

Lean D --> Tossup.

[mcmikk]

Scott is gonna get Macked

This. He had to spend buckets of his own cash to win by just 1% and under 50% in two of the best Republican cycles in recent history in a state that is R-leaning at the gubernatorial level, lol.

[LimoLiberal]

Please media, don't describe it as a "coup for Republicans" or "major blow to Democratic hopes of taking back the senate" when he announces. Everybody single mildly connected political nerd has known he was running for more than a year.

[Sestak]

Please media, don't describe it as a "coup for Republicans" or "major blow to Democratic hopes of taking back the senate" when he announces. Everybody single mildly connected political nerd has known he was running for more than a year.

Strange, I feel like you'd be the one to say that.

[Free Bird]

Scott is gonna get Macked

This. He had to spend buckets of his own cash to win by just 1% and under 50% in two of the best Republican cycles in recent history in a state that is R-leaning at the gubernatorial level, lol.

And he’s more popular than he was then. We really can’t tell what’s gonna happen. I’ve never seen such schizophrenic polling.

[PAK Man]

Nelson will be fine. Every single one of his opponents has been hyped up and fizzled out.

[President Johnson]

Nelson will win by at least five points. He would be in danger in a Hillary midterm, but not with Trump.

[_]

Tilt D, but I think in some devilish scenario Scott could pull out a win.

[King Lear]

Here’s my official prediction.
2018 Florida US Senate Results:
Rick Scott: 50% WINNER
Bill Nelson: 49%

[TheSaint250]

He will not be "Sacked" but he certainly won't win. I'd think anywhere from Nelson +2 to Nelson +6.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Wow POLITCO is really tryna Gillespie-fy this guy as a “super serious wonk”. This is sickening

[mcmikk]

Florida is easily the most overhyped Senate race of the 2018 cycle. Nelson should win this comfortably by at least 5 points.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Nelson will win by at least five points. He would be in danger in a Hillary midterm, but not with Trump.

Unless Florida gets another hurricane in October. Gov. Scott really handled Irma spectacularly and that boosted his standing in the state

[Bidenworth2020]

Nelson will win by at least five points. He would be in danger in a Hillary midterm, but not with Trump.

Unless Florida gets another hurricane in October. Gov. Scott really handled Irma spectacularly and that boosted his standing in the state

ask that nursing home...

oh wait, you can't because he deleted the voicemails

[Blair]

The politico piece had a great NRSC spokesperson going on and on about Hillary Clinton.

Fwiw I do think people are ignoring that Scott has actually seen an increase in his approval rating; he's not been as tone deaf as Marco Rubio to Parkland and has handled the storm better than Trump (two very low bars). I know it's ridiculous to say well done for a republican not being a Roy Moore, or Sacconne type but Scott clearly isn't an awful senate Candidate.

I think one of the biggest mistakes is to assume that the next election will be a simple follow on from the last; Scott only winning by 1% in 2014 doesn't mean he'll automatically lose in 2018.   

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Here’s my official prediction.
2018 Florida US Senate Results:
Rick Scott: 50% WINNER
Bill Nelson: 49%

Megathread material right here

[Peanut]

Nelson will win by at least five points. He would be in danger in a Hillary midterm, but not with Trump.

Everyone would be in danger in a Hillary midterm. It would've been disastrous for us with this Senate map.

Now, with Trump, Nelson will pull through by 2-5%.

[AtorBoltox]

Lean D, and closer to likely than toss-up

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Here’s my official prediction.
2018 Florida US Senate Results:
Rick Scott: 50% WINNER
Bill Nelson: 49%

Megathread material right here

My prediction is the opposite

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

53-46 Nelson victory. I’ll repeat again: Scott can win. But he won’t - not as of today at least. Though that can change.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

s h o c k e r of the century

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2018/03/26/records-zinkes-office-refute-scott-framing-of-impromptu-oil-drilling-reversal-330060

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Looks like Rubio's not gonna have Scott's back.

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/978813687699066881

[KingSweden]

Looks like Rubio's not gonna have Scott's back.

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/978813687699066881

I don’t believe he and Scott particularly like each other

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Looks like Rubio's not gonna have Scott's back.

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/978813687699066881

I don’t believe he and Scott particularly like each other

I have no idea as to what their relationship with one another is like, but I do know that the Scott and Rubio orbits seemed (or at least did a few years ago) to have existed entirely apart. You'd almost think Rubio was the Senator from Cuba or something considering how little pull he actually seems to have in Tally. Which is weird because he used to be Speaker.

Its almost like as if they don't respect him!

In fact, everyone in town when I first dropped in (~late Summer) were Jeb! supporters. Everyone. Even Matt Gaetz, who was among the first major Florida politicians to ditch and switch for Trump. Tallahassee might have well been called Jeb! City. This is the only place I have ever really even seen Jeb! stickers on cars, and that was like once two years ago.