FL-SEN: Scott Pursuit

[Blair]

Isn't it custom for sitting senators not to campaign against each other? Especially as Nelson seems to model himself as one of the more constituent based senators 

[Ebsy]

Isn't it custom for sitting senators not to campaign against each other? Especially as Nelson seems to model himself as one of the more constituent based senators 

That's correct.

[KingSweden]

Looks like Rubio's not gonna have Scott's back.

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/978813687699066881

I don’t believe he and Scott particularly like each other

I have no idea as to what their relationship with one another is like, but I do know that the Scott and Rubio orbits seemed (or at least did a few years ago) to have existed entirely apart. You'd almost think Rubio was the Senator from Cuba or something considering how little pull he actually seems to have in Tally. Which is weird because he used to be Speaker.

Its almost like as if they don't respect him!

In fact, everyone in town when I first dropped in (~late Summer) were Jeb! supporters. Everyone. Even Matt Gaetz, who was among the first major Florida politicians to ditch and switch for Trump. Tallahassee might have well been called Jeb! City. This is the only place I have ever really even seen Jeb! stickers on cars, and that was like once two years ago.

I suppose I could see a federal politician more in tune with the Miami expats than the greasy wheels in Tallahassee not being super tight with a Hovernor more focused on state issues.

[Skye]

Tossup.

[UWS]

Looks like Rubio's not gonna have Scott's back.

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/978813687699066881

I don’t believe he and Scott particularly like each other

I have no idea as to what their relationship with one another is like, but I do know that the Scott and Rubio orbits seemed (or at least did a few years ago) to have existed entirely apart. You'd almost think Rubio was the Senator from Cuba or something considering how little pull he actually seems to have in Tally. Which is weird because he used to be Speaker.

Its almost like as if they don't respect him!

In fact, everyone in town when I first dropped in (~late Summer) were Jeb! supporters. Everyone. Even Matt Gaetz, who was among the first major Florida politicians to ditch and switch for Trump. Tallahassee might have well been called Jeb! City. This is the only place I have ever really even seen Jeb! stickers on cars, and that was like once two years ago.

I suppose I could see a federal politician more in tune with the Miami expats than the greasy wheels in Tallahassee not being super tight with a Hovernor more focused on state issues.

Actually Rubio said his relationship with Scott is positive and that he will endorse the Republican senatorial nominee and that if Scott runs it will be him.

And even if he doesn't campaign against Nelson, he can campaign FOR Scott. He can campaign for Scott without speaking out against Nelson and talk about what Scott will do better instead of what the candidate of the opposite party will do worse. After all, John McCain campaigned for George W. Bush in 2004 without campaigning against John Kerry with whom he has a great friendship.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Looks like Rubio's not gonna have Scott's back.

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/978813687699066881

I don’t believe he and Scott particularly like each other

I have no idea as to what their relationship with one another is like, but I do know that the Scott and Rubio orbits seemed (or at least did a few years ago) to have existed entirely apart. You'd almost think Rubio was the Senator from Cuba or something considering how little pull he actually seems to have in Tally. Which is weird because he used to be Speaker.

Its almost like as if they don't respect him!

In fact, everyone in town when I first dropped in (~late Summer) were Jeb! supporters. Everyone. Even Matt Gaetz, who was among the first major Florida politicians to ditch and switch for Trump. Tallahassee might have well been called Jeb! City. This is the only place I have ever really even seen Jeb! stickers on cars, and that was like once two years ago.

I suppose I could see a federal politician more in tune with the Miami expats than the greasy wheels in Tallahassee not being super tight with a Hovernor more focused on state issues.

Actually Rubio said his relationship with Scott is positive and that he will endorse the Republican senatorial nominee and that if Scott runs it will be him.

And even if he doesn't campaign against Nelson, he can campaign FOR Scott. He can campaign for Scott without speaking out against Nelson and talk about what Scott will do better instead of what the candidate of the opposite party will do worse. After all, John McCain campaigned for George W. Bush in 2004 without campaigning against John Kerry with whom he has a great friendship.

Rubio and Scott are not tight - they aren’t allies or teammates in any real way. Rubio literally is the ultimate politician, minus the ability to execute Machiavellian maneuvers behind the scene. He’ll endorse Scott but stay respectful of Nelson, making everyone happy because Lil Marco is a mere people pleaser at the end of the day.

[MT Treasurer]

Lean D (closer to Tossup than Likely), but I wouldn’t be surprised if Nelson underperformed on election day even in a D wave. Gonna guess Nelson +3 for now.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Looks like Rubio's not gonna have Scott's back.

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/978813687699066881

I don’t believe he and Scott particularly like each other

It might actually be in Scott’s interest not to campaign with Rubio at all

[Stranger in a strange land]

Tossup.

I'm not so sure actually: he won both his previous elections narrowly despite being in Republican wave years, and his response to Parkland hasn't been great.

[Don Vito Corleone]

Nelson will be fine. Every single one of his opponents has been hyped up and fizzled out.

[MT Treasurer]

He’s in.

[Suburbia]

Tilt D/Lean D.

It will be a marquee Senate race of 2018, however.

[Lamda]

Lean D.

[Skye]

Endorsed.

Though I would probably bet my money on a Nelson win.

[adrac]

Lean D -> Lean D

[Sadader]

Good. Let the GOP waste its money and attention on a futile pickup, and let Scott make his kids hate him by wasting their inheritance as well.

[Free Bird]

Good. Let the GOP waste its money and attention on a futile pickup, and let Scott make his kids hate him by wasting their inheritance as well.

You honestly don't see how this could be bad for the Democrats even if Nelson wins?

[KingSweden]

Good. Let the GOP waste its money and attention on a futile pickup, and let Scott make his kids hate him by wasting their inheritance as well.

You honestly don't see how this could be bad for the Democrats even if Nelson wins?

^^^

[mcmikk]

I will say it 1000 times: Florida is easily the most overhyped Senate race of the 2018 cycle. Nelson should win comfortably by at least 6 points. Scott is going to get Macked.

[Bidenworth2020]

Lean D (closer to Tossup than Likely), but I wouldn’t be surprised if Nelson underperformed on election day even in a D wave. Gonna guess Nelson +3 for now.

funny joke. Nelson smacks his opponents, its just what he does

[TheRocketRaccoon]

Did Scott think he could just waltz into the Senate seat?

https://twitter.com/dylbaier/status/983709702814142464

https://twitter.com/Ryan_Deitsch/status/983407262764011520

[Dr. Arch]

God, Rick Scott is just horrible.

[Pandaguineapig]

Lean D (closer to Tossup than Likely), but I wouldn’t be surprised if Nelson underperformed on election day even in a D wave. Gonna guess Nelson +3 for now.

funny joke. Nelson smacks his opponents, its just what he does

On the other hand, Scott was way behind in both his races for governor and was way less popular than he is now. Nelson has also not faced a real race in 18 years

[here2view]

Nelson +3

[LimoLiberal]

Lean D (closer to Tossup than Likely), but I wouldn’t be surprised if Nelson underperformed on election day even in a D wave. Gonna guess Nelson +3 for now.

funny joke. Nelson smacks his opponents, its just what he does

On the other hand, Scott was way behind in both his races for governor and was way less popular than he is now. Nelson has also not faced a real race in 18 years

Remind me, pandaguineapig. What was the political environment like in "both his races for governor"?