FL-SEN: Scott Pursuit

[Brittain33]

Can we stop the stupid ass renaming of all these threads?

Infracted.

If lots of people hate the puns, I will remove them. The original posters can also change them at any time.

I rather like them, as long as they're clever.

Fair point, and I changed back ND to a generic one because it was failing that test.

[brucejoel99]

Random question: If Scott wins, does he have to resign the governorship on January 3, 2019, the date new members of congress usually assume office? Because, according to Wikipedia, his term as governor expires on January 8. This would make Carlos Lopez-Cantera governor for five days. I noticed that Bob Graham resigned the governorship in 1987 after being elected to the senate, making his lt. gov. Wayne Mixon governor for three days. I guess Scott can't be both for a few days? Or could he delay the swearing in as senator?

CLC gets to be Governor for two weeks.

Wait, where do you get 2 weeks from? If Scott's elected, he resigns the governorship on Jan. 3 when he goes to Washington & then CLC is governor for only 5 days before Gillum/DeSantis takes office, right?

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Random question: If Scott wins, does he have to resign the governorship on January 3, 2019, the date new members of congress usually assume office? Because, according to Wikipedia, his term as governor expires on January 8. This would make Carlos Lopez-Cantera governor for five days. I noticed that Bob Graham resigned the governorship in 1987 after being elected to the senate, making his lt. gov. Wayne Mixon governor for three days. I guess Scott can't be both for a few days? Or could he delay the swearing in as senator?

CLC gets to be Governor for two weeks.

Wait, where do you get 2 weeks from? If Scott's elected, he resigns the governorship on Jan. 3 when he goes to Washington & then CLC is governor for only 5 days before Gillum/DeSantis takes office, right?

Im thinking of presidential inaugurations . You’re right though.

[Zaybay]

Can we stop the stupid ass renaming of all these threads?

Infracted.

If lots of people hate the puns, I will remove them. The original posters can also change them at any time.

I rather like them, as long as they're clever.

Fair point, and I changed back ND to a generic one because it was failing that test.

Can Indiana be changed to "Brains or Braun".  That's better than the boring "Hoosier Hoopla".

I second this

[Antonio the Sixth]

Can we stop the stupid ass renaming of all these threads?

Infracted.

If lots of people hate the puns, I will remove them. The original posters can also change them at any time.

I rather like them, as long as they're clever.

Fair point, and I changed back ND to a generic one because it was failing that test.

Can Indiana be changed to "Brains or Braun".  That's better than the boring "Hoosier Hoopla".

I second this

Thirded.

[Brittain33]

Can we stop the stupid ass renaming of all these threads?

Infracted.

If lots of people hate the puns, I will remove them. The original posters can also change them at any time.

I rather like them, as long as they're clever.

Fair point, and I changed back ND to a generic one because it was failing that test.

Can Indiana be changed to "Brains or Braun".  That's better than the boring "Hoosier Hoopla".

I second this

Thirded.

Done

[junior chįmp]

Told you guys to relax....Spaceman knows what hes doing

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[Zaybay]

Told you guys to relax....Spaceman knows what hes doing

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

BILL NELSON

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1039584149630328834

SKIPPY SCOTT

https://twitter.com/ScottforFlorida/status/1039588819773874176

GOIN DOWN FOR REAL, TAMPA, 10/16/2018, CNN.

CLASH OF THE TWO GARGANTUAN FLORIDIAN MEGATITANS



WHO WINS?!

FLORIDA DECIDES.

[MycroftCZ]

BILL NELSON

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1039584149630328834

SKIPPY SCOTT

https://twitter.com/ScottforFlorida/status/1039588819773874176

GOIN DOWN FOR REAL, TAMPA, 10/16/2018, CNN.

CLASH OF THE TWO GARGANTUAN FLORIDIAN MEGATITANS



WHO WINS?!

FLORIDA DECIDES.

BATTLE TO THE DEATH UNDER WOLF BLIZTERS WATCH

[Hindsight was 2020]

So is this going to be local or national televised debate?

[GeorgiaModerate]

So is this going to be local or national televised debate?

Since it's CNN, I'd assume national.

[Progressive Pessimist]

BILL NELSON

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1039584149630328834

SKIPPY SCOTT

https://twitter.com/ScottforFlorida/status/1039588819773874176

GOIN DOWN FOR REAL, TAMPA, 10/16/2018, CNN.

CLASH OF THE TWO GARGANTUAN FLORIDIAN MEGATITANS



WHO WINS?!

FLORIDA DECIDES.

That was a terrible comeback by Scott.

[Fmr. Speaker anna0kear]

Does this seem like a plausible map for a Nelson win by 49.0-48.9 percent? How about his margin becoming 48.9 to 48.6 points over Scott?

[Donerail]

Not nearly good enough upstate imo -- Nelson has always overperformed there and probably wins Jefferson, maybe Madison. With Gillum as the nominee, I would also be shocked if there's not enough Democratic turnout in Duval to win.

I'd also flip Pinellas & maybe Seminole the other way, and Monroe probably goes GOP.

[ajc0918]

Yeah if Nelson isn't winning Pinellas County I don't think he wins.

[Politician]

Flip Pinellas, Jefferson and Monroe.

[Confused Democrat]

I think Duval goes Democratic.

[Fmr. Speaker anna0kear]

Not nearly good enough upstate imo -- Nelson has always overperformed there and probably wins Jefferson, maybe Madison. With Gillum as the nominee, I would also be shocked if there's not enough Democratic turnout in Duval to win.

I'd also flip Pinellas & maybe Seminole the other way, and Monroe probably goes GOP.

Thank you sjoyce.

I'm not sure Scott would lose Madison in a close race, sure GOP voters are depressed and turnout numbers should be down in the Panhandle. However, he isn't usually particularly weak up north, also he certainly doesn't inspire that much enthusiasm either.

I agree about Monroe, Scott should win there, and Jefferson, likewise for Nelson. Seminole could be close to a toss-up, with Scott ever-so-slightly favored.

As for the statewide races, don't forget about the federal investigation into Gillum that took place while he was Tallahassee mayor. I don't think the Duval electorate would even care that much though: I would genuinely be surprised if it didn't fulfill my expectations by continuing to serve as the Republican rock this cycle. And same with his running mates, on the gubernatorial side.

I still think Nelson should slightly under-run Gillum, but no longer so much as if Graham had gotten the nomination in last week's Democratic primary.

For the record, I don't think this one will even be that close, in my opinion. I did have Scott's chances at upwards of 60% around mid-August, but at this point you certainly can't rule out a 3-to-5 point win for Nelson either.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I think Pinellas is definitely trending R but it should still go for Nelson. I have a very weird map in my mind.
Gillum flips
Seminole
Monroe
Nelson flips
Volusia

Both win
Duval
Pinellas
Jefferson

[Fmr. Speaker anna0kear]

Yeah if Nelson isn't winning Pinellas County I don't think he wins.

Flip Pinellas, Jefferson and Monroe.

I think Duval goes Democratic.

Thanks guys!

How about this?



And what happens in other scenarios? Tied vote? Big win? Love to hear your thoughts everyone!

[Confused Democrat]

Yeah if Nelson isn't winning Pinellas County I don't think he wins.

Flip Pinellas, Jefferson and Monroe.

I think Duval goes Democratic.

Thanks guys!

How about this?



And what happens in other scenarios? Tied vote? Big win? Love to hear your thoughts everyone!

That map is a 1-2 point win for Scott IMO.  

If you added Madison, Liberty, and Franklin to Nelson's column then I'd say maybe it's narrow win for Nelson.

[Confused Democrat]

I'm not sure Scott would lose Madison in a close race, sure GOP voters are depressed and turnout numbers should be down in the Panhandle. However, he isn't usually particularly weak up north, also he certainly doesn't inspire that much enthusiasm either.

Scott lost Madison to Sink in 2010, and that was a close race. Also, Democratic turnout was higher than Republican turnout in Madison during the primaries this year.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Neither one is winning Duval, though I say Gillum really helps tamp down the margins.

[cvparty]

nelson needs to win pinellas to be winning statewide