State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[BundouYMB]

Just quickly calculated - Trump won the remaining precincts in HD-178 9936-9649. Tai (D) is down by 8 votes. Stick a fork in her.

Trump won HD-178 by three points. That means the remaining votes are more favorable than the district as a whole.

I don't normally acknolwedge trolls, I just want to get this outthere to make sure the troll doesn't trick anyone.

[Gass3268]

16/28

Democrat   
Helen Tai   3,809   
52.0%

Republican   
Wendi Thomas   3,509   
48.0%

[Oryxslayer]

I remarked some weeks ago on AAD about how hilarious 48 & 178 looked side-by-side:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

It makes a lot of sense that they'd actually both flip in this climate. A New Pennsylvania!

Moral of the Story: Hold a special election off cycle - you get wild swings like in PA-18. Hold a special election on cycle - you get correlated swings like in VA-Deleagtes.

[IceSpear]

Might as well rename this thread "LimoLiberal trolls users who bother to engage his nonsense megathread v2"

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So again, despite the Generic Ballot, the Dems are still performing at Blue Wave-levels...

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Might as well rename this thread "LimoLiberal Andrew trolls users who bother to engage his nonsense megathread v2"

FTFY

[YE]

Might as well rename this thread "LimoLiberal trolls users who bother to engage his nonsense megathread v2"

Please don't tempt me....

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Yep, Morris is seeing this as a D flip!

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/996591012515647488

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wow, isn't Tai another Biden endorsement?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Morris called it! D FLIP ANDREW

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/996591627530534912

[junior chįmp]

Looks like Helen Tai will win in a crushing defeat to Andrew_1918

Resident clown Krazen self owns yet again with his classic "Moore in the lead!" prediction:

Wendi Thomas with a massive lead!

178th Legislative District County Breakdown
TAI, HELEN D
(DEM)
39.03%
    Votes: 402
THOMAS, WENDI
(REP)
60.97%
    Votes: 628

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wow, so despite the Generic Ballot, and Trump's approval rating, the Blue Wave is still rolling.

[BundouYMB]

Reminder that the previous Republican St. Rep. won by 23 POINTS in 2016. 2018 is increasingly looking like Clinton 2016 margins (or better) in the suburbs + Obama 2008 margins in working class areas.

[IceSpear]

Time to ban Andrew tbh

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Reminder that the previous Republican St. Rep. won by 23 POINTS in 2016. 2018 is increasingly looking like Clinton 2016 margins (or better) in the suburbs + Obama 2008 margins in working class areas.

So the Dems are winning back the working class vote.

[LimoLiberal]

Have no idea why the DLCC called it, Thomas looks like she's in contention -->

https://twitter.com/indivisible410/status/996592057065058304

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Morris said that Thomas needed 55% of the remaining vote. That's why he stuck the fork in her.

Anyways, wasn't Tai another Biden-backed Candidate?

[LimoLiberal]

Wow. Clark Mitchell (D) in HD-48 ends up losing 44-55 with all precincts in. Just a 3% improvement over Clinton's historically bad performance in this SW PA district.

Helen Tai looks like she'll narrowly pull of the win, but there are still 3 precincts outstanding.

[Ebsy]

Yeah Tai is going to win. Tale of Two Pennsylvanias indeed.

[KingSweden]

I wonder what did Clark Mitchell in more - the Saccone-Guy primary or living in his mom’s basement.

[IceSpear]

Wow. Clark Mitchell makes a massive improvement off of Hillary’s showing in Washington County with everything in. This is an impressive result for a dude who lives in his mom’s basement. Helen Tai will pull off a massive upset in PA178 indicating the blue wave is alive and well

Republicans couldn't even match Trump's performance with a highly contested primary going on on their side with nothing on the Dem side, running against a neckbeard surviving on Hot Pockets, Cheetos, and Mountain Dew playing Call of Duty in his mom's basement. Sad!

PAGOP is finished.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wow. Clark Mitchell makes a massive improvement off of Hillary’s showing in Washington County with everything in. This is an impressive result for a dude who lives in his mom’s basement. Helen Tai will pull off a massive upset in PA178 indicating the blue wave is alive and well

Not just a basement dweller, but a super liberal neophyte that was actually quite a bad candidate.

[LimoLiberal]

Yeah Tai is going to win. Tale of Two Pennsylvanias indeed.

Democrats absolutely cannot take control of the state house if they lose ancestrally democratic SW PA seats like these.

[KingSweden]

Yeah Tai is going to win. Tale of Two Pennsylvanias indeed.

Democrats absolutely cannot take control of the state house if they lose ancestrally democratic SW PA seats like these.

Presumably they won’t run sentient fedoras in any other Demosaur seats

[Devils30]

But if the GOP loses the ancestrally Republican SE PA seats they just might.