State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Devout Centrist]

Why is no one posting live information on the MO race. Polls closed almost 2 hours ago.

That's on June 5th, I believe

[Sestak]

Are there even any specials today? I thought only next week...

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Are there even any specials today? I thought only next week...

Yeah, I go by Ballotpedia's list, and there's nothing scheduled tonight. Nice break from doing projections before the long list of stuff next week.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Are there even any specials today? I thought only next week...

Yeah, I go by Ballotpedia's list, and there's nothing scheduled tonight. Nice break from doing projections before the long list of stuff next week.

There is a runoff in MS HD-30.  That's the only one I'm aware of.

[DINGO Joe]

Yeah the MS one is tonight, however, it's in Mississippi and about halfway between Jackson and Memphis, so good luck finding any coverage.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

ughhh I wanna know!

[Gass3268]

No idea on the margin

https://twitter.com/TheDLCC/status/1001653927660736513

[Devout Centrist]

https://twitter.com/electionwatchus/status/1001657009647898624

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Not surprised that this was a D hold, this is part of Bennie Thompson's seat.

[Devout Centrist]

The previous incumbent ran unopposed for years; wonder if Republicans could have picked him off in 2011 or 2015.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

How did this seat vote in 2016?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tracey Rosebud will make a fine state house member indeed, congrats! (though yeesh, I cringe and shudder at that weak mov, but minorities are pretty bad with turnout in most special elections).

[Ebsy]

Mississippi specials don't list party so it really can turn into a contest between candidates trying to turn out their own supporters, which the GOP almost certainly benefits from in seats across the South. Good that Dems held it.

[DINGO Joe]

Tracey Rosebud will make a fine state house member indeed, congrats! (though yeesh, I cringe and shudder at that weak mov, but minorities are pretty bad with turnout in most special elections).

I really don't know anything about the players in this region but given the unwieldy lines of the district and the population loss in the Delta, it may be a candidate to disappear next redistricting.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

^^^No party listed on the ballot plus rural blacks have not been showing up to vote in special elections when there isn't a child molester on the ballot.

Yeah, dems are great turning out suburban whites in special elections now, the next step for improvement is trying to materialize these sorts of results in places that are mainly constituted of communities of color.

[DrScholl]

The penitentiary is in the district which means it has few eligible black voters than demographics suggest. In a low turnout special election the demographics of the turnout probably mirrored the results considering how polarized the Delta is.

[DINGO Joe]

The penitentiary is in the district which means it has few eligible black voters than demographics suggest. In a low turnout special election the demographics of the turnout probably mirrored the results considering how polarized the Delta is.

Not just the penitentiary, but the fabled Parchman Farm.  I've actually been on that road.  There's a blues trail marker there and a sign saying you cannot stop and you cannot take pictures. 

[rob in cal]

  Will Greitens resignation impact the Missouri election next week? It might help GOP in that he's off the headlines, but also his resignation reminds voters of his issues.

[junior chįmp]

This is like the 4th or so most Republican district in the state. It'll be a real challenge.

True....but Klobuchar did carry the district:

https://www.twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1001847320248545280

Could be a possibility in this enviorment

[Pragmatic Conservative]

South Dakota Republican State House district 26B representative Jim Schaefer passed away yesterday.

http://listen.sdpb.org/post/rep-schaefer-dies-utv-accident-working-his-ranch

[I’m not Stu]

I can see why Republicans want CA State Senator Josh Newman recalled. Any reason as to why some Democrats (like Josh Ferguson) want to recall Josh Newman?

[junior chįmp]

Another Republican flees:

https://www.twitter.com/hellofasandwich/status/1002035668120358912

[Bojack Horseman]

I can see why Republicans want CA State Senator Josh Newman recalled. Any reason as to why some Democrats (like Josh Ferguson) want to recall Josh Newman?

From what I’m reading, anger about the gas tax hike isn’t limited t9 Republicans.

[I’m not Stu]

I can see why Republicans want CA State Senator Josh Newman recalled. Any reason as to why some Democrats (like Josh Ferguson) want to recall Josh Newman?

From what I’m reading, anger about the gas tax hike isn’t limited t9 Republicans.

Notice that Ferguson's signs parody Newman's.

[Virginiá]

I can see why Republicans want CA State Senator Josh Newman recalled. Any reason as to why some Democrats (like Josh Ferguson) want to recall Josh Newman?

From what I’m reading, anger about the gas tax hike isn’t limited t9 Republicans.

Not to mention that this gas tax is also bringing about a wave of ridiculous ballot initiatives to handicap the legislature's ability to govern in regards to taxes. Who knew that the CAGOP, almost completely powerless on any standard level, would still find a way to obstruct the lawmaking process. Lowering taxes and obstructing government is pretty much the only thing Republicans can do, and damn do they do it well.

At any rate, maybe it's time CA stops requiring a special blend of gasoline and makes other efforts to bring down gas prices. There has to be some give and take on this. If major infrastructure funding is needed, you can't just keep inflating gas prices via regulations and taxes without respite. The people will eventually get pissed off, as they are doing now, and it might just lead to incredibly boneheaded ballot initiatives that lawmakers will be dealing with for decades.