State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Lachi]

Dems should win TX SD-19 with no difficulties whatsoever using those results as a basis

[Ebsy]

Troubling results for the GOP.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hurd is toast.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Wait, so this was a Jungle primary (like in Louisiana) and not a Jungle election (like in Hawaii)? Back during the recent Congressional Special Election, I asked if Texas special elections were done in a Jungle election format and someone replied "Yes" and that was the only response.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final:

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 19               
Jesse (Jay) Alaniz   REP   340   2.04%   456   1.74%
Peter P. (Pete) Flores   REP   4,419   26.57%   8,965   34.37%
Pete Gallego   DEM   5,406   32.51%   7,541   28.91%
Roland Gutierrez   DEM   4,431   26.64%   6,351   24.35%
Charlie Urbina Jones   DEM   580   3.48%   783   3.00%
Carlos Antonio Raymond   REP   696   4.18%   912   3.49%
Thomas Uresti   DEM   578   3.47%   798   3.06%
Tony Valdivia   LIB   178   1.07%   271   1.03%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      16,628      26,077   
Precincts Reported      350   of   350 Precincts      100.00%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The D-R vote share is 61-38. For reference, Clinton won this seat by 12 points. TX-23 is nearly coterminous with this seat. But yes, Hurd is favored because of ow turnout Hispanics!

For the record, changed to 59-40 D in the last 10% of precincts.

[DINGO Joe]

Wait, so, I know I'm late to this, but is Pete Gallego actually working backwards, so to speak? I don't think it's very common at all that former Congresspeople go back to state legislatures, no?

He must really want to hold public office bad.

Of course, in California a State Senator actually represents more people than a US Congressman.

This is also true for the Texas State Senate.

Yeah, I forgot what state we were in tonight.

[Zaybay]

I was expected #thepersistence to tweet how they "got in the runoff with 30% of the vote" and how this showed how strong Reps are, but he didnt even mention it.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I was expected #thepersistence to tweet how they "got in the runoff with 30% of the vote" and how this showed how strong Reps are, but he didnt even mention it.

James Woods
‏Verified account @RealJamesWoods

#Republicans must vote in droves to have a fighting chance. Remember: you’re not only facing #Democrats. You’re fighting dead voters, illegal alien voters, and repeat voters. That is, if you can even get to the polls past Black Panthers intimidating you.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I was expected #thepersistence to tweet how they "got in the runoff with 30% of the vote" and how this showed how strong Reps are, but he didnt even mention it.

James Woods
‏Verified account @RealJamesWoods

#Republicans must vote in droves to have a fighting chance. Remember: you’re not only facing #Democrats. You’re fighting dead voters, illegal alien voters, and repeat voters. That is, if you can even get to the polls past Black Panthers intimidating you.

I think we just found who pandaguinea is.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I was expected #thepersistence to tweet how they "got in the runoff with 30% of the vote" and how this showed how strong Reps are, but he didnt even mention it.

James Woods
‏Verified account @RealJamesWoods

#Republicans must vote in droves to have a fighting chance. Remember: you’re not only facing #Democrats. You’re fighting dead voters, illegal alien voters, and repeat voters. That is, if you can even get to the polls past Black Panthers intimidating you.

How about repeat votes from dead illegal aliens?  That's more efficient.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I was expected #thepersistence to tweet how they "got in the runoff with 30% of the vote" and how this showed how strong Reps are, but he didnt even mention it.

James Woods
‏Verified account @RealJamesWoods

#Republicans must vote in droves to have a fighting chance. Remember: you’re not only facing #Democrats. You’re fighting dead voters, illegal alien voters, and repeat voters. That is, if you can even get to the polls past Black Panthers intimidating you.

Typical GOTV method by Republicans: lies and fear.

[OneJ]

The D-R vote share is 59-40. For reference, Clinton won this seat by 12 points. TX-23 is nearly coterminous with this seat. But yes, Hurd is favored because of low turnout Hispanics!

You know they gotta cheer themselves up...even when it’s time for them to not be complacent.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I was expected #thepersistence to tweet how they "got in the runoff with 30% of the vote" and how this showed how strong Reps are, but he didnt even mention it.

James Woods
‏Verified account @RealJamesWoods

#Republicans must vote in droves to have a fighting chance. Remember: you’re not only facing #Democrats. You’re fighting dead voters, illegal alien voters, and repeat voters. That is, if you can even get to the polls past Black Panthers intimidating you.

It's become abundantly clear why James Woods is so good at playing thoroughly unlikable characters in movies.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tonight is the Election in CA State Senate 32! Polls close at 11 ET. Results here:

https://vote.sos.ca.gov/special/state-senate/district/32

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Democrat Vanessa Delgado beating Republican Rita Topalian 53.2-46.8% in mail-ins.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Early Returns, but this is a lot closer than it should be:

Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
15,716   
53.2%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
13,803   
46.8%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

17% in:

Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
17,700   
52.9%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
15,758   
47.1%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

39% in:

Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
18,965   
52.5%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
17,170   
47.5%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

66% in:

Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
20,898   
51.8%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
19,466   
48.2%

Democrats have a thirty point registration advantage in this mostly LA district and they are nearly blowing this race. Not a good sign for November.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

66% in:

Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
20,898   
51.8%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
19,466   
48.2%

Democrats have a thirty point registration advantage in this mostly LA district and they are nearly blowing this race. Not a good sign for November.

Give me a break. The Democratic candidate literally said she probably won't take the seat if elected. This seat is up in three months and will snap back to blowout Democratic margins in November.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Democrats have this, but again, it should not have been this close.

91% in:

Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
22,716   
51.5%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
21,410   
48.5%

[DINGO Joe]

66% in:

Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
20,898   
51.8%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
19,466   
48.2%

Democrats have a thirty point registration advantage in this mostly LA district and they are nearly blowing this race. Not a good sign for November.

Give me a break. The Democratic candidate literally said she probably won't take the seat if elected. This seat is up in three months and will snap back to blowout Democratic margins in November.

Why won't she take the seat?  It is an extremely low vote (with the caveat of mail in still to come)

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

66% in:

Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
20,898   
51.8%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
19,466   
48.2%

Democrats have a thirty point registration advantage in this mostly LA district and they are nearly blowing this race. Not a good sign for November.

Give me a break. The Democratic candidate literally said she probably won't take the seat if elected. This seat is up in three months and will snap back to blowout Democratic margins in November.

Why won't she take the seat?  It is an extremely low vote (with the caveat of mail in still to come)

https://www.dailynews.com/2018/07/11/candidate-for-ca-senate-seat-might-decline-to-serve-even-if-she-wins-election/

[Virginiá]

Margin was a bit wider in 2014, but still pretty close for CA-32. Turnout seems really low compared to total votes cast in 2014.

I'm not really going to read into this, but if I had to guess, it's possible that poor turnout from non-whites but particularly Latino voters caused a close margin and low turnout. Elections held since 2016 have shown a lot of the Democratic base is fired up, but Latino voters not so much. This fits that pattern, which is why it shouldn't worry anyone. Turnout will pick up in November and they'll hold the seat anyway.