State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2 (user search)
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  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2  (Read 168338 times)
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« on: March 29, 2018, 10:15:07 AM »

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2018, 02:42:07 PM »

Yeah it seems like the Second Bristol seat is probably going to be fairly competitive. I'd say it probably is a pure toss up.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2018, 07:33:35 PM »

An adequate performance in Bristol. Hawkins actually got a larger share of the vote than Clinton, but her large win here was mostly due to Trump's exceedingly poor fit for Massachusetts.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #3 on: April 24, 2018, 09:19:05 PM »

Nonzero chance that the Schoharie county result is in error.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #4 on: April 24, 2018, 09:50:54 PM »

So D+1 for the night.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #5 on: April 24, 2018, 11:22:39 PM »

Looks like a lot of New Yorkers were motivated to not vote.  I guess the attitude was it really did not matter.

NY also has some of the most restrictive voting laws in America. Worse than any red state I can think of

This is, of course, due to Republican control of the state senate.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2018, 06:37:34 PM »

Very glad that we will get a week free of Limoliberal.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2018, 06:39:26 PM »

Not even close.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2018, 06:43:49 PM »

Please clap.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2018, 08:42:14 PM »

West Miami is extremely cuban, moreso than almost any other neighborhood in Miami. Marco Rubio is from there.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #10 on: May 15, 2018, 08:06:34 PM »

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #11 on: May 15, 2018, 08:33:10 PM »

Party was apparently not indicated on the special election ballot so it isn't exactly a great experiment. Just add it to the list of observations.

I'm more interested in the Bucks county race.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #12 on: May 15, 2018, 09:26:49 PM »

PA GA 178 (6 of 28 precincts reporting)
(DEM)  Helen Tai           1,272        49.1%
(GOP)  Wendi Thomas   1,317   50.9%
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #13 on: May 15, 2018, 09:41:50 PM »

It's still 51-49 Thomas with 11 of 28 precincts reporting.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #14 on: May 15, 2018, 09:47:39 PM »

Helen Tai now up 51-49 with 13 of 28 precincts reporting.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #15 on: May 15, 2018, 10:41:20 PM »

Yeah Tai is going to win. Tale of Two Pennsylvanias indeed.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #16 on: May 15, 2018, 10:52:54 PM »

The 2 remaining precincts are in republican Northampton Township so Thomas will likely make up some votes there. Probably won't be enough, but be ready for a very close result.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #17 on: May 15, 2018, 11:14:20 PM »

Tai ends up winning by just 0.8 points, or 96 votes with 28/28 precincts in. Have no idea why so many called it so early.
Who, in your obviously expert opinion, called it too early? And did they call it earlier than your typical hyperbolic inchoate screeching that you pollute every thread you can find on a daily basis in the lead up to special elections?
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #18 on: May 29, 2018, 10:42:27 PM »

Mississippi specials don't list party so it really can turn into a contest between candidates trying to turn out their own supporters, which the GOP almost certainly benefits from in seats across the South. Good that Dems held it.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #19 on: June 04, 2018, 10:30:12 PM »

The Arthur-Corlew race is going to be the big one tomorrow. It's one of six typically competitive seats in the Missouri State Senate and is being hotly contested by both parties.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #20 on: June 04, 2018, 10:41:37 PM »

The seat is also significant in that it is entirely Kansas City suburbs, encompassing most of southern portion of Clay County. Might be a good indicator on how similar suburbs on the other side of the state line are going.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #21 on: June 05, 2018, 07:20:27 PM »

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #22 on: June 05, 2018, 07:32:52 PM »

Why on earth did you have to tell him? He could have found it for himself.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #23 on: June 05, 2018, 07:38:18 PM »

I am irritated by a low quality poster usurping what was once a good special elections thread, and wish people would not help him pollute the neighborhood.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #24 on: June 05, 2018, 07:40:00 PM »

Corlew: 576       37%
Arthur:  965       63%

3 precincts reporting.
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