Is Doug Ducey (AZ) threatened at all?

[NOVA Green]

Yes, his race is currently Tilt D. No idea why pundits rate this "Likely R"

These are the same experts who have Va-10 at tossup and CT-Gov as more likely to flip than Wisconsin.

Anyway, Ducey is more likely to lose than Sinema, easily.

Yes--- don't mess with the teachers...

Considering that the overwhelming majority of voters don't believe that teachers are getting paid sufficiently for their labor, the vast majority believe that there should be greater funding for education, and that Arizona teachers are taking to the streets against a Republican State Government that has not only slashed wages for teachers, hacked funding for public education, and cut taxes for Upper-Income residents of Arizona, it seems to create a scenario that German Political Scientist Claus Offe describes in his seminal work: "Contradictions of the Welfare State" way back in '84.

You should be able to pick up an inexpensive paperback copy on this site, although there are plenty of other places to purchase if you are opposed to Amazon's business model, how they treat their warehouse workers, or would rather go directly to the original publisher MIT Press, etc....

https://www.amazon.com/Contradictions-Welfare-Studies-Contemporary-Thought/dp/0262650142/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1524958375&sr=8-1&keywords=contradictions+of+the+welfare+state

Arizona is the kind of place where people don't like to pay taxes, but still want fundamental services from Government.

Even in the overwhelmingly Republican Senior Citizen communities of Arizona CD-08, the Democratic candidate for the Arizona Superintendent of Education actually performed quite well back in '14, which I initially found a bit surprising considering how frequently the interests of Seniors and Middle-Aged parents with kids in K-12 frequently diverge on education funding issues.

Now we see the Arizona Labor Movement taking to the streets with massive public support on an issue that impacts the overwhelming majority of the population of Arizona.

[MAINEiac4434]

AZ is going turning Dem hard. I wouldn’t be surprised if Farley gets in on Sinema’s coattails.

[windjammer]

I suspect this race will be within 3 points either way, but yeah, Ducey is definitely more likely to lose than Sinema. Gun to my head... he wins by 1, but not at all confident of that prediction.

I believe a lot will depend on the dem candidate, if he proves to be a good campaigner or not. So obviously it's difficult to make a prediction for now.

[Checkard]

tfw Arizona is a democratic trifecta.

[NOVA Green]

tfw Arizona is a democratic trifecta.

Are you predicting a Dem GOV, AZ-LD SEN, and AZ-LD House flip in 2018???

[wesmoorenerd]

Is it just me or has this race been unnaturally quiet over the last few months?

[Doimper]

Is it just me or has this race been unnaturally quiet over the last few months?

Definitely a sleeper race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He seem maverick enough to get reelected. The Democratic candidates aren't known yet

[Holmes]

He seem maverick enough to get reelected. The Democratic candidates aren't known yet

Garcia is known.

[NOVA Green]

He seem maverick enough to get reelected. The Democratic candidates aren't known yet

Garcia is known.

Considering he only very narrowly lost the 2014 AZ School Superintendent race in a Republican favorable year within Arizona, and performed the best a Democrat had performed in AZ CD-'08 (Until the 2018 Special Congressional Election), yeah I would say he is well known, and generally respected even by many Republican and Republican leaning voters in Arizona.... 

[BBD]

He seem maverick enough to get reelected. The Democratic candidates aren't known yet

Garcia is known.

Considering he only very narrowly lost the 2014 AZ School Superintendent race in a Republican favorable year within Arizona, and performed the best a Democrat had performed in AZ CD-'08 (Until the 2018 Special Congressional Election), yeah I would say he is well known, and generally respected even by many Republican and Republican leaning voters in Arizona....  

To be fair, Diane Douglas was not at all popular back then, and far less so now. She's going to be absolutely smoked in the general this year if she gets past the primary. But yes, Garcia is a very decent candidate, and performed very well in '14, despite not being able to overcome the partisan lean of the state and aforementioned political winds that favored Republicans. Fortunately, times have a-changed, and after the teachers' protests and bolstered Democratic energy on the horizon, Doug Ducey and the rest of the Arizona GOP have a very tough election on their hands.

[junior chįmp]

Doug Duceys approval rating hits 31%, disapproval at 39%