Describe a Baker/Warren voter. (user search)
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  Describe a Baker/Warren voter. (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Predict the percentage of Bay Staters that will vote for both candidates.
#1
≥ 5%
#2
≥ 10%
#3
≥ 15%
#4
≥ 20%
#5
≥ 25%
#6
≥ 30%
#7
≥ 35%
#8
≥ 40%
#9
≥ 45%
#10
≥ 50%
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: Describe a Baker/Warren voter.  (Read 3077 times)
kyc0705
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,756


« on: April 08, 2018, 08:20:02 AM »

That's probably going to be a majority of the state.
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kyc0705
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,756


« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2018, 10:54:47 AM »

That's probably going to be a majority of the state.

No? There was only about 30% of the state that did that in 1994 when Weld outran Mitt Romney by 30 points. Assuming of course that there was no significant amount of Romney-Roosevelt voters, which I suspect there wasn’t.

Yeah, I was assuming, through a combination of bad data prediction and bad math, that the respective opponents are just some Also Rans that barely make a dent—there's a difference between winning 60/40 and wiping somebody off the map, which means the required crossover vote is that much lower.
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