CA-SEN: Feinstein has two GOP endorsements

[Greedo punched first]

What are de Leon's chances right now?

It's possible that he might get ~35% or so of the vote, given that's he received the endorsement of the State Democratic Party. I also think that he will win at least Imperial County, and maybe one or two others. But he still going to lose by a wide margin, and will probably do worse than Cox. Without the endorsement, he would be doing even worse.

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

[Calthrina950]

What are de Leon's chances right now?

It's possible that he might get ~35% or so of the vote, given that's he received the endorsement of the State Democratic Party. I also think that he will win at least Imperial County, and maybe one or two others. But he still going to lose by a wide margin, and will probably do worse than Cox. Without the endorsement, he would be doing even worse.

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

I don't know about the first two, but I suspect Feinstein will carry Orange County, since she is the more "centrist" of the two. Republican voters who cast a ballot for Senate will back her because of that, and because of the fact that she is the long-time incumbent.

[Greedo punched first]

What are de Leon's chances right now?

It's possible that he might get ~35% or so of the vote, given that's he received the endorsement of the State Democratic Party. I also think that he will win at least Imperial County, and maybe one or two others. But he still going to lose by a wide margin, and will probably do worse than Cox. Without the endorsement, he would be doing even worse.

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

I don't know about the first two, but I suspect Feinstein will carry Orange County, since she is the more "centrist" of the two. Republican voters who cast a ballot for Senate will back her because of that, and because of the fact that she is the long-time incumbent.

Merced has a very large Hispanic population. Humboldt is extremely liberal. What are de Leon's chances in those types of counties?

[Calthrina950]

What are de Leon's chances right now?

It's possible that he might get ~35% or so of the vote, given that's he received the endorsement of the State Democratic Party. I also think that he will win at least Imperial County, and maybe one or two others. But he still going to lose by a wide margin, and will probably do worse than Cox. Without the endorsement, he would be doing even worse.

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

I don't know about the first two, but I suspect Feinstein will carry Orange County, since she is the more "centrist" of the two. Republican voters who cast a ballot for Senate will back her because of that, and because of the fact that she is the long-time incumbent.

Merced is majority Hispanic. Humboldt is extremely liberal. What are de Leon's chances in those types of counties?

Given what you told me about them, they might be the one or two other counties that he carries. So, I would say his chances are maybe 50-50. Most of the Republican counties in Central and northeastern California will vote for Feinstein, just like they did for Harris.

[Greedo punched first]

What are de Leon's chances right now?

It's possible that he might get ~35% or so of the vote, given that's he received the endorsement of the State Democratic Party. I also think that he will win at least Imperial County, and maybe one or two others. But he still going to lose by a wide margin, and will probably do worse than Cox. Without the endorsement, he would be doing even worse.

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

I don't know about the first two, but I suspect Feinstein will carry Orange County, since she is the more "centrist" of the two. Republican voters who cast a ballot for Senate will back her because of that, and because of the fact that she is the long-time incumbent.

Merced is majority Hispanic. Humboldt is extremely liberal. What are de Leon's chances in those types of counties?

Given what you told me about them, they might be the one or two other counties that he carries. So, I would say his chances are maybe 50-50. Most of the Republican counties in Central and northeastern California will vote for Feinstein, just like they did for Harris.

Might de Leon win Mendocino? Mendocino is similar to Humboldt; heavily white and rural, but very liberal.

[Calthrina950]

What are de Leon's chances right now?

It's possible that he might get ~35% or so of the vote, given that's he received the endorsement of the State Democratic Party. I also think that he will win at least Imperial County, and maybe one or two others. But he still going to lose by a wide margin, and will probably do worse than Cox. Without the endorsement, he would be doing even worse.

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

I don't know about the first two, but I suspect Feinstein will carry Orange County, since she is the more "centrist" of the two. Republican voters who cast a ballot for Senate will back her because of that, and because of the fact that she is the long-time incumbent.

Merced is majority Hispanic. Humboldt is extremely liberal. What are de Leon's chances in those types of counties?

Given what you told me about them, they might be the one or two other counties that he carries. So, I would say his chances are maybe 50-50. Most of the Republican counties in Central and northeastern California will vote for Feinstein, just like they did for Harris.

Might de Leon win Mendocino? Mendocino is similar to Humboldt; heavily white and rural, but very liberal.

Again, possibly, but I'm not an expert on California politics. I'm only making guesses, based on what you're telling me and on what I know about this race. A result similar to that of Harris vs. Sanchez, overall, would not surprise me. That would still be a ~22 pt. victory for Feinstein.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

California also has some pro-choice Republicans like Arun Bhumitra, who finished in the top four.

"De Leon sucks in polls"
"De Leon sucks in polls: Part 1.5"
"De Leon sucks in Imperial County"
"De Leon sucks in his own Senate district"
"De Leon sucks with Hispanics"
"De Leon sucks with fellow legislative leaders"
"De Leon sucks with Progressive Caucus (Somehow wins CDP endorsement)"
"De Leon sucks with fundraising"

New addition!

[Antonio the Sixth]

Seriously, these titles are ridiculous.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

I'm not sure that Merced's high Hispanic population will lead to a De Leon victory there.

[Greedo punched first]

I'm not sure that Merced's high Hispanic population will lead to a De Leon victory there.

Is Feinstein in good shape to win Orange County? Is de Leon in good shape to win Humboldt County?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

His fundraising is still very poor. How well will he do after receiving the state party's endorsement?

What are de Leon's chances right now?

Might de Leon win Humboldt and/or Merced? Does Feinstein still win Orange County?

Merced has a very large Hispanic population. Humboldt is extremely liberal. What are de Leon's chances in those types of counties?

Might de Leon win Mendocino? Mendocino is similar to Humboldt; heavily white and rural, but very liberal.

Is Feinstein in good shape to win Orange County? Is de Leon in good shape to win Humboldt County?

So many questions in 17 hours. Gonna keep it simple and predict he won't win any counties.

[Greedo punched first]

Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger.

[Antonio the Sixth]

[img=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_California,_2018#Endorsements_2]http://Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger[/img].

Republicans support the Republican candidate. News at 11.

[Greedo punched first]

Does de Leon do better in Los Angeles County (his home county) or Orange County?

[Holmes]

Does de Leon do better in Los Angeles County (his home county) or Orange County?

Probably LA.

[Greedo punched first]

Does de Leon do better in LA County or Humboldt County? De Leon is from LA, but Humboldt's Democrats are far more liberal.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

[img=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_California,_2018#Endorsements_2]http://Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger[/img].

Republicans support the Republican candidate. News at 11.

[Calthrina950]

[img=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_California,_2018#Endorsements_2]http://Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger[/img].

Republicans support the Republican candidate. News at 11.

How is Feinstein the Republican candidate? She is still a staunch liberal Democrat in most aspects (particularly on issues such as gun control and judicial nominations), so I'm not sure where the logic for this argument comes from.

[Antonio the Sixth]

[img=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_California,_2018#Endorsements_2]http://Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger[/img].

Republicans support the Republican candidate. News at 11.

How is Feinstein the Republican candidate? She is still a staunch liberal Democrat in most aspects (particularly on issues such as gun control and judicial nominations), so I'm not sure where the logic for this argument comes from.

"Judicial nominations" isn't a policy issue, and gun control isn't really a left-right issue in any ideological sense.

[Calthrina950]

[img=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_California,_2018#Endorsements_2]http://Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger[/img].

Republicans support the Republican candidate. News at 11.

How is Feinstein the Republican candidate? She is still a staunch liberal Democrat in most aspects (particularly on issues such as gun control and judicial nominations), so I'm not sure where the logic for this argument comes from.

"Judicial nominations" isn't a policy issue, and gun control isn't really a left-right issue in any ideological sense.

How can you say that "judicial nominations" aren't a policy issue? Partisan battles are waged over a great many such nominations, particularly those over Supreme Court seats. Federal judges and justices can make decisions that have a substantive impact on all areas of public policy, especially on issues such as criminal justice, immigration, voting rights, gerrymandering, freedom of speech, religion, and business regulation. And Feinstein has opposed a considerable number of Trump's nominees. As for gun control, Democrats and Republicans are diametrically opposed on the issue, and Feinstein's views are clearly on the left side of that debate.

[Alabama_Indy10]

[img=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_California,_2018#Endorsements_2]http://Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger[/img].

Republicans support the Republican candidate. News at 11.

How is Feinstein the Republican candidate? She is still a staunch liberal Democrat in most aspects (particularly on issues such as gun control and judicial nominations), so I'm not sure where the logic for this argument comes from.

"Judicial nominations" isn't a policy issue, and gun control isn't really a left-right issue in any ideological sense.

How can you say that "judicial nominations" aren't a policy issue? Partisan battles are waged over a great many such nominations, particularly those over Supreme Court seats. Federal judges and justices can make decisions that have a substantive impact on all areas of public policy, especially on issues such as criminal justice, immigration, voting rights, gerrymandering, freedom of speech, religion, and business regulation. And Feinstein has opposed a considerable number of Trump's nominees. As for gun control, Democrats and Republicans are diametrically opposed on the issue, and Feinstein's views are clearly on the left side of that debate.

[DrScholl]

I don't think the cross party endorsements really mean much regarding ideology especially when they come from people who hold officially non-partisan offices. Kathryn Barger is fairly moderate and the only Republican on the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors which is a position where being on good terms with higher level elected officials is beneficial to bringing money for projects to your district. For the most part Feinstein isn't going to get many Republican endorsements because she is still far too liberal for them even if she's not liberal enough for many progressives.

[Greedo punched first]

I don't think the cross party endorsements really mean much regarding ideology especially when they come from people who hold officially non-partisan offices. Kathryn Barger is fairly moderate and the only Republican on the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors which is a position where being on good terms with higher level elected officials is beneficial to bringing money for projects to your district. For the most part Feinstein isn't going to get many Republican endorsements because she is still far too liberal for them even if she's not liberal enough for many progressives.

Doug Ose held a partisan office. Darrell Issa endorsed Loretta Sanchez in 2016.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/matier-ross/article/Sen-Feinstein-had-a-Chinese-connection-she-13121441.php

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[TheSaint250]

[img=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_California,_2018#Endorsements_2]http://Two Republicans endorse Feinstein: Doug Ose and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger[/img].

Republicans support the Republican candidate. News at 11.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsf8LnThk5Y