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Author Topic: NY-Siena: Cuomo +28 in Democratic primary; +26 and +24 in GE matchups  (Read 1550 times)
kyc0705
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« on: April 17, 2018, 12:20:52 pm »

This poll was conducted from April 8–12, surveying 692 registered voters.

https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY0418_Crosstabs.pdf

Democratic gubernatorial primary:
Andrew Cuomo: 58%
Cynthia Nixon: 27%
Don't know/undecided: 15%

Siena's previous poll had Cuomo leading Nixon by 47 points (66-19).

There were also two general election matchups, both featuring Cuomo:

Andrew Cuomo (D): 57%
Marc Molinaro (R): 31%
Don't know/other/undecided: 12%

Andrew Cuomo (D): 56%
John DiFrancisco (R): 32%
Don't know/other/undecided: 12%
« Last Edit: April 17, 2018, 12:24:53 pm by kyc0705 »Logged
Nationalist Leftist
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« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2018, 12:24:08 pm »

#cuomounder60
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President Weatherboy1102
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« Reply #2 on: April 17, 2018, 12:27:39 pm »

#NixonMentum
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« Reply #3 on: April 17, 2018, 12:30:47 pm »

Newman is closing the Gap at an aggressive pace, and the primary us held in September. This could be interesting.
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« Reply #4 on: April 17, 2018, 12:31:20 pm »

#cuomounder60
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #5 on: April 17, 2018, 12:49:12 pm »

So how many "true progressives" will either not vote or vote for the Republican because of the "3vil Cuomo"?
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henster
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« Reply #6 on: April 17, 2018, 12:57:24 pm »

Cuomo should not have ran for a 3rd term, Govs always have problem when they don't know when to just go. He had a decent amount of accomplishments to run for Prez but now he will have to carry disappointing electoral record with him.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #7 on: April 17, 2018, 12:58:59 pm »

Cuomo should not have ran for a 3rd term, Govs always have problem when they don't know when to just go. He had a decent amount of accomplishments to run for Prez but now he will have to carry disappointing electoral record with him.

Somewhat closer than normal, probably will win by 20% at least in the primary and then will probably get >60% of the vote in the general, not as bad as it looks to people who follow politics.
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« Reply #8 on: April 17, 2018, 01:08:29 pm »

So how many "true progressives" will either not vote or vote for the Republican because of the "3vil Cuomo"?
Hopefully none, since Nixon will automatically be on the ballot in November on the WFP ticket.
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« Reply #9 on: April 17, 2018, 02:19:23 pm »

Someone find this magical person!

47% Someone Else
44% Cuomo

 Love
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kyc0705
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« Reply #10 on: April 17, 2018, 02:31:15 pm »

Someone find this magical person!

47% Someone Else
44% Cuomo

 Love

Somebody Else for President 2020!
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« Reply #11 on: April 17, 2018, 02:36:25 pm »

Well, Nixon is actually not doing so poorly, considering that she just entered the race. She could still make this competitive since the primary isn't being held until September. I don't think she's going to pull this off, but I don't want to rule out completely.
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« Reply #12 on: April 17, 2018, 04:22:27 pm »

Well, Nixon is actually not doing so poorly, considering that she just entered the race. She could still make this competitive since the primary isn't being held until September. I don't think she's going to pull this off, but I don't want to rule out completely.

So far I have ruled out her winning anything better than Teachout in 2014. It's just more of the same from 2014 imo.
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« Reply #13 on: April 17, 2018, 04:56:33 pm »

So how many "true progressives" will either not vote or vote for the Republican because of the "3vil Cuomo"?
Hopefully none, since Nixon will automatically be on the ballot in November on the WFP ticket.

Speaking of the WFP, I believe that this poll was conducted before she got their endorsement. I'd like to see a three way poll.
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« Reply #14 on: April 17, 2018, 04:59:49 pm »

Newman is closing the Gap at an aggressive pace, and the primary us held in September. This could be interesting.

No, and the GE isn’t Lean D either.
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« Reply #15 on: April 17, 2018, 05:27:54 pm »

Newman is closing the Gap at an aggressive pace, and the primary us held in September. This could be interesting.

No, and the GE isn’t Lean D either.

Before you make an insult like that, look at my ratings document again.
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« Reply #16 on: April 17, 2018, 06:03:38 pm »

Nixon better pull this out. Cuomo is R-lite trash.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #17 on: April 17, 2018, 08:03:45 pm »

So how many "true progressives" will either not vote or vote for the Republican because of the "3vil Cuomo"?

Cuomo is gutter trash and won't lose a general election so there's no risk in voting green or whatever in the general.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #18 on: April 18, 2018, 10:44:22 am »

So how many "true progressives" will either not vote or vote for the Republican because of the "3vil Cuomo"?

Cuomo is gutter trash and won't lose a general election so there's no risk in voting green or whatever in the general.

"Clinton won't lose so it's ok to vote for a green or other third party in the general" sounds pretty similar, see what happened there.
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« Reply #19 on: April 18, 2018, 01:00:57 pm »

So how many "true progressives" will either not vote or vote for the Republican because of the "3vil Cuomo"?

Cuomo is gutter trash and won't lose a general election so there's no risk in voting green or whatever in the general.

"Clinton won't lose so it's ok to vote for a green or other third party in the general" sounds pretty similar, see what happened there.

Yeah well, unless a third party candidate suddenly had the strength to get more than 20% of the vote, Cuomo isn't losing. This is 2018 New York, after all.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #20 on: April 20, 2018, 02:52:14 pm »

My question is, why didn't they poll Nixon in the general?
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #21 on: April 20, 2018, 03:17:59 pm »

My question is, why didn't they poll Nixon in the general?

Because she's going to bet Kirked in the primary.
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« Reply #22 on: April 20, 2018, 03:25:54 pm »

My question is, why didn't they poll Nixon in the general?

Because she's going to bet Kirked in the primary.

...so she's gonna win with ~80 percent?
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #23 on: April 21, 2018, 06:11:19 pm »


So is Gillibrand, big deal.
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« Reply #24 on: April 21, 2018, 06:19:42 pm »

Am I the only one here who likes Cuomo?
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