Quinnipiac-TX: Cruz 47 O'Rourke 44

[cvparty]

ROBERTO :0

[Pollster]

Cruz is getting 18% of the black vote and only leading by 3? Even in his 2014 landslide Cornyn only got 10%.

[President Johnson]

Lean Republican, but still a bit closer to likely than toss-up.

[Strudelcutie4427]

I’m skeptical. This poll also had Abbott up only 8. Abbott will probably won by around 20. I still think Cruz will win by around 10

[Young Conservative]

Cruz is up by high single digits/low double digits. This poll is junk and doesn’t even show party ID or demographic distribution.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Cruz is up by high single digits/low double digits. This poll is junk and doesn’t even show party ID or demographic distribution.

Beto is winning independents by 14 and is getting 34% of white voters (much more than hillary 24-26%) so this result isn't from sampling miniority democrats.

Like Cruz is an ultra far right partisan. Is it any surprise that independents aren't a fan of him? Get out of your conservative hack bubble.

[Burke Bro]

I'm fascinated. I'll leave it at Lean R, but would definitely like to see more polls. 

[KingSweden]

I’d like to see more polls, suffice to say

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Likely R, but edging closer to Lean R.

[Bumaye]

As Beto gets more name recognition and keeps on stacking donations I guess he can pull it off. From likely r to lean r for now.

[McGovernForPrez]

This race is lean R.

[ON Progressive]

Likely R, but edging closer to Lean R.

[_]

Tossup

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/986732307146043393

[UWS]

Tossup

[UWS]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Go home Texas, you're drunk.

Voters say Cruz would do a better job than O'Rourke on a number of issues:
51 - 35 percent that Cruz would do a better job on the economy;
49 - 36 percent for Cruz on taxes;
43 percent say Cruz would do a better job on health care, as 42 percent say O'Rourke would be better;
46 - 38 percent that Cruz would be better on immigration;
50 - 37 percent that Cruz would be better on gun policy.


Looks like this campaign is a personality campaign, lol. Texas is still a GOP state, but Cruz is so slimy that he might just be able to lose it.

OK, so you combine these two things and.....I don't get it, how is he only up by 3 when you combine these things, it looks like all 47% who like him are voting for him already, but then the policies should help him with the undecideds?

Maybe my math is off but this poll makes little sense to me when you dig into it

Independants are a larger sample than republicans in this poll, Quinnipiac may be fudging this poll for clicks

but beto is winning indies by 14 and still losing by 3. they arent fudging party id lol

But that doesn’t include the 9 % of undecided voters so Beto still has time to attract them in order to win.

[Progressive Pessimist]

This is a great poll! I want to be excited but I know I shouldn't. I'm still going to cling to my Likely R rating.

[Xing]

Cruz is probably up by more, but I could potentially see him getting Warner'd if Republicans have a really bad night. TN is still definitely more likely to flip, though.

[DrScholl]

It was obvious that this would be an actual race when Cruz made that stupid attack on O'Rourke's name.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Likely R. Nothing to see here.

[junior chįmp]

Yawn...ive been predicting this for awhile now

[Doimper]

Yawn...ive been predicting this for awhile now

[Shadows]

Hispanics in Texas are much more conservative & that is Beto's challenge & why Lyin' Ted attacked him.

If Beto can try & get 60%, forget 70-75% of Hispanic votes which a North Eastern Democrat can get, then Beto may win this.

He also has to try & get huge turnout from Millennials so that this 50-34 demographic advantage can translate into something big. Hispanic Votes & millennial turnouts is key for Beto.

[Torrain]

I want to believe...

[UWS]

Hispanics in Texas are much more conservative & that is Beto's challenge & why Lyin' Ted attacked him.

If Beto can try & get 60%, forget 70-75% of Hispanic votes which a North Eastern Democrat can get, then Beto may win this.

He also has to try & get huge turnout from Millennials so that this 50-34 demographic advantage can translate into something big. Hispanic Votes & millennial turnouts is key for Beto.

« Well first of all, I don't know how he knows what I said on Univision because he doesn't speak Spanish. » LOL

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSISRE91ruA