AZ-08 Prediction Thread
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Author Topic: AZ-08 Prediction Thread  (Read 7870 times)
Mr.Phips
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« Reply #50 on: April 20, 2018, 07:05:26 AM »
« edited: April 20, 2018, 09:07:36 AM by Mr.Phips »
Lesko by 9.  This is just too inelastic of a district for a Dem to actually win.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #51 on: April 20, 2018, 09:03:31 AM »
Hiral by 0.4%
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #52 on: April 20, 2018, 09:06:24 AM »
Lesko 53.3-46.7
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #53 on: April 20, 2018, 09:28:01 AM »
AZ-08 Special Election Prediction

Lesko (R) - 57.4
Tiperneni (D) - 42.4
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #54 on: April 20, 2018, 10:34:56 AM »
Correct me if I am wrong, but I think Arpaio won this District by 5 points in 2016.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #55 on: April 20, 2018, 10:57:02 AM »
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Mycool
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« Reply #56 on: April 20, 2018, 11:38:08 AM »
Lesko by single digits. This is a very Republican district and Hiral would have a HEAVY lift in November even if she won. Then again, I thought Lamb would narrowly lose. This race just doesn’t have the history of electing Democrats like Lamb’s does. Hopefully, even Hiral narrowly losing will remind Democrats that Arizona is ripe for flipping.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #57 on: April 20, 2018, 11:50:22 AM »
There is absolutely no way Tipi wins.

If tipi wins, I will let Not_Madigan decide what my signature should be for a week.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #58 on: April 20, 2018, 12:02:38 PM »
If Lesko loses by less than 10, I will let the first person who quotes this post to decide my signature for a week.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #59 on: April 20, 2018, 12:03:08 PM »
Quote from: Roy Moore on April 20, 2018, 11:50:22 AM
There is absolutely no way Tipi wins.

If tipi wins, I will let Not_Madigan decide what my signature should be for a week.

Suggestion: Tipi-toe through the tulips with me.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #60 on: April 20, 2018, 01:11:06 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on April 20, 2018, 12:02:38 PM
If Lesko loses by less than 10, I will let the first person who quotes this post to decide my signature for a week.

You’re on. (I think Lesko wins, fwiw).
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #61 on: April 20, 2018, 11:51:02 PM »
Quote from: Roy Moore on April 20, 2018, 11:50:22 AM
There is absolutely no way Tipi wins.

If tipi wins, I will let Not_Madigan decide what my signature should be for a week.

I vote for a photo of Cynthia Nixon.
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UWS
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« Reply #62 on: April 21, 2018, 06:20:49 AM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on April 20, 2018, 11:51:02 PM
Quote from: Roy Moore on April 20, 2018, 11:50:22 AM
There is absolutely no way Tipi wins.

If tipi wins, I will let Not_Madigan decide what my signature should be for a week.

I vote for a photo of Cynthia Nixon.

But Cyntia Nixon is in New York, not Arizona so what does it have to do with the special election?
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UWS
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« Reply #63 on: April 21, 2018, 06:39:17 AM »
Lesko by 5 points or more.
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nerd73
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« Reply #64 on: April 21, 2018, 12:27:28 PM »
Lesko by 7.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #65 on: April 21, 2018, 12:31:53 PM »
Quote from: UWS on April 21, 2018, 06:20:49 AM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on April 20, 2018, 11:51:02 PM
Quote from: Roy Moore on April 20, 2018, 11:50:22 AM
There is absolutely no way Tipi wins.

If tipi wins, I will let Not_Madigan decide what my signature should be for a week.

I vote for a photo of Cynthia Nixon.

But Cyntia Nixon is in New York, not Arizona so what does it have to do with the special election?

It doesn't. I'm just expressing an opinion of what his signature should be.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #66 on: April 23, 2018, 07:13:52 PM »
Final guess remains 54-45 Lesko, my dad thinks Lesko by 2-3 points.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #67 on: April 23, 2018, 07:17:31 PM »
Lesko + 5
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #68 on: April 23, 2018, 07:26:18 PM »
Quote from: Roy Moore on April 20, 2018, 11:50:22 AM
There is absolutely no way Tipi wins.

If tipi wins, I will let Not_Madigan decide what my signature should be for a week.
what about me?
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OneJ
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« Reply #69 on: April 23, 2018, 07:34:23 PM »
55-44 Lesko (I’m trying to have low expectations)
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Badger
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« Reply #70 on: April 24, 2018, 01:19:27 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on April 20, 2018, 01:11:06 PM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on April 20, 2018, 12:02:38 PM
If Lesko loses by less than 10, I will let the first person who quotes this post to decide my signature for a week.

You’re on. (I think Lesko wins, fwiw).
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KingSweden
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« Reply #71 on: April 24, 2018, 08:51:53 AM »
With the election today, I’m sticking with Lesko +7
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morgieb
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« Reply #72 on: April 24, 2018, 09:12:45 AM »
Lesko by 7, I think. There certainly isn't as much hype here as there was for Jones, Lamb or Ossoff. District seems just a little too inelastically R.
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Rhenna
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« Reply #73 on: April 24, 2018, 09:16:57 AM »
Sticking with Lesko by 6, but wouldn't be surprised if it were slightly lower. The range is Lesko by 4 to Lesko by 10.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #74 on: April 24, 2018, 10:01:36 AM »
Lesko by 8
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