California Runoff predictions

[Canis]

Deleted

[I’m not Stu]

Who makes runoff in CA-47, religious right John Briscoe or moderate David Clifford? Who makes runoff in CA-17, Ron Cohen or another Democrat? Write-ins presumably make runoff in CA-13, CA-19, and CA-32. CA-06, CA-14, CA-16 CA-21, CA-27, CA-37, CA-38, CA-40, and CA-41 runoffs are set in stone.

CA-06: Jrmar Jefferson vs. Doris Matsui
CA-14: Cristina Osmeña vs. Jackie Speier
CA-16: Jim Costa vs. Elizabeth Heng
CA-21: David Valadao vs. TJ Cox
CA-27: Judy Chu vs. Bryan Witt
CA-37: Karen Bass vs. Ron Bassilian
CA-38: Ryan Downing vs. Linda Sanchez
CA-40: Lucille Roybal-Allard vs. Rodolfo Cortes-Barragan
CA-41: Mark Takano vs. Aja Smith

[Coastal Elitist]

Governor
Gavin Newsom 32%
Antonio Villaraigosa 19%
John Cox 17%
John Chiang 13%
Travis Allen 9%
Delaine Eastin 5%
Amanda Renteria 2%  
Other 3%

It's extremely hackish to give Democrats 71% of the vote and Republicans 26% in the governor primary. In 2014 Brown got 56% and Republicans got 40%. I know in the 2016 Senate race that Republicans only got like 26% of the vote combined, but in the past voters have been more willing to vote for a Republican Governor so I would expect a higher vote share than that.

[I’m not Stu]

Governor
Gavin Newsom 32%
Antonio Villaraigosa 19%
John Cox 17%
John Chiang 13%
Travis Allen 9%
Delaine Eastin 5%
Amanda Renteria 2%  
Other 3%

It's extremely hackish to give Democrats 71% of the vote and Republicans 26% in the governor primary. In 2014 Brown got 56% and Republicans got 40%. I know in the 2016 Senate race that Republicans only got like 26% of the vote combined, but in the past voters have been more willing to vote for a Republican Governor so I would expect a higher vote share than that.

The 2016 Senate race had no GOP candidate with name recognition. Cox has a shot to make runoff. Gubernatorial races are generally less partisan than at the federal level. Chiang could also make runoff if Newsom and Villaraigosa get into a major feud.

[Coastal Elitist]

My current predictions for Governor:

Gavin Newsom 29%
John Cox 20%
Travis Allen 18%
Antonio Villariagosa 14%
John Chiang 12%
Delaine Eastin 4%
Others 3%

[I’m not Stu]

Any runoff predictons for Orange County District Attorney?

Candidates:
Tony Rackauckas (R) (incumbent)
Todd Spitzer (R)
Brett Murdock (D)
Lenore Albert-Sheridan (D) (not a serious candidate)

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Sacramento DA: Schubert (no runoff)
Sacramento Sheriff: Jones vs Fitch
CA-7: Bera vs Grant

CA-Gov: Newsom vs Cox

Newsom 30%
Cox 22%

CA-Lt Gov: Harris (R) vs Kounalakis (D)
CA-Insurance Com: Poizner (No Party Pref) vs Lara (D)
CA-Superintendent: Thurmond vs Tuck (non-partisan election)

US Senate from CA: Feinstein vs De Leon

[Giantsequoia]

Governor: Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox
US Senate: Diane Feinstein vs. Kevin de Leon
CA-10: Jeff Denham vs. Micheal Eggmen
CA-21: David Valadao vs. TJ Cox
CA-25: Steve Knight vs. Bryan Caforio
CA-39: Young Kim vs. Gill Cisneros
CA-45: Mimi Walters vs. Katie Porter
CA-48: Dana Rohabacher vs. Harley Rouda
CA-49: Diane Harkey vs. Doug Applegate

[Jeppe]

Governor: Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox
LG: Cole Harris vs. Eleni Kounalakis
Senate: Diane Feinstein vs. Kevin De Leon
CA-10: Jeff Denham vs. Virginia Madueno
CA-25: Steve Knight vs. Katie Hill
CA-39: Young Kim vs. Gil Cisneros (barf)
CA-45: Mimi Walters vs. Katie Porter
CA-48: Dana Rohrabacher vs. Harley Rouda
CA-49: Diane Harkey vs. Sara Jacobs