Would a generic republican won counties in Maine other than Piscataquis?
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  Would a generic republican won counties in Maine other than Piscataquis?
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Author Topic: Would a generic republican won counties in Maine other than Piscataquis?  (Read 1695 times)
christian peralta
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« on: June 01, 2018, 11:06:38 PM »

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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2018, 07:48:51 AM »

Yes, and they would have won the 2nd district, but lost the state at-large by more than Trump did.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2018, 09:10:39 AM »

I think that was more of anti-Hillary vote than pro-Trump.  2016 clearly shook things up a bit, and we might see trends that it amplified continue for quite some time, but we can't draw EVERY conclusion from one election.  Maine is still a New England state with largely New England politics, even if more moderate than the likes of Massachusetts.  2016 had a particularly weak Republican field, but I think Generic R™ beats Hillary Clinton in ME-2 in the environment of 2016.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2018, 01:11:11 AM »

I think that was more of anti-Hillary vote than pro-Trump.  2016 clearly shook things up a bit, and we might see trends that it amplified continue for quite some time, but we can't draw EVERY conclusion from one election.  Maine is still a New England state with largely New England politics, even if more moderate than the likes of Massachusetts.  2016 had a particularly weak Republican field, but I think Generic R™ beats Hillary Clinton in ME-2 in the environment of 2016.

I wouldn't call it anti-Hillary. The 2nd has a very independent, working-class streak to it that Trump especially appealed to. If it was anti-Hillary, then the 1st, with Portland (Bernieville), would have been closer, but it was about average as to how it usually goes.
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Free Bird
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: June 05, 2018, 01:12:12 AM »

Anyhow, if it was a generic Republican that won, then I could see Somerset and Aroostock narrowly going for them.
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PoliticalShelter
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« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2018, 03:44:56 AM »
« Edited: June 05, 2018, 04:02:16 AM by PoliticalShelter »



This is the results for the Medicaid expansion results in 2017.

Lets put it this way, if the Medicaid expansion couldn't win those Northern counties, then I strongly doubt that any Democratic presidential nominee, will be able to win those counties.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: June 05, 2018, 06:51:22 PM »



This is the results for the Medicaid expansion results in 2017.

Lets put it this way, if the Medicaid expansion couldn't win those Northern counties, then I strongly doubt that any Democratic presidential nominee, will be able to win those counties.

In the future you mean, right? Because Obama won every county, except Piscataquis, twice.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #7 on: June 05, 2018, 10:00:39 PM »

A generic Republican would've had a shot at most of the Trump-voting counties, but Kennebec probably would've stayed Democratic and Androscoggin, Franklin, and Oxford would've been less likely to flip.
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