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| | | |-+  FL-FAU: Scott leads Nelson by 4
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Author Topic: FL-FAU: Scott leads Nelson by 4  (Read 2729 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: May 08, 2018, 04:25:13 pm »

https://www.mypalmbeachpost.com/news/national-govt--politics/fau-poll-scott-edging-nelson-senate-race-trump-approval/f1R3VtiD14RG4HwpjeQ5iI/

Last poll was in late February

Scott (R) - 44 (+6)
Nelson (D) - 40 (+2)

Also, this:

Quote
Trump carried Florida in 2016 with 49 percent to 47.8 percent for Democrat Hillary Clinton. In FAUís latest poll, 43 percent of Florida voters approve of the presidentís job performance and 45 percent disapprove. Thatís up from 41 percent approval in February and is the highest approval score FAU has measured in Florida since Trump took office. In February 2017, an FAU poll showed Trumpís approval in the state at 34 percent, with 66 percent disapproving.
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Swampy.
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« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2018, 04:27:37 pm »

Still Likely D. Nelson is very popular and Scott is not.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2018, 04:29:18 pm »

There's definitely some cognitive dissonance about this race on this forum... If this polling is correct, Trump is not a liability in Florida. Nelson is old and is already facing 5 Million in ads against him, with tens of million dollars of spending more to come. Why I have it flipping.
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Swampy.
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« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2018, 04:30:48 pm »

fake news
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« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2018, 04:33:13 pm »

Yeah, this race is and continues to be a Toss-Up.
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Mondale
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« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2018, 04:38:53 pm »

LimoClown actually think Scott can win....rotflmao
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superbudgie1582
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« Reply #6 on: May 08, 2018, 04:41:15 pm »

FAU and most other state university polls are pretty terrible. FAU's last poll I could find had Scott up 10.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=284172.0
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kyc0705
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« Reply #7 on: May 08, 2018, 04:45:34 pm »

Nelson will most likely win, but Atlas's steadfast assumption that this race is Safe D and he can just waltz right through it is hilarious.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #8 on: May 08, 2018, 05:02:32 pm »

Nelson will most likely win, but Atlas's steadfast assumption that this race is Safe D and he can just waltz right through it is hilarious.

The left really needs to wake the heck up about Florida.  Wealthier than average white retirees are probably Trump's best demographic in the country and contrary to all rhetoric, Republicans are mostly holding their own in the Hispanic parts of the state.  Also, Trump telling off Cuba and Iran probably helps Republicans a lot in Florida.  It could plausibly go back to being part of the GOP base over the next several years.
« Last Edit: May 08, 2018, 05:08:08 pm by Skill and Chance »Logged
krazen1211
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« Reply #9 on: May 08, 2018, 07:42:27 pm »

Scott will win.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #10 on: May 08, 2018, 07:50:31 pm »

Getting MO-SEN 2016 vibes from this.
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AtorBoltox
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« Reply #11 on: May 08, 2018, 07:54:21 pm »

Scott never had a 10 point lead lol, this was player is junk
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The Saint
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« Reply #12 on: May 08, 2018, 07:59:40 pm »

FAU and most other state university polls are pretty terrible. FAU's last poll I could find had Scott up 10.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=284172.0
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #13 on: May 08, 2018, 08:21:18 pm »

fake news
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #14 on: May 08, 2018, 08:45:31 pm »

Limo, as a Floridian, I think I know more about what is going on here than you do, Nelson is more liked than Scott, and there's enthusiasm on the Democratic side for him.

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« Reply #15 on: May 08, 2018, 11:19:55 pm »

Rick Scott will be the new FL Senator
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henster
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« Reply #16 on: May 09, 2018, 12:56:19 am »

Their last poll was Scott up 44-34 so Nelson gained six and Scott stayed the same.
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Beto for President
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« Reply #17 on: May 09, 2018, 03:28:19 am »

https://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/bepi-polls-2018/florida-voters-want-background-checks-and-to-raise-age-on-gun-purchasers.php This was their last poll fyi
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UWS
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« Reply #18 on: May 09, 2018, 06:11:36 am »

Scott will win.

Florida's economy is doing very well and Scott is praised for his handling of Hurricane Irma.
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The Saint
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« Reply #19 on: May 09, 2018, 09:47:51 am »

Scott will win.

Florida's economy is doing very well and Scott is praised for his handling of Hurricane Irma.

Unfortunately, I don't think that'll be enough this time around. Maybe in a Clinton midterm, but not a Trump one.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #20 on: May 09, 2018, 12:51:51 pm »

Not really, cause Putnam is running behind in FL. I think Nelson will win, but it will be close.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #21 on: May 09, 2018, 02:29:15 pm »

Leans Dem.

*climbs up on soapbox*

AVERAGES ARE BETTER THAN INDIVIDUAL POLLS AND THE AVERAGE SHOWS NELSON UP BY ABOUT 2%
*climbs down from soapbox*
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Snek!
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« Reply #22 on: May 09, 2018, 04:10:36 pm »

If Scott wins, he probably either runs for President or is Pence's VP.
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Fmr. Pres. Griff
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« Reply #23 on: May 09, 2018, 05:10:37 pm »

No university poll - regardless of lean - should ever be viewed as anything other than garbage until proven otherwise.
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Xing
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« Reply #24 on: May 10, 2018, 02:46:51 pm »

Polls showing a close race here prove that this race is a Toss-Up, but close polls in Tennessee and Missouri arenít believable and those races are still Lean/Likely R. Smiley

Iím getting OH-SEN 2016 vibes here, though Nelson obviously wonít win by 20.
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