Australian by-elections, 2018

[Intell]

Anthony Green projects Phelps to win.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

ANTONY GREEN CALLS THE WENTWORTH BY-ELECTION FOR INDEPENDENT KERRYN PHELPS

[Max Stirner]

lol liberals

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Josh Frydenberg, of all people is the warm-up act for Dave Sharma at the Liberal party!?

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Josh Frydenberg, of all people is the warm-up act for Dave Sharma at the Liberal party!?

Correction, ScoMo is there and they are chanting his name. ScoMo! ScoMo! ScoMo!

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Josh Frydenberg, of all people is the warm-up act for Dave Sharma at the Liberal party!?

Correction, ScoMo is there and they are chanting his name. ScoMo! ScoMo! ScoMo!

Apparently according to ScoMo the Liberal party is those who get up early in the morning!?

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Josh Frydenberg, of all people is the warm-up act for Dave Sharma at the Liberal party!?

Correction, ScoMo is there and they are chanting his name. ScoMo! ScoMo! ScoMo!

Apparently according to ScoMo the Liberal party is those who get up early in the morning!?

They are now chanting ScoMo even though he has already left the building.

[Intell]

Sharma caught up due to postal votes, race back to undecided. Phelps the favourite to win though. The proportion of postal votes are high, people are saying this could be to do with the Jewish vote as there was a religious holiday on voting day.

This also shows how much of a surge Phelps had during the end of the campaign.

[Ebsy]

I believe there is also some speculation that there was a tabulation error with the postal ballots.

[Lachi]

https://twitter.com/AntonyGreenABC/status/1053857015162789888

Yep, they screwed up hugely

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/AntonyGreenABC/status/1053888152006406144

Finding more votes for Phelps all the time apparently.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Final Wentworth Distribution of Preferences (yes, the AEC really is just so fast, aren't they)

Dave Sharma	43.1	43.1	43.1	43.2	43.2	43.4	43.5	43.6	43.7	43.8	44.0	44.4	44.8	45.7	48.8
Kerryn Phelps	29.2	29.2	29.2	29.2	29.3	29.3	29.5	29.5	29.6	29.8	30.0	30.3	31.7	36.4	51.2
Tim Murray	11.5	11.5	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.7	11.7	11.7	11.8	11.9	12.0	12.2	12.6	18.0
Dominic Wy Kanak	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.7	8.7	8.9	9.1	9.3	9.5	9.8	10.0	10.9
Licia Heath	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.6	2.7	3.1
Angela Vithoulkas	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.2	1.2	1.2	1.3	1.3	1.4
Andrea Leong	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.8	0.9
Shayne Higson	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.9	0.9	1.1
Deb Doyle	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.7
Kay Dunne	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6
Robert Callanan	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.7
Samuel Gunning	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5
Barry Keldoulis	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4
Tony Robinson	0.2	0.2	0.2
Ben Forsyth	0.2	0.2
Steven Georgantis	0.1